New Article: For the holidays, I briefly cover the 2024 election in a global context, talking about what we can expect from Trump's second term, and what we should hope and look for in future elections.

TLDR: The GOP’s small and fragile majority, and the inevitability of loss.

Question: Could the government actually be locked/frozen if there is a shutdown?

I've been seeing things saying that Congress members may not be able to be sworn in if there is a shutdown at the time. If they don't have the members, they may not be able to reopen the government, ever(?)

Paid Article: As I start the process of reworking the model for 2026, I'm sharing my thoughts on the work ahead. The places I am looking to rework, potential future changes, and whatnot. An inside look for paid subscribers.
darkhorsepolitics.substack.com/p/starting-t...

Model Review: Looking at the model post-election, it's clear that it was off. Despite that, we can still learn from it, and find things ahead of elections from it. I'll briefly go over what failed and what worked (plus a gift at the end for everyone).
darkhorsepolitics.substack.com/p/post-elect...