SwissDataGuy
SwissDataGuy
@swissdataguy.bsky.social
Mainly Ukraine news and economic changes regarding Ukraine and Russia.
Interest in Blockchain technology and interesting projects.
Russia 3-Month Interbank Rate

The rate is still on 17.16%. It's the rate of interest charged on short-term loans made between banks. Very expensive if you need liquidity... and hardly over the official Russian Interest Rate in September of 17%.
November 17, 2025 at 1:55 PM
If true, then this is really significant. A second source & massive lower revenue streams needs to be seen in November. In October it was somewhat lower for crude oil but still above the 200 Mio daily revenue line (left upper chart) if you follow the CREA numbers. Crude is still 40% RU revenues!
November 17, 2025 at 1:36 PM
That would be very fast. The November exporting numbers will show if exports run smoothly. October on crude was not really good according to Crea. Fossil fuels were really bad. Let's see.
November 16, 2025 at 8:14 PM
1/3 📉 OCT 2025: KREMLIN OIL CASH AT “RECORD LOW”

CREA shows 🇷🇺 fossil-fuel export revenue down to €524m/day, the lowest since the full-scale invasion. That’s still ~€16bn/month into Putin’s war budget, with crude €238m/day and oil products €114m/day even after drone strikes and new sanctions.
November 14, 2025 at 4:20 PM
I want one too 🦩😇

So I hope the 🦩 will grow from a small number to the numbers on the right side soon 🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩

Picture: Santuario Los Flamencos de Guajira done in October
November 13, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Russia Corruption Rank

Yeah, it's going into the right direction ⬆️.

Mordor is getting corrupter and corrupter.

Russia is the 154 least corrupt nation out of 180 countries, according to the 2024 Corruption Perceptions Index reported by Transparency International. Can they even go to 170 or 180?
November 10, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Lukoil 4000 could be in reach

Lukoil’s Volgograd refinery remains offline after a major Ukr drone strike. Damage to the CDU-5 primary unit and a hydrocracker forced a full halt; the site handled ~13.7 Mt in 2024 (~5% of Russia’s refining). Repairs, security hardening, and timelines remain unclear.
November 7, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Russian fossil fuel exports
14-day running average in EUR

The trend is the Russians friend. This is revenue based and that's what finally counts to dry up the RU war machine.

Source: CREA www.russiafossiltracker.com
November 7, 2025 at 7:20 AM
That means less EU LNG imports. I hope this will reduce this then significantly in October and the close future.
November 6, 2025 at 9:49 AM
Export Duty collections, rather than by significant increases in production or upstream taxes.

Gas revenues remain especially weak, with export volumes to Europe sharply curtailed and domestic regulated prices keeping margins low

Who buy it? See below. EU is still buying lots of pipeline gas & LNG
November 6, 2025 at 9:45 AM
Russia Manufacturing PMI edged down to 48.0 in October 2025 from September’s 48.2, signaling a fifth consecutive month of contraction and the sharpest downturn since July.

It's getting worse. I supposed more but I assume due to RU is still pouring money into manufacturing to keep on fighting.
November 3, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Exports are shrinking!

Exports in Russia decreased to 31527 USD Million in August from 38027 USD Million in July of 2025.

Let's see how September and October will be as oil and oil product revenues are getting lower and lower.

The huge gasoline station ⛽ (Russia) is crumbling!
November 1, 2025 at 7:45 AM
Visiting friends and doing sports at the coast. Very nice for water sports ☺️

Google Cabo de la Vela.

And nice nature in Guajira and Palomino for tourism. But tricky to reach due to low season.
October 31, 2025 at 7:20 PM
And Russians demonstrate taping live mice to FPV kamikaze drones for fun.

Rusky Mir and Russian values at it's best... soon they may eat them 😇
October 31, 2025 at 6:58 PM
Trump may 🐔 chicken out aka TACO again after Putin is calling him.

But 100 ATACMS would be nice as well and a good present 💝

But why the heck is Germany not sending over some Taurus missiles as some anyhow need to be depreciated in the closer future.
October 31, 2025 at 5:29 PM
RUSSIAN real wage loss

Real wages in Russia rose by 3.8% year-on-year in August 2025, following a 6.6% surge in the prior month and below market forecasts of a 5.2% growth.

So only 3.8% more than a year ago. This is adjusted by low official inflation data so they took only 8%.
October 31, 2025 at 11:51 AM
Here with the volumes of 187.45 thousand tonnes at the end of Oct compared to e.g. 361.68 in Feb 2022

Not much left and I assume it will even go lower and at the end RU may break delivery contracts. This number has as well chemicals included so a certain amount will stay.

It's costly for Mordor!
October 31, 2025 at 8:19 AM
Ukrainian sanctions work!

If you look carefully at belows CREA chart then you see that oil products & chemicals are really on the low with 87.44 Mio Euro.

In the peak in Aug 22 it was more than 330 Mio Euro. So it's a bit more than a quarter now.

Total revenues are on the all time low as well!
October 31, 2025 at 7:33 AM
After the start of the war in 2022 prices went up very quickly and came down quite fast (see 5 year chart 📈).

This time the prices will stay high as Russia needs even to import gasoline and many refineries are not operating at all or with reduced capacity. Repairs are expensive as well!
October 31, 2025 at 6:54 AM
Gasoline Prices in Russia increased to 0.84 USD/Liter in October from 0.76 USD/Liter in September of 2025.

They go up, steadily for the case gasoline is available. I suppose many high price points are not available in the trading economics data anyway and I think prices will stay high.
October 31, 2025 at 6:54 AM
Russia Money Supply M2

M2 money supply was reaching an all time high of 121573.60 RUB Billion in August 2025.

It might increase this year even much more, often with a spike in October or November. This year there's a good chance that the increase is much more as normally.

It will get worse 😇
October 27, 2025 at 9:34 AM
No words needed...
October 26, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Steel Production in Russia decreased to 5200 Thousand Tonnes in September from 5500 Thousand Tonnes in August of 2025.

Soon we may reach the lows of 2022 😇
October 25, 2025 at 6:53 PM
RU Manufacturing disaster
The S&P Global Ru Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.2 in Sep 2025 from Aug’s 3-month high of 48.7, signaling a "fourth" straight month of contraction
Output declined at the sharpest rate in over three years, while new orders shrank more steeply
I suppose Oct. is looking worse 😇
October 25, 2025 at 5:35 AM
Cracks in Ru economy
Russia’s economy is cracking under pressure: key industries like coal, steel, and construction are collapsing. Output is plunging, jobs are vanishing, and analysts warn of a deep structural recession. The Kremlin’s propaganda of “resilience” is crumbling fast as reality bites
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October 23, 2025 at 1:38 PM