tinfoilparadox.bsky.social
@tinfoilparadox.bsky.social
2024 Election Math
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In Trump's own words, “He(Elon Musk) knows those computers better than anybody, all those computers, those vote counting computers, and we ended up winning Pennsylvania, like in a landslide”
16/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
It's simple. Would Trump cheat? Absolutely.
Could he cheat?
The data suggests that he did.
15/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
With politics more divided than ever, why would Trump's path to victory be through split tickets?
14/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Yes, it's possible that a social media bubble has skewed our perceptions, but doesn't that sound like it could be gaslighting? Out of touch liberals is a recurring theme.
13/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
This is absurd. I haven't been offered one explanation that resolves the issues with the data above.
12/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Compare that to 2024, Harris lost 93,475 or 2.76% of all votes cast for president in the state. Trump gained 174,481 votes or 5.15% of all votes for president, 9.86% of the total votes for trump.
The gap exploded from 2.02% in Trump's favor to 7.91%
11/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
We can see that in 2020, there were 24,025 outstanding split tickets and bullet ballots in favor of Trump, making up only 0.71% of all votes cast for president. Biden received 44,324 fewer votes than (D)Kelly for Senate representing a adjusted loss of 1.31%
10/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
This reflects that in addition to any split ballots required to cancel out the split tickets that favored Harris, an extra 5.28% of all votes for Trump also chose (D)Gallego for Senate. That's more than 1:20 of Trump's votes
9/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
After balancing split tickets, Trump picked up an extra 174,481 votes from ballots that
-Didn't choose a candidate for Senate (41,347)
-Voted for the Democratic nominee for Senate (93,475)
-Selected the Green Party's nominee for Senate or write-in (39,659)
8/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
I believe that votes were manipulated at the top of the ticket. The change was designed for a subtle suppression of Harris's votes. But when we look at the affect on Other Party Candidates, it's devastating and obvious.
7/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
It's worth pointing out that there were 5 independent/minor party candidates to choose from for President and only one other Senate candidate. The Senate candidate represented the Green Party. Stein received only 18,319 or only 24.15% of Quintana's 75,868 votes.
6/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Arizona 2024 Analysis
Other Senate Candidates received 76,718 votes but only 37,059 votes were cast for Other Presidential candidates. That means Other Presidential Candidates got just 48.3% the support compared to Other Senate Candidates.
5/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Usually, minor party presidential candidates receive more votes compared to minor party candidates down ballot. Factors like name recognition, enthusiasm, and more candidates to choose from at the top of the ticket all contribute to this trend.
4/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Conservatives that are tired of Trump's stunts and market volatility might not be able to bring themselves to vote for Harris but some would support the Libertarian party. Liberals angry at Harris's policies for Palestine probably wouldn't vote for Trump, but they might support the Green party.
3/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Trump is a controversial candidate and after the election, there's been a push to cast Harris as even more controversial. If we accept that as true, what would we expect to see in the results?
More votes for independent/minor party presidential candidates, but we actually see the opposite.
2/16
February 7, 2025 at 10:49 PM
He hid "HH" in our flag, it's so gross.
January 25, 2025 at 9:09 AM