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Tinojr20
@tinojr20.bsky.social
Baseball Junkie...@Seahawks360Pod (Twitter) Contributor…Fantasy Baseball Content Producer...www.patreon.com/TWIFB...Mariners Fan…Seahawks Fan…Michigan Alum…GO BLUE
#TinosQueries

Started building starting pitcher stat tables for 2025 season.

Picture has the following:

arm angle
extension
4FB IVB
whiff
zone
zone contact
chase contact
xERA
xBA
xSLG
individual pitches
mph (each)
whiff rate (each)
December 7, 2025 at 8:55 PM
December 4, 2025 at 3:14 AM
December 4, 2025 at 3:09 AM
#TinosQueries

A low left on base percentage CAN signify bad luck for a pitcher.

QUERY: lowest LOB for SPs with IP > 100, limit 20

Talented arms: Alcantara, Bradley, Brown, Gallen

Likely deserved to be on the list lol: M. Parker, Marquez, Freeland, Kochanowicz, Quantrill, Senzatela, Fedde
November 28, 2025 at 9:15 PM
#TinosQueries

a low BABIP for a SP doesn't always signify luck, but it can...

Potentially lucky 2025 SPs:
(.291 league avg)

Imanaga - .219
Tre. Rogers - .226
Rodon - .228
deGrom - .230
Taillon - .232
Pivetta - .235
Woo - .238
Cameron - .241
Peralta - .243
YY - .243
November 28, 2025 at 9:11 PM
#TinosQueries

A few (SP) BABIP (.291 league avg) regression candidates:

Ben Brown - .347 (5.92 ERA vs 3.52 SIERA)

Sonny Gray - .329 (4.28 vs 3.29)

MacKenzie Gore - .325 (4.17 vs 3.80)

Jesus Luzardo - .324 (3.92 vs 3.40)

Dylan Cease - .320 (4.55 vs 3.58)

Brandon Pfaadt - .316 (5.25 vs 4.12)
November 28, 2025 at 9:07 PM
#TinosQueries

(2025) SIX SPs had:

K-BB > 24%

AND

IP> 100

Crochet
Skubal
Wheeler
Gilbert
Sale
Greene

#fantasybaseball
November 28, 2025 at 9:02 PM
#TinosQueries

Query: 2025 SPs WHERE

WHIP < 1.20 AND K% > 30

Usual suspects: Skubal, Wheeler, Greene, Crochet, Gilbert, Ohtani, Sale, Ragans

Sleepers: Woodruff, Sheehan, Bradish

Young bucks/small sample: L. Henderson, McLean, Early
November 28, 2025 at 8:56 PM
#TinosQueries

Of the NINE 2025 SPs with 15 or more LOSSES,

Jack Flaherty of the Detroit Tigers was the only one who pitched for a winning team.

"Pick SPs on winning teams."

#fantasybaseball
November 28, 2025 at 8:46 PM
#TinosQueries

Only SEVEN starting pitchers won 15 or more games in 2025

Fried - 19
Crochet - 18
Rodon - 18
Peralta - 17
Webb - 15
Woo - 15
Luzardo - 15

Of these seven, only TWO pitched for teams which won fewer than 90 games!

It pays to roster SPs on winning teams. PERIOD.
November 28, 2025 at 8:42 PM
#TinosQueries

Surprising names in 2025 starting pitcher top 20 innings:

LIttell - 186.2
Luzardo - 183.2
L. Castillo - 180.2 (bc everyone is calling him old and declining)
November 28, 2025 at 8:38 PM
#TinosQueries

Query:

2025 starting pitchers WHERE:

IP > 150
ERA < 3.50
WHIP < 1.10

Crochet
Sanchez
Rodon
Skubal
Skenes
Woo
Brown
Pivetta
Boyd
YY
deGrom
Ryan
Lodolo
R. Nelson
November 28, 2025 at 8:36 PM
#TinosQueries

20 MLB starting pitchers had the following in 2025:

IP > 175
ERA < 4.00

Webb
Crochet
C. Sanchez
Fried
Rodon
Skubal
Gausman
Valdez
Skenes
Littell (!)
Woo
H. Brown
Kelly
Luzardo
Ray
Pivetta
Castillo
Boyd
Kikuchi
Peralta

#fantasybaseball
November 28, 2025 at 8:33 PM
#TinosQueries

QUERY: 2025 Outfielders with
barrel rate > 15%

AND

hard hit rate > 50%

O. Cruz
Stanton
Wood
Judge
Buxton
Stowers
Soto
Anthony
Benson (career vs LHP: .139/.241/.254/.495)
November 25, 2025 at 9:35 PM
#TinosQueries

Query: lowest 20 BABIP Outfielders in 2025

Read: potential regression to the mean and better topline performance in 2026 (MLB avg: .291)

Caglianone - .172
Santander - .219

Look for hitters with normal GB/FB rates. Typically, higher FB rate yields a lower BABIP.
November 25, 2025 at 9:26 PM
#TinosQueries

13 Outfielders had an xSLG - SLG > .100 in 2025

Read: underperformed expected slugging by a significant amount

A few:

Caglianone (.100)
Y. Alvarez (.128)
Soto (.103)
November 25, 2025 at 9:19 PM
#TinosQueries #FantasyBaseball

Notes on contact rates, bat speed, squared up, swing length, attack angle, and swing path.

Queried Top and Bottom 20 for each stat at outfield for 2025
November 25, 2025 at 9:08 PM
#TinosQueries

Bat Speed isn't the end all, but it sure is a good place to start.

QUERY: top 20 OFers in 2025 by bat speed

Stanton
O. Cruz
J. Walker
Noel
Adell
Cags
Judge
Wallner
Bauers
J-Rod
Acuna
Yordan
G. Mitchell
Wood
Canario
Barger
J. Sanchez
Greene
LouBob
November 25, 2025 at 8:50 PM
#TinosQueries

Chase Contact: top 20 outfielders in 2025

#3 Frelick
#5 Kwan
#7 JH Lee
#9 Burleson
#13 Bellinger
#14 Altuve

Only names worth mentioning.
Even so, #3/4/5 type fasntasy OFers based on league settings.

Often, chase contact equates to weak contact and less impact.
November 25, 2025 at 8:46 PM
#TinosQueries

One has to wonder if zone contact is a negative stat?

QUERY: Top 20 OF zone-contact in 2025

Kwan
T. Freeman
Simpson
Verdugo
Sanoja
Lee
Isbel
Frelick
Dubon
Grichuk
Friedel
A. Martin
Vierling
McNeil
Andujar
Profar
Lukas
J. Young
YORDAN
Meyers

Frequent contact without impact.
November 25, 2025 at 8:39 PM
November 18, 2025 at 12:38 AM
#TinosQueries

Here's an example of a query I expected to tell me a different story...

WHERE xBA - AVG > .040

AND

PA > 100

Conforto, T. Taylor, Grichuk, Benson, Wade Jr., Caglianone, McCarthy, O'Neill, Suwinski, Osuna, Kjerstad, Slater, W. Wilson.

Expected to find a few sleepers. Nope.
November 3, 2025 at 2:29 AM
#TinosQueries

SIX outfielders went 25/25 in 2025.

Soto (43/38)
J-Rod (32/30)
PCA (31/35)
Carroll (31/32)
Arozarena (27/31)
Tatis Jr. (25/32)
November 3, 2025 at 2:13 AM
#TinosQueries

There were 13 outfielders who had 20 HRs and 20 SBs. Some of the names might surprise?

Known: Buxton, J-Rod, PCA, Carroll, Arozarena, Tatis Jr., Tucker, Chourio, Harris II, O. Cruz

Not so known: Soto(!), Langford, L. Butler

Speed/Power not as prevelant as I suspected at OF
November 3, 2025 at 2:07 AM
#TinosQueries

2025 OF

Where OPS > .825 AND PA > 100

18 outfielders.

Legit: Judge, Springer, Acuna, Soto, Stowers, Carroll, Buxton, Anthony, Tucker

Platoon: Jahmai Jones (vs LHP), Canzone, Refsnyder (vs LHP)

Meh: Stanton (broken), Loperfido, Laureano, Lile, Marsee, Varsho
November 2, 2025 at 1:52 AM