Fantasy Football Trout
@trout-post.com
Building @solioanalytics
December 2, 2025 at 2:30 PM
I thought my FPL ID this year was my worst ever, until.... 🤯🤯🤯
August 18, 2025 at 1:46 PM
I thought my FPL ID this year was my worst ever, until.... 🤯🤯🤯
Hi there! Really sorry for missing this til now, I have been offline the last few weeks.
Yes, I have done analysis on player correlations!
Here are some very rough numbers you can use for mean correlations for assets in the same match.
Yes, I have done analysis on player correlations!
Here are some very rough numbers you can use for mean correlations for assets in the same match.
February 1, 2025 at 11:47 PM
Hi there! Really sorry for missing this til now, I have been offline the last few weeks.
Yes, I have done analysis on player correlations!
Here are some very rough numbers you can use for mean correlations for assets in the same match.
Yes, I have done analysis on player correlations!
Here are some very rough numbers you can use for mean correlations for assets in the same match.
Sweaty gimp/Dell Inspiron lifestyle is in fact very fun 🥵🧑🍳
December 11, 2024 at 8:15 PM
Sweaty gimp/Dell Inspiron lifestyle is in fact very fun 🥵🧑🍳
Since my WC, my rank has improved twentyfold.
Am I ranked higher than you? Am I better than you? Now you know why
Am I ranked higher than you? Am I better than you? Now you know why
December 2, 2024 at 12:46 PM
Since my WC, my rank has improved twentyfold.
Am I ranked higher than you? Am I better than you? Now you know why
Am I ranked higher than you? Am I better than you? Now you know why
In GW9, all Elite 64 members owned Haaland. I WCd into a team without him.
I did this not because of any analytics/optimisation insight, but bc City's years of corrupt organisational ethics were bound to result in Haaland kicking the ball with the wrong part of his foot, sometimes even his ankle
I did this not because of any analytics/optimisation insight, but bc City's years of corrupt organisational ethics were bound to result in Haaland kicking the ball with the wrong part of his foot, sometimes even his ankle
December 2, 2024 at 12:46 PM
In GW9, all Elite 64 members owned Haaland. I WCd into a team without him.
I did this not because of any analytics/optimisation insight, but bc City's years of corrupt organisational ethics were bound to result in Haaland kicking the ball with the wrong part of his foot, sometimes even his ankle
I did this not because of any analytics/optimisation insight, but bc City's years of corrupt organisational ethics were bound to result in Haaland kicking the ball with the wrong part of his foot, sometimes even his ankle
Agreed
But also, maybe "not real" does not imply "not useful" 🧐
But also, maybe "not real" does not imply "not useful" 🧐
November 26, 2024 at 6:24 PM
Agreed
But also, maybe "not real" does not imply "not useful" 🧐
But also, maybe "not real" does not imply "not useful" 🧐
GW12
Interesting decision made this week on Lewis -> Digne or roll. The immediate points are worth slightly less than the FT, but this is clearly the best opportunity I'll get to remove Lewis before GW17 and he could continue to plummet in value over the next several GWs.
(VC is accidental)
Interesting decision made this week on Lewis -> Digne or roll. The immediate points are worth slightly less than the FT, but this is clearly the best opportunity I'll get to remove Lewis before GW17 and he could continue to plummet in value over the next several GWs.
(VC is accidental)
November 23, 2024 at 12:24 PM
GW12
Interesting decision made this week on Lewis -> Digne or roll. The immediate points are worth slightly less than the FT, but this is clearly the best opportunity I'll get to remove Lewis before GW17 and he could continue to plummet in value over the next several GWs.
(VC is accidental)
Interesting decision made this week on Lewis -> Digne or roll. The immediate points are worth slightly less than the FT, but this is clearly the best opportunity I'll get to remove Lewis before GW17 and he could continue to plummet in value over the next several GWs.
(VC is accidental)
Introduce yourself with four records
November 17, 2024 at 9:35 PM
Introduce yourself with four records
@anthony.football's is well worth the anticipation 👑
November 17, 2024 at 1:09 PM
@anthony.football's is well worth the anticipation 👑
Maybe not for Review specifically, but for linear solver sickos I highly recommend setting an ITB constraint which only activates after the first future transfer in the plan 🤓
You can do something like the following, where `transfer_made_yet` is binary, `y` is a binary aux variable and `m` is large
You can do something like the following, where `transfer_made_yet` is binary, `y` is a binary aux variable and `m` is large
November 17, 2024 at 2:14 AM
Maybe not for Review specifically, but for linear solver sickos I highly recommend setting an ITB constraint which only activates after the first future transfer in the plan 🤓
You can do something like the following, where `transfer_made_yet` is binary, `y` is a binary aux variable and `m` is large
You can do something like the following, where `transfer_made_yet` is binary, `y` is a binary aux variable and `m` is large
Post a picture you took to bring some zen to the skyline.
November 16, 2024 at 11:36 PM
Post a picture you took to bring some zen to the skyline.
For anyone interested, here are some results from a study I did a few years ago
Each dot represents projected pts yielded from 50 play-throughs of randomised versions of @fplreview.com's 20/21 data, with a decay rate (α) and FT value (β) selected using Bayesian optimisation (8 GW horizon)
Each dot represents projected pts yielded from 50 play-throughs of randomised versions of @fplreview.com's 20/21 data, with a decay rate (α) and FT value (β) selected using Bayesian optimisation (8 GW horizon)
November 16, 2024 at 10:56 PM
For anyone interested, here are some results from a study I did a few years ago
Each dot represents projected pts yielded from 50 play-throughs of randomised versions of @fplreview.com's 20/21 data, with a decay rate (α) and FT value (β) selected using Bayesian optimisation (8 GW horizon)
Each dot represents projected pts yielded from 50 play-throughs of randomised versions of @fplreview.com's 20/21 data, with a decay rate (α) and FT value (β) selected using Bayesian optimisation (8 GW horizon)
I love drifting off to the slow cascade of solver output 🥱 In fact, I seldom sleep without it
The algorithmic lullaby calms my soul. With every passing moment the only certainty is progress towards the global optimal. By the time I wake the duality gap will be zero, but not before I close my eyes
The algorithmic lullaby calms my soul. With every passing moment the only certainty is progress towards the global optimal. By the time I wake the duality gap will be zero, but not before I close my eyes
November 15, 2024 at 11:39 PM
I love drifting off to the slow cascade of solver output 🥱 In fact, I seldom sleep without it
The algorithmic lullaby calms my soul. With every passing moment the only certainty is progress towards the global optimal. By the time I wake the duality gap will be zero, but not before I close my eyes
The algorithmic lullaby calms my soul. With every passing moment the only certainty is progress towards the global optimal. By the time I wake the duality gap will be zero, but not before I close my eyes
Becoming increasingly convinced that this is the next bitcoin
November 15, 2024 at 6:33 PM
Becoming increasingly convinced that this is the next bitcoin
In general, across recent seasons, you can buy just over 0.3 points per GW for £1m, on average. Therefore, +0.1 budget in GW1 tends to be worth around 1.2 points over the whole season.
Currently (before GW12), the value of £1m is relatively high, at about 0.35 points (have a zoomed-out picture too)
Currently (before GW12), the value of £1m is relatively high, at about 0.35 points (have a zoomed-out picture too)
November 15, 2024 at 4:45 PM
In general, across recent seasons, you can buy just over 0.3 points per GW for £1m, on average. Therefore, +0.1 budget in GW1 tends to be worth around 1.2 points over the whole season.
Currently (before GW12), the value of £1m is relatively high, at about 0.35 points (have a zoomed-out picture too)
Currently (before GW12), the value of £1m is relatively high, at about 0.35 points (have a zoomed-out picture too)
- Purchase power hit its highest before GW2 of 22-23, when both Haaland and Salah were essential, and the game lacked budget enablers
- This fell to an all-time low in the final GW of 22-23, when managers could afford near-optimal teams with normal budgets
(@anthony.football's teams for reference)
- This fell to an all-time low in the final GW of 22-23, when managers could afford near-optimal teams with normal budgets
(@anthony.football's teams for reference)
November 15, 2024 at 4:45 PM
- Purchase power hit its highest before GW2 of 22-23, when both Haaland and Salah were essential, and the game lacked budget enablers
- This fell to an all-time low in the final GW of 22-23, when managers could afford near-optimal teams with normal budgets
(@anthony.football's teams for reference)
- This fell to an all-time low in the final GW of 22-23, when managers could afford near-optimal teams with normal budgets
(@anthony.football's teams for reference)
FPL inflation: How has value for money changed across recent seasons?
This plot tracks how many additional points you can buy each GW with an a £1m higher budget, since the start of 2021-22 📈
This plot tracks how many additional points you can buy each GW with an a £1m higher budget, since the start of 2021-22 📈
November 15, 2024 at 4:45 PM
FPL inflation: How has value for money changed across recent seasons?
This plot tracks how many additional points you can buy each GW with an a £1m higher budget, since the start of 2021-22 📈
This plot tracks how many additional points you can buy each GW with an a £1m higher budget, since the start of 2021-22 📈
Sorry to disappoint 😞
He is back in the green now! Maybe it's part of his cycle? Just takes a few years to settle in at new clubs 🤔
He is back in the green now! Maybe it's part of his cycle? Just takes a few years to settle in at new clubs 🤔
November 15, 2024 at 4:02 PM
Sorry to disappoint 😞
He is back in the green now! Maybe it's part of his cycle? Just takes a few years to settle in at new clubs 🤔
He is back in the green now! Maybe it's part of his cycle? Just takes a few years to settle in at new clubs 🤔
Enjoy it, you only get to be described as "fresh-faced" once. Give it a couple of years, you'll be grizzled and fame-hardended.
November 15, 2024 at 12:25 AM
Enjoy it, you only get to be described as "fresh-faced" once. Give it a couple of years, you'll be grizzled and fame-hardended.