As acceleration (from NASA satellite and Ocean Heat Content data and forcing estimates) started after 2010, including the preceding 15 years provides a false sense of security.
Using an extrapolation of the 15-year trend puts 1.5 on September 2025:
As acceleration (from NASA satellite and Ocean Heat Content data and forcing estimates) started after 2010, including the preceding 15 years provides a false sense of security.
Using an extrapolation of the 15-year trend puts 1.5 on September 2025: