Die Antwort ist: ja! Elch (und wahrscheinlich auch Wisent) kommen wieder und würden bei uns genug Lebensraum finden, wenn wir sie willkommen heissen. Mehr dazu hier: www.hu-berlin.de/de/pr/nachri... ... und der wissenschaftliche Artikel hier: doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

"...what happens in Sweden matters far beyond Sweden. If a country with some of the world’s largest intact boreal forests chooses to double down on short-term extraction, it will not only undermine the EU’s climate goals — it will send a dangerous signal to other forest nations..."

🐺 Wolves have not yet reached a favourable conservation status in most European countries
🐺 Many populations do not meet the effective size required for long-term genetic and demographic sustainability
🐺 Wolf populations across Europe are primarily threatened by overhunting (incl. illegal killing)

All of this very true - there is no scientific basis for the change in legislation that was enacted this year:
🐺 Current monitoring does not allow for a reliable estimation of wolf numbers in Europe
🐺Available demographic data are heterogeneous, approximate, largely qualitative, and unverifiable.

What makes positive outcomes more likely during and after times of shocks? We suggest:
- proactively create resilient institutions,
- that are focused on local capacity building,
- that enhance social stability, &
- that are built on internal motivations for conservation

Socio-economic shocks are fairly common, especially at broader scales (key for large carnivores) and longer time frames (key for conservation planning). Consider shocks, and the risks and potential opportunities they bring is thus critically important (but rarely done).

Key finding across cases: central role of institutions in mediating shock impacts - determining whether impacts ar positive or negative.

We developed a framework, rooted in social-ecological systems theory, to identify key pathways of how shocks impact large carnivores - and exemplify this framework with three case studies (jaguars, snow leopards, Asiatic cheetah)
@biogeoberlin.bsky.social @arashghoddousi.bsky.social

Overall, this shows a major homogenization across snake communities, driven by land use change. This could lead to major knock-on effects (loss of key ecosystem functioning and services) as entire functional groups of snakes are lost in many places.

Surprising finding: more winners than losers of land-use change! Yet, habitat specialist (semiarboreal and semifossorial species) consistently lose out, while many generalist species are winners. Important: many specialist species are data deficient and we could not model them.

We modeled 72 out of 142 snake species in the Chaco, using time-calibrated SDM 👉 this allowed us to reconstruct habitat change 1985-2020.

Main result: major decline in taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic snake diversity in the Chaco (in >75% of all snake communities) due to land-use change.