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If you look at the movement plots, you can see that there are 2 distinct pitch shapes. I'd be disingenuous of me to call them both sliders.
December 7, 2024 at 2:43 AM
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The Mets just signed Clay Holmes, could he be a starter? What he does well and the changes I'd make.

A thread 🧵
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
As for some changes I would make for Holmes I'd bring the Four-Seam Fastball back for left handed hitters as well as a potential kick change or splitter that he cuts a bit to fill out that arsenal.
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
Sweeper:

Last but not least it is the Sweeper, his best pitch by far. 84 MPH with 8 inches of drop and 18 inches of sweep it is truly an amazing pitch.
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
Slider:

His Slider is a good bridge pitch of sorts between his heavy Sinker and Sweeper. It comes in at 87 MPH and generates a 40 Whiff% with a 30 Chase%
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
I will now break down every pitch in Holmes repertoire:

Sinker:

Holmes throws a pretty nasty sinker at 96 MPH with 4.3 IVB and 14.4 inches of ASR. With a lot more drop than what is typical for his arm angle
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
Clay Holmes has elite stuff, with his arsenal scoring high marks according to my TimStuff+ Model:

Sinker - 106 TimStuff+
Slider - 110 TimStuff+
Sweeper - 124 TimStuff+

Losing velocity shouldn't me much of a worry as my stuff model still believes it will be an above average pitch.
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
Good Control:

Holmes controls his pitches well, dotting the corners and the bottom of the zone on all 3 of his pitches
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
Good Repertoire:

Holmes showcases a good three pitch mix with al pitches working well together, one of Holmes defining traits is the outlier movement on 3 of his pitches for his respective arm angle, something that sets him apart from the rest of the pack.
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
The first thing I look for is a deep arsenal, I set this at having 3 or more pitches. Holmes checks this box with his Sinker, Slider, and Sweeper. The next characteristic is above average command, Holmes has that as well. The last characteristics is having a plus pitch, Holmes' Sweeper is that pitch
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
Transitioning from a Starter to a Reliever isn't easy, and not every pitcher can do it. There are certain characteristics of a relief pitcher that I look for do judge their viability as a starter, Clay Holmes as all of them.
December 7, 2024 at 2:14 AM
Rule 5 Prospects Statcast Data
docs.google.com
December 5, 2024 at 10:20 PM
Average with no Rogers
December 4, 2024 at 7:52 PM