Zikai Li
tzkli.bsky.social
Zikai Li
@tzkli.bsky.social
PhD student in political science at the University of Chicago
The finding: The bonus decreased the vote share for Harris by 0.39 percentage points in 2024. (95% CI: -0.78 pp to -0.02 pp) 7/9
July 18, 2025 at 3:04 PM
There are two sharp cutoffs for eligibility. Areas just above vs. just below these thresholds are "alike" - except one happened to have been eligible for the bonus, one didn't. Great setup for a quasi-experiment! 6/9
July 18, 2025 at 3:04 PM
The Biden bet: help "left behind" communities → win voters for both the party and further climate action. Such “place-based” policies have become increasingly popular 🔋➡️🗳️2/9
July 18, 2025 at 3:04 PM
The finding: The bonus decreased the vote share (of the two-party vote) for Harris by 0.39 percentage points in 2024. (95% CI: -0.78 pp to -0.02 pp) 7/9
July 18, 2025 at 1:21 PM
There are two sharp administrative cutoffs for eligibility. Areas that just met vs. just missed these thresholds are "alike" - except the former happened to have been eligible for the bonus while the latter didn't. Great setup for a quasi-experiment! 6/9
July 18, 2025 at 1:21 PM
The Biden bet: help "left behind" communities (yellow areas in the map) → win voters for both the party and further climate action. Such "place-based" policies have become increasingly popular 2/9
July 18, 2025 at 1:21 PM