338Canada.ca | Philippe J. Fournier | Substack
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338Canada.ca | Philippe J. Fournier | Substack
@threethirtyeight.substack.com.web.brid.gy
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Canadian politics by the numbers. 🍁 Subscribe to 338Canada for in-depth analysis of polling data, electoral maps, and Canada's […]

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Léger: Broad Support for Pipeline to B.C. Coast
Despite fears of backlash, stronger-than-expected support in B.C. and Quebec challenges assumptions about pipelines' political risks for the Liberals.
www.338canada.ca
December 11, 2025 at 10:35 PM
threethirtyeight.substack.com.web.brid.gy
The Numbers: Could the shake-up in B.C. be felt in Ottawa?
Could a federal MP be tempted to run for the B.C. Conservatives? One more federal by-election on the docket for 2026?
www.338canada.ca
December 9, 2025 at 10:32 PM
threethirtyeight.substack.com.web.brid.gy
Nanos Tracker: Liberal Lead Narrows
Don’t call it a trend just yet, but last week’s fielding was a rougher one for the Liberals and for Mark Carney.
www.338canada.ca
December 9, 2025 at 10:32 PM
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338 Sunday Update: Despite Turbulence, Mark Carney Carries the Liberals
As the Prime Minister outpolls his own party and national numbers hold steady, a BQ rise in Quebec and volatility in B.C. hint at potential shifts in the landscape for 2026.
www.338canada.ca
December 7, 2025 at 10:05 PM
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Kinew and Holt Top Latest Premier Rankings
While Ford and Legault once again sit at the bottom of the Angus Reid Institute’s quarterly report card.
www.338canada.ca
December 5, 2025 at 8:10 PM
threethirtyeight.substack.com.web.brid.gy
Will Carney Face a B.C. Backlash over the Pipeline?
New Angus Reid polling shows the pipeline MOU boosts Carney’s numbers among Conservative and Prairie voters — but Liberal support slips in Metro Vancouver.
www.338canada.ca
December 4, 2025 at 7:52 PM
threethirtyeight.substack.com.web.brid.gy
The Numbers: Mark Carney's hinge moment
Pipelines, MOUs, resignations to come, PLQ implosion and more on this new episode The Numbers.
www.338canada.ca
December 3, 2025 at 7:51 PM
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Carney Enters December on a High Note, But Not Without Warning Signs
Fresh post-MOU polls give the Liberals a modest edge and strong approval for the Prime Minister, but shifting numbers in B.C. could signal trouble ahead.
www.338canada.ca
December 2, 2025 at 7:51 PM
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338 Sunday Update: Fragile LPC Coalition Could Soon Face Its First Test
Little post-budget movement for the Liberals or Conservatives, but post-MOU December polling could reshape the political landscape heading into 2026.
www.338canada.ca
December 1, 2025 at 7:51 PM
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Pipeline Politics Heat Up, Guilbeault Exits
New Angus Reid polling shows Canadians broadly supportive of a northern B.C. pipeline — but a strong majority insists First Nations must sign off.
www.338canada.ca
November 28, 2025 at 7:48 PM
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Pallas Data: Pablo Rodriguez Drags Quebec Liberals Down
New Quebec polling shows the PQ firmly ahead — while Rodriguez’s personal numbers sink to new lows.
www.338canada.ca
November 27, 2025 at 7:48 PM
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Léger: Politics and Family Don't Mix
New data finds politics is the top source of family arguments in every region — and nearly half of Canadians admit to inventing excuses to skip gatherings altogether.
www.338canada.ca
November 26, 2025 at 7:41 PM
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The Numbers: Will Carney have to choose between Alberta and B.C.?
Plus: Fresh data on the NDP leadership race, turmoil in Quebec, and the return of the Quiz.
www.338canada.ca
November 26, 2025 at 7:41 PM
threethirtyeight.substack.com.web.brid.gy
Nanos tracker: Budget Drama Didn’t Hurt Liberals
Mark Carney’s personal numbers remain stronger than the LPC brand — and well above Pierre Poilievre’s.
www.338canada.ca
November 25, 2025 at 7:41 PM
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338 Sunday Update: A Competitive Race, Even as Poilievre’s Numbers Slide
The Angus Reid Institute finds Poilievre at his lowest point yet — even as Liberals and Conservatives remain locked in a close national race.
www.338canada.ca
November 23, 2025 at 7:40 PM
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Poilievre's Numbers Take Another Hit
New polling from the Angus Reid Institute shows impressions of the Conservative leader eroding, most notably among 2025 Conservative voters.
www.338canada.ca
November 19, 2025 at 7:39 PM
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The Numbers: No Election for Now, but for How Long?
Hide behind the curtains all you want, Eric and Philippe deconstruct the latest polls in this new episode of The Numbers.
www.338canada.ca
November 19, 2025 at 7:40 PM
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338 Sunday Update: A Budget That Failed to Impress?
Early polling shows muted reaction across the country to Carney's first budget as Parliament braces for Monday’s confidence vote.
www.338canada.ca
November 16, 2025 at 7:32 PM
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Q3 Fundraising: A Closer Race in Ottawa, Tight Battles in the West
New filings show the Conservatives still ahead federally, while main Alberta and B.C. parties remain locked in competitive fundraising contests.
www.338canada.ca
November 14, 2025 at 7:32 PM
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The Numbers: Is Pierre Poilievre's leadership on borrowed time?
The Conservatives remain competitive in the polls, but has Poilievre become a drag on his own party?
www.338canada.ca
November 12, 2025 at 7:28 PM
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338 Sunday Update: Liberals Hold Steady Amid Drama on the Hill
A turbulent week in Ottawa ends with the Liberals still on top of the seat projections — and Pierre Poilievre’s leadership facing renewed scrutiny.
www.338canada.ca
November 9, 2025 at 7:19 PM
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Léger: Liberals Hold 5-Point Lead, Government Approval Rebounds
After a notable late-summer slide, government approval recovers as Liberals hope to get through their first Carney budget.
www.338canada.ca
November 7, 2025 at 7:18 PM
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The Numbers: Budget, floor-crossing shake up Ottawa
We dive into the cold, hard numbers beyond the drama. And there was much drama.
www.338canada.ca
November 6, 2025 at 7:18 PM
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Americans Still Like Canada! Yes, Even Republicans
New poll shows US voters overwhelmingly see Canada as a trustworthy ally despite Trump’s escalating trade attacks.
www.338canada.ca
November 5, 2025 at 7:17 PM
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Léger: Do You Believe in Angels?
A new poll finds Canadians more likely to believe in angels, ghosts and psychic powers than in the undead.
www.338canada.ca
November 4, 2025 at 7:17 PM