@thebegonis.bsky.social
Market technician, woodworker, maker, screenwriter. Former FinTwit.
"Rockefeller Republican" or RINO
"Rockefeller Republican" or RINO
June 2, 2025 at 2:33 AM
May 17, 2025 at 2:22 PM
From Reddit - 3D printed Starbucks - yes real life.
I cannot understand why they left the exterior with the same issue small scale prints face. Stucco it, put some other form of exterior on it.
I cannot understand why they left the exterior with the same issue small scale prints face. Stucco it, put some other form of exterior on it.
April 15, 2025 at 9:20 PM
From Reddit - 3D printed Starbucks - yes real life.
I cannot understand why they left the exterior with the same issue small scale prints face. Stucco it, put some other form of exterior on it.
I cannot understand why they left the exterior with the same issue small scale prints face. Stucco it, put some other form of exterior on it.
I don't think this is a today problem, but in the next few years -- keep note -- the SPX is parabolic
As @walterdeemer.bsky.social notes, parabolic advances can go higher and longer than expected but they don't correct sideways.
Cc @hmeisler.bsky.social
As @walterdeemer.bsky.social notes, parabolic advances can go higher and longer than expected but they don't correct sideways.
Cc @hmeisler.bsky.social
April 6, 2025 at 3:45 PM
I don't think this is a today problem, but in the next few years -- keep note -- the SPX is parabolic
As @walterdeemer.bsky.social notes, parabolic advances can go higher and longer than expected but they don't correct sideways.
Cc @hmeisler.bsky.social
As @walterdeemer.bsky.social notes, parabolic advances can go higher and longer than expected but they don't correct sideways.
Cc @hmeisler.bsky.social
Reminder: social security is an annuity. It's a very successful, well run, contractual obligation between you and the government.
You pay your money in for an expected rate of return.
You pay your money in for an expected rate of return.
April 5, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Reminder: social security is an annuity. It's a very successful, well run, contractual obligation between you and the government.
You pay your money in for an expected rate of return.
You pay your money in for an expected rate of return.
This 'could' be VERY bad--if it happens.
Inflation back to 8-9% before year end.
Inflation back to 8-9% before year end.
January 29, 2025 at 9:02 PM
This 'could' be VERY bad--if it happens.
Inflation back to 8-9% before year end.
Inflation back to 8-9% before year end.
December 24, 2024 at 4:52 PM
Does anyone else think 45 is obsessed with Greenland because he keeps playing Plague Inc?
December 23, 2024 at 3:38 PM
Does anyone else think 45 is obsessed with Greenland because he keeps playing Plague Inc?
Sounds similar to what is described at each Fourth Turning.
No one really knows it's coming, it builds slowly then happens suddenly.
No one really knows it's coming, it builds slowly then happens suddenly.
December 21, 2024 at 9:53 PM
Sounds similar to what is described at each Fourth Turning.
No one really knows it's coming, it builds slowly then happens suddenly.
No one really knows it's coming, it builds slowly then happens suddenly.
These two charts tell you the state of online dating.
December 20, 2024 at 4:09 AM
These two charts tell you the state of online dating.
People didn't have difficulty with dating apps sites 5-10 years ago.
Somehow as the parent companies got more involved the experience has become worse--I mean awful, horrific, insufferable.
Look at the stock prices of MTCH and BMBL--tells the whole story
Somehow as the parent companies got more involved the experience has become worse--I mean awful, horrific, insufferable.
Look at the stock prices of MTCH and BMBL--tells the whole story
December 20, 2024 at 4:08 AM
People didn't have difficulty with dating apps sites 5-10 years ago.
Somehow as the parent companies got more involved the experience has become worse--I mean awful, horrific, insufferable.
Look at the stock prices of MTCH and BMBL--tells the whole story
Somehow as the parent companies got more involved the experience has become worse--I mean awful, horrific, insufferable.
Look at the stock prices of MTCH and BMBL--tells the whole story
Funny thing is this is possibly a big picture buy -- even if it is vaporware/smoke and mirrors.
December 19, 2024 at 6:35 PM
Funny thing is this is possibly a big picture buy -- even if it is vaporware/smoke and mirrors.
Keep the messaging simple folks.
They are crooks and thieves.
It's not about being right, it's about marketing the message.
They are crooks and thieves.
It's not about being right, it's about marketing the message.
December 19, 2024 at 3:12 PM
Keep the messaging simple folks.
They are crooks and thieves.
It's not about being right, it's about marketing the message.
They are crooks and thieves.
It's not about being right, it's about marketing the message.
Oh are they? Their own algorithm recommends click-bait titles.
December 19, 2024 at 12:59 AM
Oh are they? Their own algorithm recommends click-bait titles.
I do believe 45 will put Tariffs in place in his first week.
Unemployment is already trending up. Inflation is now showing signs of coming back.
Tariffs will only exacerbate those current conditions.
People are already on edge about prices.
He could destroy the economy as soon as 3/4 months
Unemployment is already trending up. Inflation is now showing signs of coming back.
Tariffs will only exacerbate those current conditions.
People are already on edge about prices.
He could destroy the economy as soon as 3/4 months
December 15, 2024 at 6:02 PM
I do believe 45 will put Tariffs in place in his first week.
Unemployment is already trending up. Inflation is now showing signs of coming back.
Tariffs will only exacerbate those current conditions.
People are already on edge about prices.
He could destroy the economy as soon as 3/4 months
Unemployment is already trending up. Inflation is now showing signs of coming back.
Tariffs will only exacerbate those current conditions.
People are already on edge about prices.
He could destroy the economy as soon as 3/4 months
How will tariffs create STAGFLATION?
We know tariffs are effectively a tax on consumers bc the companies pass on the added cost down the line. -- (Rising prices)
People don't want to pay higher prices (demand destruction)
Companies have to layoff employees to cut cost.
All of that lowers GDP.
We know tariffs are effectively a tax on consumers bc the companies pass on the added cost down the line. -- (Rising prices)
People don't want to pay higher prices (demand destruction)
Companies have to layoff employees to cut cost.
All of that lowers GDP.
December 15, 2024 at 5:56 PM
How will tariffs create STAGFLATION?
We know tariffs are effectively a tax on consumers bc the companies pass on the added cost down the line. -- (Rising prices)
People don't want to pay higher prices (demand destruction)
Companies have to layoff employees to cut cost.
All of that lowers GDP.
We know tariffs are effectively a tax on consumers bc the companies pass on the added cost down the line. -- (Rising prices)
People don't want to pay higher prices (demand destruction)
Companies have to layoff employees to cut cost.
All of that lowers GDP.
NFL tank day.
Big match bt the Jaguars and Jets--winner likely loses out on a top 5 pick.
Raiders playing reeling Falcons (on 4 game losing streak)
Giants vs Ravens (NYG loss)
Patriots at Cardinals (NE loss)
Panthers vs Cowboys (toss up)
Titans vs Bengals other big match.
Browns vs KC 😂
Big match bt the Jaguars and Jets--winner likely loses out on a top 5 pick.
Raiders playing reeling Falcons (on 4 game losing streak)
Giants vs Ravens (NYG loss)
Patriots at Cardinals (NE loss)
Panthers vs Cowboys (toss up)
Titans vs Bengals other big match.
Browns vs KC 😂
December 15, 2024 at 3:22 PM
NFL tank day.
Big match bt the Jaguars and Jets--winner likely loses out on a top 5 pick.
Raiders playing reeling Falcons (on 4 game losing streak)
Giants vs Ravens (NYG loss)
Patriots at Cardinals (NE loss)
Panthers vs Cowboys (toss up)
Titans vs Bengals other big match.
Browns vs KC 😂
Big match bt the Jaguars and Jets--winner likely loses out on a top 5 pick.
Raiders playing reeling Falcons (on 4 game losing streak)
Giants vs Ravens (NYG loss)
Patriots at Cardinals (NE loss)
Panthers vs Cowboys (toss up)
Titans vs Bengals other big match.
Browns vs KC 😂
I have a different view on it. Keep those stops tight in case it doesn't break the upper boundary. I think it may go back below $10 if it fails before another attempt
December 15, 2024 at 1:53 AM
I have a different view on it. Keep those stops tight in case it doesn't break the upper boundary. I think it may go back below $10 if it fails before another attempt
Chris, you really need to read parts of the Fourth Turning. It really contextualizes the cycles you are referring to.
December 14, 2024 at 2:41 AM
Chris, you really need to read parts of the Fourth Turning. It really contextualizes the cycles you are referring to.
That meme is the premise of the Fourth Turning (and fuck Bannon trying to co-opt it)
December 13, 2024 at 8:12 PM
That meme is the premise of the Fourth Turning (and fuck Bannon trying to co-opt it)
He's said a lot of crazy shit, that's also conflicting regarding the US debt.
In this case, I just look at his track record of suing, browbeating and bankruptcy. Only... You can't really do any of those things with gov't debt.
Relevant: siepr.stanford.edu/news/united-...
In this case, I just look at his track record of suing, browbeating and bankruptcy. Only... You can't really do any of those things with gov't debt.
Relevant: siepr.stanford.edu/news/united-...
December 13, 2024 at 6:42 PM
He's said a lot of crazy shit, that's also conflicting regarding the US debt.
In this case, I just look at his track record of suing, browbeating and bankruptcy. Only... You can't really do any of those things with gov't debt.
Relevant: siepr.stanford.edu/news/united-...
In this case, I just look at his track record of suing, browbeating and bankruptcy. Only... You can't really do any of those things with gov't debt.
Relevant: siepr.stanford.edu/news/united-...
Time to brush up on STAGFLATION
The most significant recent example in the US was in the 1970s.
This is very difficult to prepare for because it is recessionary by nature, but prices will also rise.
Likely, lots of jobs will be lost.
We'll want to look for rising oil prices as well.
The most significant recent example in the US was in the 1970s.
This is very difficult to prepare for because it is recessionary by nature, but prices will also rise.
Likely, lots of jobs will be lost.
We'll want to look for rising oil prices as well.
December 12, 2024 at 4:34 PM
Time to brush up on STAGFLATION
The most significant recent example in the US was in the 1970s.
This is very difficult to prepare for because it is recessionary by nature, but prices will also rise.
Likely, lots of jobs will be lost.
We'll want to look for rising oil prices as well.
The most significant recent example in the US was in the 1970s.
This is very difficult to prepare for because it is recessionary by nature, but prices will also rise.
Likely, lots of jobs will be lost.
We'll want to look for rising oil prices as well.