Vlad
@vladgutman.bsky.social
Policy & Analysis at NYSERDA. Fighting for a just clean energy future. Ex- @climatesolutions.bsky.social and WA AFL-CIO. A reporter once called me a knifefighter.
Opinions my own.
Opinions my own.
So how much is this benefit worth? Using NYISO data, we can calculate that adding just 8 GW of renewable capacity, far short of deployment goals, reduces the cost of generating energy by $179 million in 2025, climbing to $3.7 billion by 2040.
September 22, 2025 at 8:27 PM
So how much is this benefit worth? Using NYISO data, we can calculate that adding just 8 GW of renewable capacity, far short of deployment goals, reduces the cost of generating energy by $179 million in 2025, climbing to $3.7 billion by 2040.
DPS asked utilities to forecast bills through 2029. Using this data we can understand what's driving increases over the time period. What the data showed is that of the hikes utilities project through 2029, an average of 84% of them are attributed to something other than these programs.
September 22, 2025 at 8:27 PM
DPS asked utilities to forecast bills through 2029. Using this data we can understand what's driving increases over the time period. What the data showed is that of the hikes utilities project through 2029, an average of 84% of them are attributed to something other than these programs.
Stakeholders concerned about the energy transition often raise the prospect of grid reliability as a reason to slow down. Here in New York it's quite common even to hear things like "the grid is on the verge of collapse".
This is just flat out not true. #energysky
This is just flat out not true. #energysky
September 4, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Stakeholders concerned about the energy transition often raise the prospect of grid reliability as a reason to slow down. Here in New York it's quite common even to hear things like "the grid is on the verge of collapse".
This is just flat out not true. #energysky
This is just flat out not true. #energysky
New York is an expensive state to live in. Cost of living here is $1400 higher than the national average. Elsewhere I've shown that New Yorkers spend less on energy than their peers across the country--so where is our money going?
One word: HOUSING.
One word: HOUSING.
September 2, 2025 at 6:31 PM
New York is an expensive state to live in. Cost of living here is $1400 higher than the national average. Elsewhere I've shown that New Yorkers spend less on energy than their peers across the country--so where is our money going?
One word: HOUSING.
One word: HOUSING.
New York is famously pricey and is struggling with out-migration. Surely energy costs are one of the reasons that people leave?
Nope.
New Yorkers spend less on energy than the state's top out-migration destinations.
What does this mean?
#EnergySky
Nope.
New Yorkers spend less on energy than the state's top out-migration destinations.
What does this mean?
#EnergySky
August 1, 2025 at 1:38 PM
New York is famously pricey and is struggling with out-migration. Surely energy costs are one of the reasons that people leave?
Nope.
New Yorkers spend less on energy than the state's top out-migration destinations.
What does this mean?
#EnergySky
Nope.
New Yorkers spend less on energy than the state's top out-migration destinations.
What does this mean?
#EnergySky
How much does energy really drive costs across our economy? The answer might surprise you--honestly, it surprised me.
For New York's Draft Energy Plan, we used IMPLAN I/O tables to explore how much different sectors spend on energy. Here's what we learned--
🧵
#EnergySky
For New York's Draft Energy Plan, we used IMPLAN I/O tables to explore how much different sectors spend on energy. Here's what we learned--
🧵
#EnergySky
July 30, 2025 at 2:32 PM
How much does energy really drive costs across our economy? The answer might surprise you--honestly, it surprised me.
For New York's Draft Energy Plan, we used IMPLAN I/O tables to explore how much different sectors spend on energy. Here's what we learned--
🧵
#EnergySky
For New York's Draft Energy Plan, we used IMPLAN I/O tables to explore how much different sectors spend on energy. Here's what we learned--
🧵
#EnergySky
Under the current policy environment, the primary source of benefits comes from transportation electrification, which is substantially transformed by 2040. Benefits from buildings come in a close second, indicating the substantial harm we see from use of oil and gas in our homes.
July 28, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Under the current policy environment, the primary source of benefits comes from transportation electrification, which is substantially transformed by 2040. Benefits from buildings come in a close second, indicating the substantial harm we see from use of oil and gas in our homes.
We've lived so long with the burdens of fossil fuel pollution that most people think we don't have a choice. But now we do.
As part of developing the New York State Energy Plan, our team completed an analysis of the health benefits of transitioning to clean energy. They're profound.
#EnergySky
As part of developing the New York State Energy Plan, our team completed an analysis of the health benefits of transitioning to clean energy. They're profound.
#EnergySky
July 28, 2025 at 1:23 PM
We've lived so long with the burdens of fossil fuel pollution that most people think we don't have a choice. But now we do.
As part of developing the New York State Energy Plan, our team completed an analysis of the health benefits of transitioning to clean energy. They're profound.
#EnergySky
As part of developing the New York State Energy Plan, our team completed an analysis of the health benefits of transitioning to clean energy. They're profound.
#EnergySky
This must cost a fortune, right?
In short, no. We need to spend $120B/year on our energy system even if we don't transition. Our core planning case would bump this 2% in 2030 and less than 10% in 2040.
In short, no. We need to spend $120B/year on our energy system even if we don't transition. Our core planning case would bump this 2% in 2030 and less than 10% in 2040.
July 23, 2025 at 5:40 PM
This must cost a fortune, right?
In short, no. We need to spend $120B/year on our energy system even if we don't transition. Our core planning case would bump this 2% in 2030 and less than 10% in 2040.
In short, no. We need to spend $120B/year on our energy system even if we don't transition. Our core planning case would bump this 2% in 2030 and less than 10% in 2040.
And in the process, New York will produce over 85,000 new clean energy jobs by 2040, which is already a top 3 growth sector in our state.
July 23, 2025 at 5:40 PM
And in the process, New York will produce over 85,000 new clean energy jobs by 2040, which is already a top 3 growth sector in our state.
There are tremendous health benefits associated with energy transition. Our core planning case (called Additional Action) will save almost 10,000 lives by 2040 and avoid 4,000 heart attacks and 12,500 ER visits for asthma, plus tens of thousands of sick days and other benefits.
July 23, 2025 at 5:40 PM
There are tremendous health benefits associated with energy transition. Our core planning case (called Additional Action) will save almost 10,000 lives by 2040 and avoid 4,000 heart attacks and 12,500 ER visits for asthma, plus tens of thousands of sick days and other benefits.
Affordability is on everyone's mind right now. We analyzed what energy bills would look like in New York under different household configurations and found that bills will fall as a result of appliance + vehicle efficiency, and can fall further if we electrify efficiently.
July 23, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Affordability is on everyone's mind right now. We analyzed what energy bills would look like in New York under different household configurations and found that bills will fall as a result of appliance + vehicle efficiency, and can fall further if we electrify efficiently.
In support of the New York State Energy Plan @nyserda.bsky.social published last week some analysis of the impact of renewable deployment headwinds, including federal obstruction, on meeting electricity needs in NY. #energysky.
Four takeaways:
Four takeaways:
July 1, 2025 at 5:02 PM
In support of the New York State Energy Plan @nyserda.bsky.social published last week some analysis of the impact of renewable deployment headwinds, including federal obstruction, on meeting electricity needs in NY. #energysky.
Four takeaways:
Four takeaways:
Our core planning case (called Additional Action) will slash state emissions by 68% by 2040 vs 1990 levels. This places New York among a select few global leaders in energy transition. As the tenth largest economy in the world, that matters--a lot.
June 26, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Our core planning case (called Additional Action) will slash state emissions by 68% by 2040 vs 1990 levels. This places New York among a select few global leaders in energy transition. As the tenth largest economy in the world, that matters--a lot.
Let's start with the $$$. We found that across the great majority of New York households, energy efficiency + electrification will CUT energy spending.
Not every bill component will go down, but in total spending will decline. To secure these benefits, we must lower first costs of clean energy.
Not every bill component will go down, but in total spending will decline. To secure these benefits, we must lower first costs of clean energy.
June 26, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Let's start with the $$$. We found that across the great majority of New York households, energy efficiency + electrification will CUT energy spending.
Not every bill component will go down, but in total spending will decline. To secure these benefits, we must lower first costs of clean energy.
Not every bill component will go down, but in total spending will decline. To secure these benefits, we must lower first costs of clean energy.
Over the last year, my team at @nyserda.bsky.social has been collaborating w/folks across State gov to develop a new Draft State Energy Plan. Yesterday we shared some of what we learned.
Two insights to share now--New York is leading the charge on decarb & the energy transition will be affordable.
Two insights to share now--New York is leading the charge on decarb & the energy transition will be affordable.
June 26, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Over the last year, my team at @nyserda.bsky.social has been collaborating w/folks across State gov to develop a new Draft State Energy Plan. Yesterday we shared some of what we learned.
Two insights to share now--New York is leading the charge on decarb & the energy transition will be affordable.
Two insights to share now--New York is leading the charge on decarb & the energy transition will be affordable.
Also, Zohran won with wealthier voters.
June 26, 2025 at 3:32 AM
Also, Zohran won with wealthier voters.
Turns out the people losing jobs to undocumented immigrants were...high school freshman.
politicalwire.com/2025/03/25/f...
politicalwire.com/2025/03/25/f...
March 25, 2025 at 5:29 PM
Turns out the people losing jobs to undocumented immigrants were...high school freshman.
politicalwire.com/2025/03/25/f...
politicalwire.com/2025/03/25/f...
Hagan Scotten's resignation letter to DOJ in protest of dropping charges against Adams is worth reading in full. Principled patriotism. 🔥🔥🔥
February 14, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Hagan Scotten's resignation letter to DOJ in protest of dropping charges against Adams is worth reading in full. Principled patriotism. 🔥🔥🔥
New data shows that late school bus arrivals fell by 48% in the congestion relief zone after congestion pricing launched. nyc.streetsblog.org/2025/01/17/c...
January 17, 2025 at 4:40 PM
New data shows that late school bus arrivals fell by 48% in the congestion relief zone after congestion pricing launched. nyc.streetsblog.org/2025/01/17/c...
This is the roadmp. Commit it to memory.
January 9, 2025 at 11:16 PM
This is the roadmp. Commit it to memory.
New York, the third largest economy in the country and the 9th largest in the world, is projected to *at best* have flat population growth by 2050 and more likely decline precipitously.
It's past time we build housing.
pad.human.cornell.edu/state_projec...
It's past time we build housing.
pad.human.cornell.edu/state_projec...
October 31, 2024 at 2:41 PM
New York, the third largest economy in the country and the 9th largest in the world, is projected to *at best* have flat population growth by 2050 and more likely decline precipitously.
It's past time we build housing.
pad.human.cornell.edu/state_projec...
It's past time we build housing.
pad.human.cornell.edu/state_projec...