The GFS is even worse in the Philly area, actually twice as worse (Snowiest sounding run for every recognized precipitation event with snow inside of 192hrs:

Isn't the whole purpose of studying history is not to repeat the same mistakes. That is if one didn't cut history...

Welcome to 2025 or The Twilight Zone.

But in my book, I'd like to see another global be this robust.
Again excellent, excellent analysis.

It is too prone to these all-time record high single snowfall events, more so than either the European or Canadian. If its purpose in life is to signal a major (not necessarily all-time record breaking) snow storm, than its mission has been accomplished.

Tomer, excellent analysis. I do like a weakening (as in rising) -NAO as an indicator for a stronger storm. The current version of the GFS has been the poorest snowfall performer for PHL over the last couple of winters, nearly always for overforecasting snow inside of 96hrs.

Would be first below normal month in Philadelphia since November 2023.

Dr. Lee. Nice to see you on Blue Sky. Or nice that I finally joined. I deleted my account on the other cesspool social media site.