Cornelius Hirsch
@vollcornhirsch.online
Data, politics, and what happens in between.
Head of Research Products at Reset Tech—Internet for democracy | Former Director of Research and Analysis at POLITICO | PhD in Economics from WU Vienna | Co-founder pollofpolls.eu.
Head of Research Products at Reset Tech—Internet for democracy | Former Director of Research and Analysis at POLITICO | PhD in Economics from WU Vienna | Co-founder pollofpolls.eu.
6 days to go until the German federal election. Here are the latest polling trends. Charts from 👉https://corneliushirsch.com/data-analysis/what-data-tells-us-about-the-upcoming-german-election/
February 17, 2025 at 5:34 PM
6 days to go until the German federal election. Here are the latest polling trends. Charts from 👉https://corneliushirsch.com/data-analysis/what-data-tells-us-about-the-upcoming-german-election/
🇩🇪 German Election Polling Update: A Blowback for Merz or Just Noise? 📊
If we zoom in on the German polling trends over the past three weeks there is no clear sign of a significant shift or drop. The numbers remain largely stable, at least for now.
Chart from corneliushirsch.com/data-analysi....
If we zoom in on the German polling trends over the past three weeks there is no clear sign of a significant shift or drop. The numbers remain largely stable, at least for now.
Chart from corneliushirsch.com/data-analysi....
February 6, 2025 at 4:52 PM
🇩🇪 German Election Polling Update: A Blowback for Merz or Just Noise? 📊
If we zoom in on the German polling trends over the past three weeks there is no clear sign of a significant shift or drop. The numbers remain largely stable, at least for now.
Chart from corneliushirsch.com/data-analysi....
If we zoom in on the German polling trends over the past three weeks there is no clear sign of a significant shift or drop. The numbers remain largely stable, at least for now.
Chart from corneliushirsch.com/data-analysi....
No visible shift in the polling trends for the German federal election from the few new polls out that came out over the weekend. Still waiting for more polls with field work periods after Friday's vote in the German parliament. Interactive version of the chart available on corneliushirsch.com.
February 4, 2025 at 5:28 PM
No visible shift in the polling trends for the German federal election from the few new polls out that came out over the weekend. Still waiting for more polls with field work periods after Friday's vote in the German parliament. Interactive version of the chart available on corneliushirsch.com.
This Saturday, I'm excited to join Daniel Boppert and moderator Clara Ruthardt for a deep-dive session at Europe's first Political Tech Summit on:
What Data Can and Can't Do – Advancing Democratic Good with Evidence-Based Strategies
🗓️ January 25, 2025
⏰ 3:15 PM
📍 Deep Dive Stage www.politicaltech.eu
What Data Can and Can't Do – Advancing Democratic Good with Evidence-Based Strategies
🗓️ January 25, 2025
⏰ 3:15 PM
📍 Deep Dive Stage www.politicaltech.eu
January 22, 2025 at 12:02 PM
This Saturday, I'm excited to join Daniel Boppert and moderator Clara Ruthardt for a deep-dive session at Europe's first Political Tech Summit on:
What Data Can and Can't Do – Advancing Democratic Good with Evidence-Based Strategies
🗓️ January 25, 2025
⏰ 3:15 PM
📍 Deep Dive Stage www.politicaltech.eu
What Data Can and Can't Do – Advancing Democratic Good with Evidence-Based Strategies
🗓️ January 25, 2025
⏰ 3:15 PM
📍 Deep Dive Stage www.politicaltech.eu
I'm happy to share that I will be speaking at Europe's first Political Tech Summit. Take a look at my session and make a note of the time slot. See you in Berlin on January 25?
December 6, 2024 at 4:11 PM
I'm happy to share that I will be speaking at Europe's first Political Tech Summit. Take a look at my session and make a note of the time slot. See you in Berlin on January 25?
Missing BSW which stands at around 7% in the pollofpolls.eu.
November 20, 2024 at 8:10 AM
Missing BSW which stands at around 7% in the pollofpolls.eu.
Not to forget uboot . com of course, and schülervz.
November 18, 2024 at 4:48 PM
Not to forget uboot . com of course, and schülervz.
Joining questionable tech platforms since 2007.
November 18, 2024 at 4:45 PM
Joining questionable tech platforms since 2007.
In den Einstellungen der Mitteilungen gibts bei mir diesen Button. Aber scheint erst die Beta Version zu sein.
November 18, 2024 at 12:15 AM
In den Einstellungen der Mitteilungen gibts bei mir diesen Button. Aber scheint erst die Beta Version zu sein.
#venividimaxi unvergessen. Zib2 vom 11. September 2018.
@arminwolf.at gratuliert @maximilianwerner.at zum bestandenen Nachzipf der in Vorarlberg aber Nachzapf heißt.
@arminwolf.at gratuliert @maximilianwerner.at zum bestandenen Nachzipf der in Vorarlberg aber Nachzapf heißt.
November 17, 2024 at 4:13 PM
#venividimaxi unvergessen. Zib2 vom 11. September 2018.
@arminwolf.at gratuliert @maximilianwerner.at zum bestandenen Nachzipf der in Vorarlberg aber Nachzapf heißt.
@arminwolf.at gratuliert @maximilianwerner.at zum bestandenen Nachzipf der in Vorarlberg aber Nachzapf heißt.
I'm currently using Redact to delete my tweets and likes from Twitter and it feels great. Going to keep the handle to avoid it getting misused but not giving data to Grog and will shut down the account for good. Bluesky and Linkedin are enough.
November 13, 2024 at 8:59 AM
I'm currently using Redact to delete my tweets and likes from Twitter and it feels great. Going to keep the handle to avoid it getting misused but not giving data to Grog and will shut down the account for good. Bluesky and Linkedin are enough.
Want to set an alarm for US election results tonight? Here are the European times when polling stations close and when to expect results. Screenshot from corneliushirsch.com.
Full list here: corneliushirsch.com/data-analysi...
Full list here: corneliushirsch.com/data-analysi...
November 5, 2024 at 5:04 PM
Want to set an alarm for US election results tonight? Here are the European times when polling stations close and when to expect results. Screenshot from corneliushirsch.com.
Full list here: corneliushirsch.com/data-analysi...
Full list here: corneliushirsch.com/data-analysi...
The least surprising notification you can get on your phone.
October 30, 2024 at 9:16 AM
The least surprising notification you can get on your phone.
The first chart shows voting patterns by formal education level. Shows, as always, a strong negative correlation with votes for the far-right. 2nd chart: Age cross-referenced with gender does also reveal a clear pattern. Middle-aged men had the highest FPÖ vote share.
September 30, 2024 at 2:13 PM
The first chart shows voting patterns by formal education level. Shows, as always, a strong negative correlation with votes for the far-right. 2nd chart: Age cross-referenced with gender does also reveal a clear pattern. Middle-aged men had the highest FPÖ vote share.
Election Day is here in Austria. The polling trends suggest a close race with far-right FPÖ and conservative ÖVP are statistically tied. The latter has gained momentum in the final polls. First election results projections are scheduled for 5 pm.
Chart below from corneliushirsch.com.
#nrw24
Chart below from corneliushirsch.com.
#nrw24
September 29, 2024 at 6:14 AM
Election Day is here in Austria. The polling trends suggest a close race with far-right FPÖ and conservative ÖVP are statistically tied. The latter has gained momentum in the final polls. First election results projections are scheduled for 5 pm.
Chart below from corneliushirsch.com.
#nrw24
Chart below from corneliushirsch.com.
#nrw24
Thank you for clarifying your question. The conservative ÖVP is Part and the social democratic SPÖ would form a coalition of the center.
The FPÖ is a far-right party with pro-Russian and authoritarian stance.
Here’s an overview table from Wikipedia with acronyms and logos.
The FPÖ is a far-right party with pro-Russian and authoritarian stance.
Here’s an overview table from Wikipedia with acronyms and logos.
September 28, 2024 at 9:24 AM
Thank you for clarifying your question. The conservative ÖVP is Part and the social democratic SPÖ would form a coalition of the center.
The FPÖ is a far-right party with pro-Russian and authoritarian stance.
Here’s an overview table from Wikipedia with acronyms and logos.
The FPÖ is a far-right party with pro-Russian and authoritarian stance.
Here’s an overview table from Wikipedia with acronyms and logos.
Austria Election: Late shifts in polls right before an election can signal a continues late-decider trend. If the recent polling trends in Austria continue into the final days leading up to the election, the ÖVP could potentially overtake the FPÖ and emerge as the largest party. More on the blog. 1/
September 27, 2024 at 5:52 PM
Austria Election: Late shifts in polls right before an election can signal a continues late-decider trend. If the recent polling trends in Austria continue into the final days leading up to the election, the ÖVP could potentially overtake the FPÖ and emerge as the largest party. More on the blog. 1/
This is going to be such a mess if no winner is announced on November 5. I know one guy who will just declare himself the winner.
September 20, 2024 at 5:43 PM
This is going to be such a mess if no winner is announced on November 5. I know one guy who will just declare himself the winner.
All eyes on Pennsylvania. And a new poll which is line with the trend of other post-TV debate polls shows Kamala Harris gaining. But don’t be fooled the race for the White House remains a toss up.
September 19, 2024 at 10:29 AM
All eyes on Pennsylvania. And a new poll which is line with the trend of other post-TV debate polls shows Kamala Harris gaining. But don’t be fooled the race for the White House remains a toss up.
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #1,318,627!
September 18, 2024 at 5:49 AM
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #1,318,627!
Republicans and Donald Trump still holding a slight edge in several Electoral College projections by different organizations and the battleground states polling trends show a statistical tied between Harris and Trump.
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August 23, 2024 at 4:48 PM
Republicans and Donald Trump still holding a slight edge in several Electoral College projections by different organizations and the battleground states polling trends show a statistical tied between Harris and Trump.
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Here's a summary of the current data: Despite Kamala Harris holding a narrow lead in the national popular vote and polling trends in key battleground states being highly competitive, the electoral map shows a challenging path to the required 270 electoral votes.
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August 23, 2024 at 4:47 PM
Here's a summary of the current data: Despite Kamala Harris holding a narrow lead in the national popular vote and polling trends in key battleground states being highly competitive, the electoral map shows a challenging path to the required 270 electoral votes.
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Happy Friday: I've updated all charts on my dedicated hashtag #US2024 presidential election page ( 👉 corneliushirsch.com/2024-us-pres... 👈 ) with the latest polling trends and Electoral College forecasts by different organizations.
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August 23, 2024 at 4:46 PM
Happy Friday: I've updated all charts on my dedicated hashtag #US2024 presidential election page ( 👉 corneliushirsch.com/2024-us-pres... 👈 ) with the latest polling trends and Electoral College forecasts by different organizations.
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