Is sentiment really collapsing because Bitcoin is breaking… or because it isn’t behaving the way people expected at this stage of the cycle?
The pain isn’t from fundamentals deteriorating — it’s from expectations unwinding.
Is sentiment really collapsing because Bitcoin is breaking… or because it isn’t behaving the way people expected at this stage of the cycle?
The pain isn’t from fundamentals deteriorating — it’s from expectations unwinding.
• SOFI rolling out Bitcoin to all customers
• Senate draft protecting self-custody + P2P
• Shutdown ends, liquidity pressure lifts
• Stimulus chatter returns
• 50-year + portable mortgages to support housing
• Fed board shifting dovish
None of this is bearish.
• SOFI rolling out Bitcoin to all customers
• Senate draft protecting self-custody + P2P
• Shutdown ends, liquidity pressure lifts
• Stimulus chatter returns
• 50-year + portable mortgages to support housing
• Fed board shifting dovish
None of this is bearish.
Square activated Bitcoin payments across 4 million merchants.
Lightning rails.
0% fees until 2027.
Pay in dollars or BTC — merchant settles however they want.
This is the first real mainstream glide path for Bitcoin as a payment rail.
Square activated Bitcoin payments across 4 million merchants.
Lightning rails.
0% fees until 2027.
Pay in dollars or BTC — merchant settles however they want.
This is the first real mainstream glide path for Bitcoin as a payment rail.
Strive raised capital via perpetual preferreds and bought 1,567 BTC, directly following the MicroStrategy framework.
The Bitcoin balance-sheet era is spreading.
Strive raised capital via perpetual preferreds and bought 1,567 BTC, directly following the MicroStrategy framework.
The Bitcoin balance-sheet era is spreading.
The Czech National Bank made the first official allocation — a small “test portfolio,” which is institutional code for:
We’re learning before scaling.
Ten years ago this was unthinkable. Today it barely trends.
The Czech National Bank made the first official allocation — a small “test portfolio,” which is institutional code for:
We’re learning before scaling.
Ten years ago this was unthinkable. Today it barely trends.
• QT is ending
• Rate cuts have started
• ~$900B in TGA liquidity is about to re-enter the system
• Fiscal dominance is accelerating
This is not a “November 2021” environment.
• QT is ending
• Rate cuts have started
• ~$900B in TGA liquidity is about to re-enter the system
• Fiscal dominance is accelerating
This is not a “November 2021” environment.
No protocol failures.
No systemic exchange collapse.
No macro shock like 2021→2022.
Yet we’re pricing like something fundamental is wrong.
No protocol failures.
No systemic exchange collapse.
No macro shock like 2021→2022.
Yet we’re pricing like something fundamental is wrong.
Rates are easing, but liquidity hasn’t kicked in yet.
Historically, Bitcoin’s biggest moves come after that turn, not before.
Rates are easing, but liquidity hasn’t kicked in yet.
Historically, Bitcoin’s biggest moves come after that turn, not before.
Not because Bitcoin broke — but because nothing is moving.
No mania.
No acceleration.
Just months of emotional fatigue.
Markets hate boredom more than volatility.
Not because Bitcoin broke — but because nothing is moving.
No mania.
No acceleration.
Just months of emotional fatigue.
Markets hate boredom more than volatility.