unorlis.bsky.social
@unorlis.bsky.social
I just disagree, this race was nationalised and reached 2022 midterm election turnout, it is a great indicator for 2026
December 3, 2025 at 4:56 AM
Right!

The only one I could kinda see is MTG, but her being a women really does make things harder for her!
December 3, 2025 at 4:49 AM
The question becomes though what's next? I honestly can't think of any GOP candidate who can do what he does, that being able to win over low info voters and being able to control his base, both are needed for a heir and...who could it be?
December 3, 2025 at 4:38 AM
These are the seats that are within 14 percent swing.
December 3, 2025 at 4:24 AM
Minnesota 1
Missouri 2
Montana 1
Nebraska 2
New York 2
New York 17
North Carolina 11
Ohio 7
Ohio 10
Ohio 15
Pennsylvania 7
Pennsylvania 8
Pennsylvania 10
Tennessee 5
Texas 15
Utah 1
Virginia 1
Virginia 2
Wisconsin 1
Wisconsin 3
Wisconsin 8
December 3, 2025 at 4:23 AM
Alaska 1
Arizona 1
Arizona 2
Arizona 6
Arizona 8
California 1
California 3
California 22
California 40
California 48
Colorado 3, 4 and 5
Colorado 8
Florida 7
Florida 13
Florida 15
Indiana 5 (If 3rd parties didn't exist)
Iowa 1, 2 and 3
Kansas 2
Maryland 1
Michigan 4
Michigan 7
Michigan 10
December 3, 2025 at 4:23 AM
Could you link me to it?
December 3, 2025 at 3:38 AM
I genuinely want to see how many seats a 14% shift nation wide will win, am going to try and work that out
December 3, 2025 at 3:09 AM
A 14 point shift nation wide seems like the minimum of what can be expected nation wide in the mid terms, because as a reminder, Trump helped here appearing on TV, which probably explains the election day turnout. This is the best they will be getting
December 3, 2025 at 2:48 AM
It's a loss however a close one and that was with major national push with help from Trump at the last min.

In the midterm there are plenty more races to care about and this looks to be around a 15 point shift. That is enough to carry alot of seats
December 3, 2025 at 2:35 AM
Yeah my guess is around 5 percent GOP win, which is still a remarkable swing
December 3, 2025 at 2:17 AM
Though my brother and mom are not exactly this the later part they certainly believe. When the Ukraine started he was certain the US was only supporting Ukraine because of selfish reasons, testing new weapons or something, and found it really hard to believe otherwise
November 23, 2025 at 10:53 AM
There is a certain person who sees the world through the lens that the USA is the source of all the worlds current evils, and everything is through that lens, the US never does anything good and if it does it is because of bad reasons
November 23, 2025 at 10:44 AM
There are ways to read this as part of some selfish play, whether that be to distance herself from Trump and become part of whatever is after Trump or even just leaving to better paying positions within the conservative world? But all of them are risky and don't feel...necessary?
November 22, 2025 at 1:18 AM
I honestly suspect it helps just because alot of nonsense posts come from people who see you in discover, instinctively try and seeing they can't just move on
November 21, 2025 at 4:14 AM
This is one of those times where even if nothing damaging is revealed, I have no doubt it will cause major issues as it will be redacted and that will feed into shit
November 19, 2025 at 12:29 AM
They won with basically a super majority...and they aren't doing freaking anything
November 17, 2025 at 12:30 PM
I am continually impressed by just how terrible labour has done in the UK. It is just shocking
November 17, 2025 at 12:24 PM
I am only okay at geography however it is hard to judge my skill as my family are all awful at it
November 17, 2025 at 11:54 AM
It's possible I think that there are maybe hours upon hours of tapes to explore and they aren't labelled that well and because powerful people are involved they weren't looking that closely at them?

Another possibility is that while scandalous we only have Epsteins words AKA unreliable?
November 17, 2025 at 1:18 AM
It should be noted that Epistein was a known liar. To be clear I think all the names on the list should be checked and probably alot of them are guilty
November 13, 2025 at 11:23 AM
Welp I am ready to think the liberal party is actually dying at this point.

The Australian public at this point believe in climate change and abandoning to me is the signal they are going to lose even more seats next election
November 12, 2025 at 8:17 AM
...Welp if that isn't a sign that it is going to pop soon I don't know what is
November 11, 2025 at 8:28 AM
I genuinely think this is done without Schumers approval but
1. The fact there is doubt in that is bad and honestly there is reason for that
2. It is still bad that this happened under his watch!
November 10, 2025 at 4:56 AM
While I don't like her, she's savy so I can believe she sees this for what it is
November 10, 2025 at 3:52 AM