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Stodge et al.

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

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Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 13 (Wow has this season flown by)

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 13 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Indiana
2. Ohio State
3. Texas A&M
4. Georgia
5. Ole Miss
6. Texas Tech
7. Oregon
8. Alabama
9. Oklahoma
10. BYU
11. Texas
12. Notre Dame
13. Utah
14. Vanderbilt
15. USC
16. Tennessee
17. Michigan
18. LSU
19. Missouri
20. Miami
21. Illinois
22. Arizona State
23. Georgia Tech
24. Houston
25. North Texas

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 13 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. Montana
3. Tarleton State
4. Montana State
5. Lehigh
6. Harvard
7. Illinois State
8. Tennessee Tech
9. South Dakota
10. North Dakota
11. Stephen F. Austin
12. South Dakota State
13. Youngstown State
14. Abilene Christian
15. UC Davis
16. Lamar
17. Yale
18. Southern Illinois
19. SE Louisiana
20. Northern Arizona
21. West Georgia
22. Dartmouth
23. Southern Utah
24. Austin Peay
25. Idaho State

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 13 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ferris State
2. Harding University
3. Kutztown University
4. Central Washington
5. Albany State GA
6. Findlay
7. Indianapolis
8. Newberry
9. Ashland
10. Wingate
11. West Florida
12. Pittsburg State
13. Northwood (MI)
14. CSU Pueblo
15. Benedict College
16. Emory & Henry College
17. Carson-Newman College
18. Kentucky State
19. Northwest Missouri State
20. UT Permian Basin
21. Minnesota Duluth
22. Johnson C Smith
23. Lenoir-Rhyne
24. Western Oregon
25. Valdosta State

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 13 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. University of Mount Union
3. Wartburg
4. Wheaton
5. Wisconsin-River Falls
6. Wisconsin-La Crosse
7. Wisconsin-Whitewater
8. Wisconsin-Platteville
9. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
10. Wisconsin-Stout
11. Washington University (St. Louis)
12. Coe College
13. Wisconsin-Stevens Pt
14. Augustana (IL)
15. Central College
16. Bethel (MN)
17. Christopher Newport
18. Wisconsin-Eau Claire
19. Simpson College (PA)
20. Randolph-Macon
21. Saint John's (MN)
22. Salisbury
23. Monmouth (IL)
24. Illinois Wesleyan
25. Carroll University (WI)

November 18, 2025 at 11:44 PM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 12

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 12 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Indiana
2. Ohio State
3. Texas A&M
4. Georgia
5. Alabama
6. Ole Miss
7. Oregon
8. Texas
9. Texas Tech
10. BYU
11. Oklahoma
12. Vanderbilt
13. Utah
14. Notre Dame
15. Tennessee
16. USC
17. Michigan
18. Miami
19. Missouri
20. LSU
21. Arizona State
22. Illinois
23. Georgia Tech
24. Cincinnati
25. South Florida

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 12 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. Montana
3. Tarleton State
4. Montana State
5. Tennessee Tech
6. Harvard
7. North Dakota
8. South Dakota State
9. Lehigh
10. South Dakota
11. Illinois State
12. Stephen F. Austin
13. Youngstown State
14. UC Davis
15. Southern Illinois
16. Lamar
17. Abilene Christian
18. Northern Arizona
19. West Georgia
20. SE Louisiana
21. Yale
22. Southern Utah
23. Idaho State
24. Dartmouth
25. Austin Peay

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 12 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Harding University
2. Findlay
3. Ferris State
4. Central Washington
5. West Florida
6. Indianapolis
7. Newberry
8. Albany State GA
9. Wingate
10. Ashland
11. Southern Arkansas
12. Carson-Newman College
13. Ouachita Baptist
14. Emory & Henry College
15. Northwest Missouri State
16. Henderson State
17. Pittsburg State
18. Arkansas Tech
19. Catawba
20. Benedict College
21. Northwood (MI)
22. Kutztown University
23. CSU Pueblo
24. Lenoir-Rhyne
25. UT Permian Basin

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 12 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. Wartburg
3. University of Mount Union
4. Bethel (MN)
5. Wisconsin-River Falls
6. Wisconsin-La Crosse
7. Wisconsin-Platteville
8. Wisconsin-Whitewater
9. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
10. Wisconsin-Stout
11. Wheaton
12. Wisconsin-Stevens Pt
13. Saint John's (MN)
14. Coe College
15. Central College
16. Monmouth (IL)
17. Washington University (St. Louis)
18. Wisconsin-Eau Claire
19. Augustana (IL)
20. Johns Hopkins University
21. John Carroll University
22. Christopher Newport
23. Hope College
24. Alma
25. Adrian

November 11, 2025 at 8:42 PM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

You

November 7, 2025 at 8:56 PM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 11 (update: Arch got well soon)

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 11 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ohio State
2. Indiana
3. Texas A&M
4. Georgia
5. Alabama
6. Ole Miss
7. Texas
8. BYU
9. Oregon
10. Texas Tech
11. Oklahoma
12. Vanderbilt
13. Utah
14. Notre Dame
15. Missouri
16. Tennessee
17. Miami
18. Louisville
19. LSU
20. Michigan
21. USC
22. Georgia Tech
23. Virginia
24. Illinois
25. Washington

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 11 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. Montana
3. Tarleton State
4. Montana State
5. Tennessee Tech
6. South Dakota State
7. North Dakota
8. Harvard
9. Southern Illinois
10. South Dakota
11. Lehigh
12. Illinois State
13. Stephen F. Austin
14. Youngstown State
15. SE Louisiana
16. UC Davis
17. Abilene Christian
18. Lamar
19. Monmouth
20. Northern Arizona
21. Indiana State
22. West Georgia
23. Austin Peay
24. Sacramento State
25. Yale

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 11 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Harding University
2. Central Washington
3. West Florida
4. Ferris State
5. Findlay
6. Indianapolis
7. Ashland
8. Albany State GA
9. Newberry
10. Wingate
11. Southern Arkansas
12. Carson-Newman College
13. Kutztown
14. Ouachita Baptist
15. Northwest Missouri State
16. Henderson State
17. Augustana University (SD)
18. Arkansas Tech
19. Emory & Henry College
20. East Central (OK)
21. Minnesota Duluth
22. Southwestern Oklahoma State
23. Pittsburg State
24. Kentucky State
25. Benedict College

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 11 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. Wartburg
3. Wisconsin-River Falls
4. Wisconsin-La Crosse
5. Wisconsin-Platteville
6. Wisconsin-Whitewater
7. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
8. Wisconsin-Stout
9. University of Mount Union
10. Bethel (MN)
11. Wisconsin-Stevens Pt
12. Johns Hopkins University
13. Wheaton
14. Saint John's (MN)
15. Wisconsin-Eau Claire
16. John Carroll University
17. Washington University (St. Louis)
18. Alma
19. Hope College
20. Coe College
21. Trinity (CT)
22. DePauw
23. Wabash College
24. Salisbury
25. Central College

November 5, 2025 at 11:13 PM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 10 (get well soon, Arch)

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 10 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ohio State
2. Indiana
3. Alabama
4. Texas A&M
5. Georgia
6. Ole Miss
7. BYU
8. Texas
9. Vanderbilt
10. Oregon
11. Tennessee
12. Notre Dame
13. Miami
14. Oklahoma
15. Georgia Tech
16. Missouri
17. Texas Tech
18. Utah
19. LSU
20. Michigan
21. South Florida
22. Cincinnati
23. Washington
24. USC
25. Louisville

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 10 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. Tarleton State
3. Montana
4. South Dakota State
5. Montana State
6. North Dakota
7. Tennessee Tech
8. UC Davis
9. Harvard
10. Southern Illinois
11. Youngstown State
12. Lehigh
13. Illinois State
14. SE Louisiana
15. Lamar
16. Stephen F. Austin
17. South Dakota
18. North Arizona
19. Austin Peay
20. Abilene Christian
21. Monmouth
22. West Georgia
23. Dartmouth
24. Yale
25. Sacramento State

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 10 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Harding University
2. Ferris State
3. Central Washington
4. Albany State (GA)
5. Southern Arkansas
6. Ashland
7. Indianapolis
8. West Florida
9. Ouachita Baptist
10. Findlay
11. Wingate
12. Henderson State
13. Benedict College
14. Newberry
15. Northwood (MI)
16. Arkansas Tech
17. Northwest Missouri State
18. Delta State
19. Western Colorado
20. Carson-Newman College
21. Kutztown University
22. Kentucky State
23. Southwestern Oklahoma State
24. Pittsburg State
25. Minnesota Duluth

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 10 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. Wartburg
3. University of West Florida
4. Wisconsin-River Falls
5. Wisconsin-La Crosse
6. Wisconsin-Whitewater
7. Wisconsin-Platteville
8. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
9. Wisconsin-Stout
10. Wheaton
11. Bethel (MN)
12. Johns Hopkins University
13. Wisconsin-Eau Claire
14. Saint John's (MN)
15. Wisconsin-Stevens Pt
16. John Carroll University
17. Christopher Newport
18. Salisbury
19. Hope University
20. Trinity (CT)
21. Alma
22. Washington University (St. Louis)
23. Central College
24. Adrian
25. Williams

October 28, 2025 at 12:47 AM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 9, belatedly

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 9 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ohio State
2. Indiana
3. Alabama
4. Georgia
5. Texas A&M
6. Ole Miss
7. Oregon
8. Oklahoma
9. Texas
10. Missouri
11. Miami
12. Vanderbilt
13. BYU
14. Notre Dame
15. Tennessee
16. LSU
17. Texas Tech
18. Georgia Tech
19. South Florida
20. Utah
21. Louisville
22. Michigan
23. USC
24. Illinois
25. Cincinnati

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 9 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Tarleton State
2. North Dakota State
3. South Dakota State
4. Montana State
5. Montana
6. North Dakota
7. Tennessee Tech
8. UC Davis
9. Harvard
10. Southern Illinois
11. South Dakota
12. Lehigh
13. Youngstown State
14. Stephen F. Austin
15. SE Louisiana
16. Lamar
17. Northern Arizona
18. Sacramento State
19. Abilene Christian
20. Austin Peay
21. Illinois State
22. Monmouth
23. Cal Poly
24. West Georgia
25. Idaho State

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 9 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Harding University
2. Ferris State
3. Central Washington
4. Southern Arkansas
5. Henderson State
6. Northwest Missouri State
7. Indianapolis
8. Ashland
9. Minnesota State Mankato
10. Benedict College
11. West Florida
12. Albany State (GA)
13. Findlay
14. Pittsburg State
15. Ouachita Baptist
16. Minnesota Duluth
17. Wingate
18. Northwood (MI)
19. Western Colorado
20. Emory & Henry College
21. Augustana University (SD)
22. Carson-Newman College
23. Delta State
24. Tiffin
25. CSU Pueblo

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 9 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. University of Mount Union
3. Bethel (MN)
4. Wisconsin-Platteville
5. Wisconsin-River Falls
6. Wartburg
7. Wisconsin-La Crosse
8. Wisconsin-Whitewater
9. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
10. Johns Hopkins University
11. Wisconsin-Stout
12. Wheaton
13. Saint John's (MN)
14. John Carroll University
15. Central College
16. Alma
17. Coe College
18. Hope College
19. Christopher Newport
20. Trinity (CT)
21. Adrian
22. Wisconsin-Eau Claire
23. Williams
24. Wisconsin-Stevens Pt
25. Washington University (St. Louis)

October 22, 2025 at 11:53 PM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 8

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 8 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ohio State
2. Indiana
3. Ole Miss
4. Alabama
5. Miami
6. Georgia
7. Texas A&M
8. Texas Tech
9. LSU
10. Oregon
11. Tennessee
12. Texas
13. Notre Dame
14. Oklahoma
15. Missouri
16. BYU
17. Vanderbilt
18. Utah
19. South Florida
20. Memphis
21. Washington
22. Illinois
23. USC
24. Georgia Tech
25. Florida

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 8 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. South Dakota State
3. Tarleton State
4. Montana State
5. Montana
6. North Dakota
7. UC Davis
8. Southern Illinois
9. Tennessee Tech
10. Harvard
11. South Dakota
12. Abilene Christian
13. Lehigh
14. Stephen F. Austin
15. Northern Arizona
16. Austin Peay
17. SE Louisiana
18. Illinois State
19. West Georgia
20. Lamar
21. Youngstown State
22. Sacramento State
23. Eastern Kentucky
24. Cal Poly
25. Idaho State

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 8 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Harding University
2. Central Washington
3. Ferris State
4. UT Permian Basin
5. Southern Arkansas
6. Indianapolis
7. Minnesota State Mankato
8. Northwest Missouri State
9. Pittsburg State
10. Minnesota Duluth
11. Ashland
12. Findlay
13. Emory & Henry College
14. Western Colorado
15. Augustana University (SD)
16. Henderson State
17. Kutztown University
18. CSU Pueblo
19. UNC Pembroke
20. Delta State
21. Nebraska-Kearney
22. West Florida
23. Ouachita Baptist
24. Central Oklahoma
25. Wingate

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 8 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. University of Mount Union
3. Wisconsin-La Crosse
4. Wartburg
5. Wisconsin-RIver Falls
6. Wisconsin-Platteville
7. Wisconsin-Whitewater
8. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
9. Bethel (MN)
10. Wisconsin-Stout
11. Wheaton
12. Johns Hopkins University
13. Central College
14. Trinity (CT)
15. Wesleyan University (CT)
16. Saint John's (MN)
17. Coe College
18. Williams
19. Wisconsin-Eau Claire
20. Alma
21. Washington University (St. Louis)
22. Hardin-Simmons
23. Amherst
24. Wisconsin-Stevens Pt
25. Hope College

October 13, 2025 at 5:47 PM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 7
(as always, top 25 is in the alt text)

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 7 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ohio State
2. Ole Miss
3. Indiana
4. Alabama
5. Oregon
6. Miami
7. Georgia
8. Texas A&M
9. Oklahoma
10. LSU
11. Missouri
12. Tennessee
13. Vanderbilt
14. Notre Dame
15. Texas Tech
16. Texas
17. BYU
18. Michigan
19. Illinois
20. Memphis
21. Washington
22. USC
23. Auburn
24. Florida
15. Utah

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 7 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. South Dakota State
3. Tarleton State
4. Montana
5. Montana State
6. North Dakota
7. Southern Illinois
8. UC Davis
9. Austin Peay
10. Harvard
11. Tennessee Tech
12. West Georgia
13. Northern Arizona
14. Youngstown State
15. Idaho
16. SE Louisiana
17. South Dakota
18. Illinois State
19. Stephen F. Austin
20. Abilene Christian
21. Lehigh
22. Idaho State
23. Lamar
24. Cal Poly
25. Sacramento State

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 7 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Harding University
2. Ferris State
3. Central Washington
4. UT Permian Basin
5. Minnesota Duluth
6. Minnesota State Mankato
7. Pittsburg State
8. Southern Arkansas
9. Angelo State
10. Indianapolis
11. CSU Pueblo
12. Augustana University (SD)
13. Northwest Missouri State
14. Ashland
15. Findlay
16. Central Missouri
17. Fort Hays State
18. Western Colorado
19. Emory & Henry College
20. Delta State
21. UNC Pembroke
22. Nebraska-Kearney
23. Henderson State
24. Kutztown University
25. West Florida

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 7 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. University of Mount Union
3. Wisconsin-La Crosse
4. Wisconsin-Platteville
5. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
6. Wisconsin-River Falls
7. Wisconsin-Whitewater
8. Bethel (MN)
9. Wartburg
10. Wheaton
11. Wisconsin-Stout
12. Johns Hopkins University
13. Central College
14. Saint John's (MN)
15. Salisbury
16. Washington University (St. Louis)
17. Wesleyan University (CT)
18. Christopher Newport
19. Trinity (CT)
20. Alma
21. Hope College
22. Williams
23. Wisconsin-Stevens Pt
24. Wisconsin-Eau Claire
25. Carnegie Mellon

October 8, 2025 at 2:41 AM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 6

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 6 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ohio State
2. Oregon
3. Ole Miss
4. Indiana
5. Alabama
6. Oklahoma
7. Georgia
8. Miami
9. Texas
10. Texas A&M
11. Vanderbilt
12. Missouri
13. Tennessee
14. LSU
15. BYU
16. Michigan
17. Notre Dame
18. Penn State
19. Iowa State
20. Washington
21. Texas Tech
22. Illinois
23. USC
24. Auburn
25. Louisville

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 6 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. Tarleton State
3. South Dakota State
4. Montana State
5. Montana
6. North Dakota
7. Southern Illinois
8. West Georgia
9. Northern Arizona
10. UC Davis
11. Austin Peay
12. Tennessee Tech
13. Idaho
14. Youngstown State
15. South Dakota
16. Illinois State
17. Abilene Christian
18. Cal Poly
19. Idaho State
20. Stephen F. Austin
21. Incarnate Word
22. Harvard
23. SE Louisiana
24. Sacramento State
25. Yale

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 6 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Harding University
2. Minnesota Duluth
3. Ferris State
4. Central Washington
5. Minnesota State Mankato
6. Southern Arkansas
7. Angelo State
8. UT Permian Basin
9. UNC Pembroke
10. Pittsburg State
11. Delta State
12. Northwest Missouri State
13. Indianapolis
14. Fort Hays State
15. CSU Pueblo
16. Henderson State
17. Augustana University (SD)
18. Central Missouri
19. Ashland
20. Nebraska-Kearney
21. Kutztown University
22. West Florida
23. West Alabama
24. Findlay
25. Wingate

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 6 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. University of Mount Union
3. Wisconsin-River Falls
4. Wisconsin-Whitewater
5. Wisconsin-Platteville
6. Wisconsin-La Crosse
7. Wartburg
8. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
9. Wheaton
10. Wisconsin-Stout
11. Central College
12. Johns Hopkins University
13. Wisconsin-Eau Claire
14. Washington University (St. Louis)
15. Wisconsin-Stevens Pt
16. Bethel (MN)
17. Coe College
18. Saint John's (MN)
19. Wesleyan University (CT)
20. Williams
21. Salisbury
22. Randolph-Macon
23. Trinity (CT)
24. Carnegie Mellon
25. Hope College

October 1, 2025 at 11:10 PM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 5 charts!

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 5 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ole Miss
2. Ohio State
3. Indiana
4. Oregon
5. Georgia
6. Alabama
7. Oklahoma
8. Texas
9. Miami
10. Missouri
11. Tennessee
12. LSU
13. Vanderbilt
14. Texas A&M
15. Penn State
16. Michigan
17. USC
18. BYU
19. Washington
20. Notre Dame
21. Florida State
22. Auburn
23. Texas Tech
24. Arkansas
25. Iowa State

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 5 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Tarleton State
2. North Dakota State
3. South Dakota State
4. Montana
5. Montana State
6. Southern Illinois
7. North Dakota
8. Northern Arizona
9. UC Davis
10. West Georgia
11. Abilene Christian
12. Austin Peay
13. Idaho
14. Tennessee Tech
15. South Dakota
16. Sacramento State
17. Youngstown State
18. Illinois State
19. Stephen F. Austin
20. Idaho State
21. Southern Utah
22. Lamar
23. Incarnate Word
24. Yale
25. SE Louisiana

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 5 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Harding University
2. Minnesota Duluth
3. Ferris State
4. Central Washington
5. Angelo State
6. Southern Arkansas
7. Arkansas Tech
8. UT Permian Basin
9. Henderson State
10. Minnesota State Mankato
11. Pittsburg State
12. Augustana University (SD)
13. Fort Hays State
14. CSU Pueblo
15. Sioux Falls
16. Northwest Missouri State
17. West Florida
18. Wingate
19. Valdosta State
20. Delta State
21. Indianapolis
22. Nebraska-Kearney
23. Central Oklahoma
24. Findlay
25. Ouachita Baptist

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 5 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. Wisconsin-River Falls
3. Wisconsin-Whitewater
4. Wisconsin-Platteville
5. Wisconsin-La Crosse
6. University of Mount Union
7. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
8. Wartburg
9. Wheaton
10. Johns Hopkins University
11. Wisconsin-Stout
12. Coe College
13. Central College
14. Wisconsin-Eau Claire
15. Bethel (MN)
16. Williams
17. Washington University (St. Louis)
18. Hope College
19. Wisconsin-Stevens Pt
20. Saint John's (MN)
21. Tufts
22. Wesleyan University (CT)
23. Carnegie Mellon
24. Marietta
25. Baldwin Wallace

September 22, 2025 at 10:55 PM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 4 (top 25 rankings in alt text, as always)

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 4 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Oregon
2. Ole Miss
3. Ohio State
4. Georgia
5. Alabama
6. Oklahoma
7. Tennessee
8. Missouri
9. Indiana
10. LSU
11. Texas
12. Penn State
13. Texas A&M
14. Vanderbilt
15. USC
16. Miami
17. Auburn
18. Arkansas
19. Michigan
20. Illinois
21. BYU
22. Notre Dame
23. Nebraska
24. Utah
25. Florida State

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 4 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. Tarleton State
3. South Dakota State
4. Montana State
5. Austin Peay
6. Montana
7. North Dakota
8. Tennessee Tech
9. Northern Arizona
10. Southern Illinois
11. West Georgia
12. Idaho
13. UC Davis
14. Illinois State
15. Abilene Christian
16. South Dakota
17. Sacramento State
18. Youngstown State
19. UT Rio Grande Valley
20. SE Louisiana
21. Stephen F. Austin
22. Southern Utah
23. Incarnate Word
24. Lamar
25. Northern Iowa

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 4 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ferris State
2. Harding University
3. Minnesota Duluth
4. Angelo State
5. Minnesota State Mankato
6. Tiffin
7. Sioux Falls
8. UT Permian Basin
9. Fort Hays State
10. Central Washington
11. Western Colorado
12. Pittsburg State
13. Northwest Missouri State
14. CSU Pueblo
15. Southern Arkansas
16. Colorado School of Mines
17. Michigan Tech
18. Wingate
19. Ouachita Baptist
20. Central Oklahoma
21. Findlay
22. West Florida
23. Augustana University (SD)
24. Henderson State
25. Indianapolis

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 4 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central College
2. University of Mount Union
3. Wisconsin-Platteville
4. Wisconsin-River Falls
5. Wisconsin-La Crosse
6. Wisconsin-Whitewater
7. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
8. Hope College
9. Wartburg
10. Johns Hopkins University
11. Colby College
12. Wesleyan University (CT)
13. Bethel (MN)
14. Tufts
15. Mary Hardin-Baylor
16. Wheaton
17. Central College
18. Saint John's (MN)
19. DePauw
20. Alma
21. Salisbury
22. Williams
23. Susquehanna
24. Trinity (CT)
25. Hardin-Simmons

September 18, 2025 at 4:07 AM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 3 (Whee hee)

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 3 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Oregon
2. Ohio State
3. Ole Miss
4. Tennessee
5. Texas
6. Penn State
7. Alabama
8. Georgia
9. USC
10. Indiana
11. Notre Dame
12. Missouri
13. LSU
14. Oklahoma
15. Auburn
16. South Carolina
17. Nebraska
18. Miami
19. Illinois
20. Florida State
21. Washington
22. Texas A&M
23. Vanderbilt
24. Iowa State
25. Arkansas

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 3 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. South Dakota State
3. Tarleton State
4. Montana State
5. Montana
6. Austin Peay
7. North Dakota
8. Idaho
9. Tennessee Tech
10. West Georgia
11. New Hampshire
12. Northern Arizona
13. UC Davis
14. Sacramento State
15. Illinois State
16. South Dakota
17. Monmouth
18. Incarnate Word
19. Southern Illinois
20. Youngstown State
21. Southern Utah
22. Eastern Kentucky
23. Abilene Christian
24. Towson
25. Holy Cross

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 3 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ferris State
2. Angelo State
3. Harding
4. Minnesota Duluth
5. Minnesota State Mankato
6. Tiffin
7. Michigan Tech
8. Virginia Union
9. Delta State
10. UT Permian Basin
11. Fort Hays State
12. Grand Valley State
13. Augustana (SD)
14. Southern Arkansas
15. West Florida
16. Findlay
17. Pittsburg State
18. Central Washington
19. Northwest Missouri State
20. Central Oklahoma
21. Central Missouri
22. Wingate
23. Emporia State
24. Nebraska-Kearney
25. Ashland

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 3 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central
2. Wisconsin-Platteville
3. Wisconsin-River Falls
4. Mount Union
5. Wisconsin-Whitewater
6. Grove City
7. Wisconsin-Oshkosh
8. Saint John's (MN)
9. Bethel (MN)
10. Hope
11. Wisconsin-La Crosse
12. Johns Hopkins
13. Marietta
14. Trinity (CT)
15. Salisbury
16. Mary Hardin-Baylor
17. Springfield
18. Hardin-Simmons
19. Wesleyan (CT)
20. DePauw
21. Tufts
22. Middlebury
23. Susquehanna
24. Williams
25. Carnegie Mellon

September 9, 2025 at 1:00 AM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 2 (still need to update some team info, but hopefully it's mostly fine)

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 2 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ohio State
2. Oregon
3. Ole miss
4. Georgia
5. Penn State
6. Texas
7. Tennessee
8. Notre Dame
9. Miami
10. USC
11. LSU
12. South Carolina
13. Indiana
14. Iowa State
15. Missouri
16. Florida
17. BYU
18. Michigan
19. TCU
20. Auburn
21. Alabama
22. Texas A&M
23. Louisville
24. Oklahoma
25. Utah

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 2 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Dakota State
2. South Dakota State
3. Tarleton State
4. Montana State
5. South Dakota
6. UC Davis
7. North Dakota
8. Idaho
9. Montana
10. Southern Utah
11. Northern Arizona
12. UT Rio Grande Valley
13. Austin Peay
14. UT Martin
15. Southern Illinois
16. Illinois State
17. Incarnate Word
18. Sacramento State
19. Eastern Kentucky
20. Nicholls
21. West Georgia
22. New Hampshire
23. Stephen F. Austin
24. Tennessee Tech
25. Northern Iowa

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 2 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ferris State
2. Harding
3. Angelo State
4. West Florida
5. Ouachita Baptist
6. Virginia Union
7. UT Permian Basin
8. Valdosta State
9. Wingate
10. Southern Arkansas
11. Delta State
12. Central Washington
13. Minnesota State Mankato
14. Pittsburg State
15. CSU Pueblo
16. Minnesota Duluth
17. Grand Valley State
18. Augustana (SD)
19. West Alabama
20. Indianapolis
21. Colorado School of Mines
22. Michigan Tech
23. Emporia State
24. Fort Hays State
25. Central Missouri

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 2 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central
2. Mount Union
3. Wisconsin-Whitewater
4. Trinity (CT)
5. Wisconsin-River Falls
6. Linfield
7. Cortland
8. Wisconsin-Platteville
9. Wesleyan (CT)
10. Tufts
11. Mary Hardin-Baylor
12. Middlebury
13. Wisconsin-La Crosse
14. Saint John's (MN)
15. Bethel
16. Hardin-Simmons
17. Grove City
18. Williams
19. Carnegie Mellon
20. Colby
21. Hope
22. Marietta
23. Bowdoin
24. Washington & Jefferson
25. DePauw

September 4, 2025 at 1:38 AM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Week 1

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 1 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ohio State
2. Notre Dame
3. Ole Miss
4. Texas
5. Penn State
6. Alabama
7. Oregon
8. Georgia
9. Tennessee
10. Indiana
11. Michigan
12. South Carolina
13. LSU
14. Louisville
15. Miami
16. USC
17. Florida
18. SMU
19. Iowa State
20. Texas A&M
21. Arizona State
22. Clemson
23. Missouri
24. Oklahoma
25. Iowa

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 1 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. South Dakota State
2. North Dakota State
3. Montana State
4. South Dakota
5. UC Davis
6. Tarleton State
7. Montana
8. Idaho
9. UT Martin
10. Mercer
11. Illinois State
12. North Dakota
13. Northern Arizona
14. Abilene Christian
15. Western Carolina
16. Villanova
17. Chattanooga
18. Southern Illinois
19. Monmouth
20. Southern Utah
21. Harvard
22. Richmond
23. Eastern Washington
24. Yale
25. North Carolina Central

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 1 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ferris State
2. Harding
3. Valdosta State
4. Grand Valley State
5. Fort Hays State
6. Ouachita Baptist
7. Pittsburg State
8. Angelo State
9. Southern Arkansas
10. Central Missouri
11. Colorado School of Mines
12. Central Oklahoma
13. Central Washington
14. Wingate
15. UT Permian Basin
16. CSU Pueblo
17. Augustana (SD)
18. Northwest Missouri State
19. Saginaw Valley State
20. West Florida
21. Indianapolis
22. Western Colorado
23. Emporia State
24. Bemidji State
25. Virginia Union

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 1 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central
2. Wisconsin-Whitewater
3. Mount Union
4. Linfield
5. Wisconsin-River Falls
6. Cortland
7. Mary Hardin-Baylor
8. Wisconsin-Platteville
9. Hardin-Simmons
10. Trinity (CT)
11. Saint John's (MN)
12. Wisconsin-La Crosse
13. Bethel (MN)
14. Grove City
15. Carnegie Mellon
16. Hope
17. Marietta
18. Wesleyan (CT)
19. Tufts
20. Washington & Jefferson
21. Middlebury
22. DePauw
23. Williams
24. John Carroll
25. Johns Hopkins

August 25, 2025 at 2:53 AM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Just dropping my week 0 NCAA college football rankings here. (See alt text for each classification's top 25!)

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 0 FBS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ohio State
2. Notre Dame
3. Ole Miss
4. Texas
5. Penn State
6. Alabama
7. Oregon
8. Georgia
9. Tennessee
10. Indiana
11. Michigan
12. South Carolina
13. LSU
14. Louisville
15. Miami
16. SMU
17. Florida
18. USC
19. Texas A&M
20. Clemson
21. Missouri
22. Arizona State
23. Oklahoma
24. Minnesota
25. Iowa

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 0 FCS" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. South Dakota State
2. North Dakota State
3. Montana State
4. South Dakota
5. UC Davis
6. Montana
7. Idaho
8. UT Martin
9. Mercer
10. North Dakota
11. Illinois State
12. Northern Arizona
13. Incarnate Word
14. Tarleton State
15. Abilene Christian
16. Western Carolina
17. Villanova
18. Chattanooga
19. Southern Illinois
20. Eastern Washington
21. Monmouth
22. Harvard
23. Southern Utah
24. Richmond
25. Jackson State

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 0 D-II" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. Ferris State
2. Harding
3. Valdosta State
4. Grand Valley State
5. Fort Hays State
6. Ouachita Baptist
7. Pittsburg State
8. Angelo State
9. Southern Arkansas
10. Central Missouri
11. Colorado School of Mines
12. Central Oklahoma
13. Central Washington
14. Wingate
15. UT Permian Basin
16. CSU Pueblo
17. Augustana (SD)
18. Northwest Missouri State
19. Saginaw Valley State
20. West Florida
21. Indianapolis
22. Western Colorado
23. Emporia State
24. Bemidji State
25. Minnesota Duluth

Scatter plot titled "BTMaxPred Rankings, 2025 Week 0 D-III" showing the logos of college football teams plotted against the axes Relative Rating and Expected Win Rate. The teams with the highest Relative Rating are:

1. North Central
2. Wisconsin-Whitewater
3. Mount Union
4. Linfield
5. Wisconsin-River Falls
6. Cortland
7. Mary Hardin-Baylor
8. Wisconsin-Platteville
9. Hardin-Simmons
10. Trinity (CT)
11. Saint John's (MN)
12. Wisconsin-Lacrosse
13. Bethel (MN)
14. Grove City
15. Carnegie Mellon
16. Hope
17. Marietta
18. Wesleyan (CT)
19. Tufts
20. Washington & Jefferson
21. Middlebury
22. Depauw
23. Williams
24. John Carroll
25. Johns Hopkins

August 16, 2025 at 1:52 AM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

Photo of a dog standing on grass, staring at the camera wearing a hat, with the caption "Dogs can wear hats" underneath. The hat reads "WIKIPEDIA EDITOR".

August 28, 2024 at 11:16 PM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

some context

Telegram message reading:

This is the weirdest thing. It's like me *intending* to eat something specific that we never did eat was enough for me to subconsciously assume that we must've eaten it.

someone reacted with a 💯 emoji

April 5, 2024 at 7:31 AM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

yeeaahhhhhh......

Discord post from Stodge reading:

Heck, fuck it, maybe I'll actually self diagnose as having DID because literally all the diagnostic boxes are checked to some degree, and some moreso than I've realized

April 5, 2024 at 7:26 AM

Stodge et al.

@stodge.bsky.social

no idea what happened to my profile banner, but I kinda like it tbh

October 28, 2023 at 2:46 AM