The Midterm Keys
@themidtermkeys.bsky.social
The Midterm Keys is an election predicting system that predicts the outcome of midterm elections. Inspired by Allan Lichtman's 13 Keys, The Midterm Keys will predict midterm elections with its own Keys.
Pinned
The Midterm Keys will predict with its 12 Keys the outcome of midterm elections.
The Democrats have snatched the Coattails Key!
Derek Tran has unseated the GOP incumbent Michelle Steel in a close race in California's 45th congressional district.
Democrats flipped 8 seats
Republicans flipped 8 seats
That means no net gain of one seat for either side.
Derek Tran has unseated the GOP incumbent Michelle Steel in a close race in California's 45th congressional district.
Democrats flipped 8 seats
Republicans flipped 8 seats
That means no net gain of one seat for either side.
November 27, 2024 at 9:41 PM
The Democrats have snatched the Coattails Key!
Derek Tran has unseated the GOP incumbent Michelle Steel in a close race in California's 45th congressional district.
Democrats flipped 8 seats
Republicans flipped 8 seats
That means no net gain of one seat for either side.
Derek Tran has unseated the GOP incumbent Michelle Steel in a close race in California's 45th congressional district.
Democrats flipped 8 seats
Republicans flipped 8 seats
That means no net gain of one seat for either side.
Looks like the Democrats are itching closer to their first midterm key: Key I: Coattails.
Democrats must win the badly needed California 45th Congressional District to snatch the Coattails Key.
Republicans need this district to enjoy Senate and House gains, crucial for them with Key I.
Democrats must win the badly needed California 45th Congressional District to snatch the Coattails Key.
Republicans need this district to enjoy Senate and House gains, crucial for them with Key I.
November 24, 2024 at 1:56 PM
Looks like the Democrats are itching closer to their first midterm key: Key I: Coattails.
Democrats must win the badly needed California 45th Congressional District to snatch the Coattails Key.
Republicans need this district to enjoy Senate and House gains, crucial for them with Key I.
Democrats must win the badly needed California 45th Congressional District to snatch the Coattails Key.
Republicans need this district to enjoy Senate and House gains, crucial for them with Key I.
For The Midterm Keys, predicting the 2026 midterm elections is not just a task. It's a fight for its legitimacy as a legit election predictor.
November 23, 2024 at 1:32 PM
For The Midterm Keys, predicting the 2026 midterm elections is not just a task. It's a fight for its legitimacy as a legit election predictor.
Allan Lichtman's 2024 prediction was wrong, but as for The Midterm Keys, this puts enormous pressure on The Midterm Keys.
Accurately predicting the 2026 midterms is crucial for the Keys' legitimacy.
Accurately predicting the 2026 midterms is crucial for the Keys' legitimacy.
November 23, 2024 at 1:29 PM
Allan Lichtman's 2024 prediction was wrong, but as for The Midterm Keys, this puts enormous pressure on The Midterm Keys.
Accurately predicting the 2026 midterms is crucial for the Keys' legitimacy.
Accurately predicting the 2026 midterms is crucial for the Keys' legitimacy.
The race between Democrat Derek Tran and Republican incumbent Michelle Steel will decide the fate of the Coattails Key.
November 23, 2024 at 1:25 PM
The race between Democrat Derek Tran and Republican incumbent Michelle Steel will decide the fate of the Coattails Key.
Before The Midterm Keys can be useful starting in the 2026 midterms, the Keys were tested on midterm elections from 1930 to 2022.
Of the past 24 midterm elections, the Keys accurately predicted 21 of these midterms, 1 was wrong (1942) and two were too close to call (1954 and 1990).
Of the past 24 midterm elections, the Keys accurately predicted 21 of these midterms, 1 was wrong (1942) and two were too close to call (1954 and 1990).
November 21, 2024 at 9:00 PM
Before The Midterm Keys can be useful starting in the 2026 midterms, the Keys were tested on midterm elections from 1930 to 2022.
Of the past 24 midterm elections, the Keys accurately predicted 21 of these midterms, 1 was wrong (1942) and two were too close to call (1954 and 1990).
Of the past 24 midterm elections, the Keys accurately predicted 21 of these midterms, 1 was wrong (1942) and two were too close to call (1954 and 1990).
Keys I and II: Coattails and Trifecta, are the first keys to fall.
The Republicans won the Trifecta Key, while the Coattails Key is still out.
The Republicans won the Trifecta Key, while the Coattails Key is still out.
November 21, 2024 at 8:57 PM
Keys I and II: Coattails and Trifecta, are the first keys to fall.
The Republicans won the Trifecta Key, while the Coattails Key is still out.
The Republicans won the Trifecta Key, while the Coattails Key is still out.
The Midterm Keys will predict with its 12 Keys the outcome of midterm elections.
November 21, 2024 at 8:55 PM
The Midterm Keys will predict with its 12 Keys the outcome of midterm elections.