I would be interested in knowing too. I certainly haven’t found anything in Marty’s writing that would suggest this would be an appropriate application of tail risk in public policy.

BT crops go a long way wrt insecticides. Things like pivot + fertigation go a long way wrt to synthetic fertilizer. Cover crop + roundup ready can very significantly reduce total herbicide toxicity if not use. All more applicable to larger, well capitalized farms.

I agree with this too and appreciate Jason’s key nuance here: reducing synthetic chemical applications through better practices and technology, not eliminating them.

But private innovation won't succeed without innovation from America's nuclear regulator. There are still huge problem with proposed Part 53, on cumulative risk, safety analysis, and much else that still need to be addressed. Let's hope commission is up to the task.

There is now substantial policy support thanks to IRA and other recent laws. And a wave of next gen reactors that will hopefully prove better suited to liberalized electricity markets and the demands of data centers and other non-utility users. www.breakthroughjournal.org/p/the-case-f...

Meanwhile, as Alex Trembath and I wrote this fall, the economic case for nuclear is stronger than it has been in decades. We have a once in generation opportunity to revitalize nuclear energy in US. www.breakthroughjournal.org/p/the-double...

As @astein.bsky.social documented recently, commission will need to tear up Office of General Counsel recommendations on new mission and start over. thebreakthrough.org/issues/energ...

What comes next at NRC? We will soon have a Republican chair working with a Democratic majority. They will need to move forward with mission modernization and Part 53 licensing framework for advanced reactors.

There was a lot of behind scenes horse-trading with Marzano vote and EPRA. So here's also hoping that pays off with a permitting reform deal. www.eenews.net/articles/bri...

Define "actual abundance." From a quick google search, that appears to include not flying.

"Nuclear is slow" is a choice, not intrinsic to technology. Big tech is betting it doesn't have to be. As @astein.bsky.social and I argued recently, small next gen offer a different path but requires innovation from public as well as private sector. www.breakthroughjournal.org/p/the-case-f...

"Nuclear is too slow so don't do AI" is not an answer. Even if it doesn't fully living up to hype, forgoing brings substantial economic and national security costs. If choice is AI with gas or no AI, clear what US and every other country will do.