System Margin
@systemmargin.bsky.social
Process over hype.
Risk first.
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@systemmarginpl.bsky.social
@swiatbezbajek.bsky.social
Risk first.
Verified facts.
Your digital shelter from noise and falsehood.
My accounts:
@systemmarginpl.bsky.social
@swiatbezbajek.bsky.social
⚠️ Partial DHS shutdown risk jumps to ~96% (Polymarket) from 18% last week.
Not full gov shutdown – 96% funded till Sep 2026.
But Treasury liquidity moves possible → watch DXY, short-end yields, repo stress.
#Macro #RiskFirst
Not full gov shutdown – 96% funded till Sep 2026.
But Treasury liquidity moves possible → watch DXY, short-end yields, repo stress.
#Macro #RiskFirst
February 13, 2026 at 6:38 AM
⚠️ Partial DHS shutdown risk jumps to ~96% (Polymarket) from 18% last week.
Not full gov shutdown – 96% funded till Sep 2026.
But Treasury liquidity moves possible → watch DXY, short-end yields, repo stress.
#Macro #RiskFirst
Not full gov shutdown – 96% funded till Sep 2026.
But Treasury liquidity moves possible → watch DXY, short-end yields, repo stress.
#Macro #RiskFirst
Markets sold off broadly today: S&P500 -1.57%, Nasdaq -2.03%, Oil -2.63%, Gold -3.22%, Silver -10.85%. Metals flashing red again. Are your positions ready for broad market stress? #Macro #RiskFirst
February 12, 2026 at 10:01 PM
Markets sold off broadly today: S&P500 -1.57%, Nasdaq -2.03%, Oil -2.63%, Gold -3.22%, Silver -10.85%. Metals flashing red again. Are your positions ready for broad market stress? #Macro #RiskFirst
BIG MOVE: Silver collapses >10% to $75.47/oz. Short-term panic or start of structural correction? Metals are flashing risk alerts again. Eyes on silver & gold as signals for broader stress. #RiskFirst #Macro
February 12, 2026 at 6:43 PM
BIG MOVE: Silver collapses >10% to $75.47/oz. Short-term panic or start of structural correction? Metals are flashing risk alerts again. Eyes on silver & gold as signals for broader stress. #RiskFirst #Macro
A softer CPI may spark a rally.
That does not mean the economy is strong.
2025 payroll revisions erased ~862k jobs. Growth was overstated. Labor momentum is fragile.
Short term rallies are not durable expansion.
#SystemMargin #RiskManagement
That does not mean the economy is strong.
2025 payroll revisions erased ~862k jobs. Growth was overstated. Labor momentum is fragile.
Short term rallies are not durable expansion.
#SystemMargin #RiskManagement
February 12, 2026 at 12:02 PM
A softer CPI may spark a rally.
That does not mean the economy is strong.
2025 payroll revisions erased ~862k jobs. Growth was overstated. Labor momentum is fragile.
Short term rallies are not durable expansion.
#SystemMargin #RiskManagement
That does not mean the economy is strong.
2025 payroll revisions erased ~862k jobs. Growth was overstated. Labor momentum is fragile.
Short term rallies are not durable expansion.
#SystemMargin #RiskManagement
BTC rebound ~20% from low ~$60k to ~$71k after capitulation, but structure shows cracks: Whales +40k BTC on dip → accumulation, concentrated. Funding negative → short squeeze relief, not reversal. High Nasdaq correlation. Base or bear trap? Structure > candles. #RiskFirst #BTC
February 10, 2026 at 12:51 PM
BTC rebound ~20% from low ~$60k to ~$71k after capitulation, but structure shows cracks: Whales +40k BTC on dip → accumulation, concentrated. Funding negative → short squeeze relief, not reversal. High Nasdaq correlation. Base or bear trap? Structure > candles. #RiskFirst #BTC
Fed may already be too late. Real-time inflation ~0.68%, layoffs rising, credit stress building. Next phase is not about inflation – it’s growth & policy risk. Markets are pricing cracks before Fed reacts. Structure > candles.
#Macro #RiskFirst #MarketStructure #FedWatch
#Macro #RiskFirst #MarketStructure #FedWatch
February 9, 2026 at 7:05 AM
Fed may already be too late. Real-time inflation ~0.68%, layoffs rising, credit stress building. Next phase is not about inflation – it’s growth & policy risk. Markets are pricing cracks before Fed reacts. Structure > candles.
#Macro #RiskFirst #MarketStructure #FedWatch
#Macro #RiskFirst #MarketStructure #FedWatch
Silver 1w vol >90% blowout vs gold ~35%. Real yields grinding, USD firm, de-leveraging. Silver always cracks first. Gold? Still the anchor. Dump confirmed. Flip coming. Structure rules candles drool. #Macro #RiskFirst #Metals
February 9, 2026 at 6:27 AM
Silver 1w vol >90% blowout vs gold ~35%. Real yields grinding, USD firm, de-leveraging. Silver always cracks first. Gold? Still the anchor. Dump confirmed. Flip coming. Structure rules candles drool. #Macro #RiskFirst #Metals
Illinois + Virginia pursuing legislative + technical BTC locks (multisig + sale limits).
Not dip-buying – strategic positions hard to unwind.
Price drops ? Yes. Volatility ? Yes. Intent ? Yes.
Structure > candles.
#Macro #RiskFirst #Bitcoin
Not dip-buying – strategic positions hard to unwind.
Price drops ? Yes. Volatility ? Yes. Intent ? Yes.
Structure > candles.
#Macro #RiskFirst #Bitcoin
February 8, 2026 at 6:10 PM
Illinois + Virginia pursuing legislative + technical BTC locks (multisig + sale limits).
Not dip-buying – strategic positions hard to unwind.
Price drops ? Yes. Volatility ? Yes. Intent ? Yes.
Structure > candles.
#Macro #RiskFirst #Bitcoin
Not dip-buying – strategic positions hard to unwind.
Price drops ? Yes. Volatility ? Yes. Intent ? Yes.
Structure > candles.
#Macro #RiskFirst #Bitcoin
BTC just had a short squeeze, but trend remains down. Key support ~$50k, relief rally up to $75k, full recovery needs $100k. Whale moves, liquidity, and macro cycles show risk > price. Full deep dive in our newsletter 👇
February 7, 2026 at 6:54 PM
BTC just had a short squeeze, but trend remains down. Key support ~$50k, relief rally up to $75k, full recovery needs $100k. Whale moves, liquidity, and macro cycles show risk > price. Full deep dive in our newsletter 👇
Reality is under attack.
Noise is everywhere.
System Margin does not sell profits.
It sells a verification process.
Risk first.
Single source of truth.
A digital shelter from chaos.
#SystemMargin
#RiskFirst
Noise is everywhere.
System Margin does not sell profits.
It sells a verification process.
Risk first.
Single source of truth.
A digital shelter from chaos.
#SystemMargin
#RiskFirst
February 7, 2026 at 4:16 PM
Reality is under attack.
Noise is everywhere.
System Margin does not sell profits.
It sells a verification process.
Risk first.
Single source of truth.
A digital shelter from chaos.
#SystemMargin
#RiskFirst
Noise is everywhere.
System Margin does not sell profits.
It sells a verification process.
Risk first.
Single source of truth.
A digital shelter from chaos.
#SystemMargin
#RiskFirst