Ulrich Schneckener
@uschneck.bsky.social
Professor of International Relations and Peace & Conflict Studies, Osnabrück University, Germany. Co-Director of MA Conflict Studies and Peacebuilding. Lives & works in Osnabrück, Berlin and Vienna. Fussball: @werder.de 💚
He also encouraged the Kremlin to ask for more Ukrainian land according to the Guardian: www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Trump envoy reportedly told Kremlin official that Ukraine must cede land for peace deal
Steve Witkoff told Yuri Ushakov in October phone call that peace would require Russia gaining control of Donetsk
www.theguardian.com
November 25, 2025 at 10:39 PM
He also encouraged the Kremlin to ask for more Ukrainian land according to the Guardian: www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
The only viable answer the EU has left is to offer speed-up EU membership for the "free" (non-occupied) 🇺🇦 hoping to prevent political turmoil in 🇺🇦 and an exodus of Ukrainians. A highly unlikely scenario since EU-27 are not prepared to agree on this.
November 22, 2025 at 11:53 AM
The only viable answer the EU has left is to offer speed-up EU membership for the "free" (non-occupied) 🇺🇦 hoping to prevent political turmoil in 🇺🇦 and an exodus of Ukrainians. A highly unlikely scenario since EU-27 are not prepared to agree on this.
Now: If the Witkoff-Dimitriev plan becomes reality, it will be a de facto end of NATO, since Trump allows Putin a say (or a veto) in NATO matters (up to the point what kind of fighter aircrafts can be stationed in Poland, see no. 9 of the plan). /5
November 22, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Now: If the Witkoff-Dimitriev plan becomes reality, it will be a de facto end of NATO, since Trump allows Putin a say (or a veto) in NATO matters (up to the point what kind of fighter aircrafts can be stationed in Poland, see no. 9 of the plan). /5
Ideas for such formats have been existing since a while. The latest had been a proposal by EU Commissioner Kubilius to form a treaty-based European Defence organisation including the EU-27 (or EU-27 minus Hungary), UK, Norway, Iceland, Ukraine and Moldova. /4
November 22, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Ideas for such formats have been existing since a while. The latest had been a proposal by EU Commissioner Kubilius to form a treaty-based European Defence organisation including the EU-27 (or EU-27 minus Hungary), UK, Norway, Iceland, Ukraine and Moldova. /4
But EUrope still lacks a sustained strategy, better coordination of bilateral support structures and a plan for integrating 🇺🇦 in established or new institutionalized European security frameworks which would have also strengthend EUrope's bargaing power vis-à-vis Trump erratic politics. /3
November 22, 2025 at 11:53 AM
But EUrope still lacks a sustained strategy, better coordination of bilateral support structures and a plan for integrating 🇺🇦 in established or new institutionalized European security frameworks which would have also strengthend EUrope's bargaing power vis-à-vis Trump erratic politics. /3
Since Feb. 2022, 🇪🇺 politicians had time to move beyond ad hoc decisions, "coalitions of the willing", "crowd funding" and piecemeal support for 🇺🇦. True, in total EU+ (incl. 🇬🇧, 🇳🇴 etc.) invested more than US from the beginning of 🇷🇺invasion and outperformed US in military support since March 2025. /2
November 22, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Since Feb. 2022, 🇪🇺 politicians had time to move beyond ad hoc decisions, "coalitions of the willing", "crowd funding" and piecemeal support for 🇺🇦. True, in total EU+ (incl. 🇬🇧, 🇳🇴 etc.) invested more than US from the beginning of 🇷🇺invasion and outperformed US in military support since March 2025. /2
but also by self-styled "peace parties" such as pro-Kremlin AfD and BSW (or similiar forces in EU states), further undermining liberal democracy and EU's solidarity with 🇺🇦. Trump via his aide Witkoff created a lose-lose situation for 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 and a win-win situation for the Kremlin.
November 21, 2025 at 5:07 PM
but also by self-styled "peace parties" such as pro-Kremlin AfD and BSW (or similiar forces in EU states), further undermining liberal democracy and EU's solidarity with 🇺🇦. Trump via his aide Witkoff created a lose-lose situation for 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 and a win-win situation for the Kremlin.
If 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 reject the plan, Trump will remove the remaining (already reduced) US support from 🇺🇦 and Putin will continue war + attacks on 🇺🇦 society. Both will blame 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 for this. They will not only be joined by corrupted European figures such as Orbán, /3
November 21, 2025 at 5:07 PM
If 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 reject the plan, Trump will remove the remaining (already reduced) US support from 🇺🇦 and Putin will continue war + attacks on 🇺🇦 society. Both will blame 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 for this. They will not only be joined by corrupted European figures such as Orbán, /3
If 🇺🇦 is forced by Trump to accept the plan, 🇺🇦 political future will be very uncertain and 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 security are at great risk since 🇺🇦 ability to defend itself will be diminished (while 🇷🇺 will not face any arms reduction or control) + security guarantees offered by US are vage + hardly reliable /2
November 21, 2025 at 5:07 PM
If 🇺🇦 is forced by Trump to accept the plan, 🇺🇦 political future will be very uncertain and 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 security are at great risk since 🇺🇦 ability to defend itself will be diminished (while 🇷🇺 will not face any arms reduction or control) + security guarantees offered by US are vage + hardly reliable /2