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Swan Bitcoin
@swanbitcoin.bsky.social
Bitcoin-only financial services. Follow for #Bitcoin news, education, videos, memes, and more.
Ask yourself:

Is sentiment really collapsing because Bitcoin is breaking… or because it isn’t behaving the way people expected at this stage of the cycle?

The pain isn’t from fundamentals deteriorating — it’s from expectations unwinding.
November 17, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Plus:
• SOFI rolling out Bitcoin to all customers
• Senate draft protecting self-custody + P2P
• Shutdown ends, liquidity pressure lifts
• Stimulus chatter returns
• 50-year + portable mortgages to support housing
• Fed board shifting dovish

None of this is bearish.
November 17, 2025 at 7:08 PM
And one of the biggest catalysts yet:

Square activated Bitcoin payments across 4 million merchants.
Lightning rails.
0% fees until 2027.
Pay in dollars or BTC — merchant settles however they want.

This is the first real mainstream glide path for Bitcoin as a payment rail.
November 17, 2025 at 7:08 PM
Corporate treasury adoption is rising fast:

Strive raised capital via perpetual preferreds and bought 1,567 BTC, directly following the MicroStrategy framework.

The Bitcoin balance-sheet era is spreading.
November 17, 2025 at 7:07 PM
A central bank bought Bitcoin.

The Czech National Bank made the first official allocation — a small “test portfolio,” which is institutional code for:
We’re learning before scaling.

Ten years ago this was unthinkable. Today it barely trends.
November 17, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Meanwhile the macro backdrop is turning constructive:

• QT is ending
• Rate cuts have started
• ~$900B in TGA liquidity is about to re-enter the system
• Fiscal dominance is accelerating

This is not a “November 2021” environment.
November 17, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Nothing in the underlying thesis is breaking.
No protocol failures.
No systemic exchange collapse.
No macro shock like 2021→2022.

Yet we’re pricing like something fundamental is wrong.
November 17, 2025 at 7:07 PM
But here’s what most are missing: this doesn’t look like a top — it looks like a market waiting for its engine to turn.
Rates are easing, but liquidity hasn’t kicked in yet.
Historically, Bitcoin’s biggest moves come after that turn, not before.
November 14, 2025 at 7:17 PM
This is why it feels like a bear market:
Not because Bitcoin broke — but because nothing is moving.
No mania.
No acceleration.
Just months of emotional fatigue.
Markets hate boredom more than volatility.
November 14, 2025 at 7:17 PM