The boy digs for his treasure at the pyramids. But some men find him and beat him. One of them tells him about a dream he had. It was about a treasure back in Spain.

The boy realizes his treasure was at home all along. He goes back and finds a chest of gold and jewels under the tree where he […]

The general of the soldiers is impressed. He lets the boy show his power. The boy speaks to the wind. The wind helps him. He is able to show everyone that he is not an ordinary boy.

The boy and the alchemist are set free. They go to a monastery near the pyramids. The alchemist shows the boy how […]

The alchemist meets the boy. He tells the boy to follow the omens. The boy learns to listen to his heart. He learns to talk to the desert and the wind. He falls in love with a woman named Fatima.

The boy is told he must go to the pyramids. The alchemist goes with him. They are captured by […]

The boy makes enough money and can go home. But he decides to cross the desert instead. He joins a caravan. On the way, he meets an Englishman. This man is looking for an alchemist.

They find the alchemist in an oasis. The alchemist is a man who knows the language of the world. He can change […]

Santiago decides to go after his treasure. He sells his sheep and travels to Africa. In a town there, a thief steals his money. The boy has to work to earn more. He works for a crystal merchant. The merchant is a good man, but he is afraid to follow his own dreams.

Santiago works there for many […]

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For example, if you're trading bonds weekly in a bull market, your average win is 1%, your average loss is 0.5%, and your win rate is 55%. Kelly says: (0.55 1 - 0.45) / 1 = 0.1. So you risk 10% of your capital on that trade.

That feels small? It should. Because in low volatility, opportunities […]

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Risk Management Notes:
The main risk is a major gap against you. In a bear market, gaps down can happen. To manage this, trade small. Risk only what you can afford to lose on each trade, even with stops. Also, diversify if possible across different assets or timeframes.

Concluding Thought […]

4. Review each trade. After exiting, check if you followed your plan. Note if you exited early and why. Then adjust your strategy, not your stop. For example, you might need a wider stop in volatile conditions.

5. Practice with a simulator. Use historical data to test your strategy. See how […]

2. Set your stop loss logically. Base it on market structure, not a random number. For instance, if you go short, place the stop above the recent high or a key resistance. This gives the trade room to work without being too tight.

3. Commit to not exiting early. However the chart looks, wait […]

Your Trading How-To Guide:
1. Define your setup in detail. Know exactly what conditions must be true before you enter a trade. For a short scalp in a bear market, this might be price breaks below the 15 minute low and the 5 minute RSI is below 50. Write this down. (4/8)

The Core Strategy Explained:
Patience training means you only enter trades that meet your predefined criteria. You wait for these setups instead of entering early. For stop losses, this means you set your stop based on your strategy's rules and do not exit until price hits that level. This […]

In a bear market, futures can be volatile. It's easy to exit trades too early from fear, especially when using tight stops for scalping. This leads to missed opportunities and frustration. Patience training offers a solution. It teaches you to wait for your exact setup instead of chasing trades […]

The main risk is that a bear market can last longer than you expect. You might have a string of losses. That's why you size your positions small. Never risk more than 1% of your account on a single trade.

Using this approach forces you to only take the best opportunities. It's how you adapt […]

Always use a stop-loss order. If a trade moves against you, exit. The Sharpe ratio is about the quality of the trade. If it's not working, get out.

After each trade, review your results. Calculate the actual return you made divided by the max risk you had. That's your realized Sharpe for that […]

Then, use the ETF's volatility to determine your position size. If the ETF's average true range (ATR) is $3 per share, and you're risking $100, you can buy 33 shares ($100 / $3 = 33.3). This ensures your risk per share is controlled.

Your profit target should be at least equal to your risk. For […]

Start by choosing an ETF that is liquid and not overly volatile. SPY or QQQ are common choices, but the specific one matters less than your approach.

Next, define your risk per trade. For instance, if you're willing to risk $100 on a single trade, that's your number. (2/5)