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stheresearcher.bsky.social
S the Researcher
@stheresearcher.bsky.social
observer of geopolitics in East Asia

researcher for an embassy somewhere

UC Berkeley (B.A)
University of Tokyo (M.A)
Takaichi said on Nov21

🇯🇵’s policy of seeking a “mutually beneficial strategic relationship” and a “constructive and stable relationship” with 🇨🇳 “remains unchanged.”

“What is a survival threatening scenario would be judged by the govt based on what actually occur.”

No retraction
Just diplomacy
November 21, 2025 at 6:25 AM
China’s MOFA spokesperson reiterated on Nov 20 that there will be no plans for Chinese Premier Li and Japanese PM Takaichi to meet at G20 this weekend in Johannesburg.
外交部:李强总理没有会见日方领导人的安排,请日方自重-新华网
外交部:李强总理没有会见日方领导人的安排,请日方自重-
www.xinhuanet.com
November 21, 2025 at 3:49 AM
The news on the impact current Japan-China relations have on Japan’s tourism is concerning.

Some cited 5 people and then draws the conclusions that most tourists are “shrugging off” the travel advisories and then others are all citing data by ONE analyst (~500k ✈️ cancelled) with no 2nd source 🙄
November 19, 2025 at 8:32 AM
China’s attack on Japan has now elevated to the global stage.

Fu Cong, China's envoy to the UN said at UNGA's annual mtg on SC reform.
"Takaichi’s remarks are an affront to intl justice, damage world order…Japan totally unqualified to have permanent seat in SC.”

Ofc, 🇨🇳is most peace loving
🇷🇺🇰🇵too
Japan totally unqualified to seek permanent seat on UN Security Council: Chinese envoy
english.news.cn
November 19, 2025 at 6:25 AM
How exactly does China’s Consul General in Osaka expect to get any high-lvl diplomatic work done when both the Mayor of Osaka and the Gov of Osaka has expressed it would be hard to show up to events Xue attends?

Gov also called for a biz model that can sustained itself even if 🇨🇳tourists fall to 0
薛剣氏の投稿は「極めて不適切、許されない」 吉村知事、総領事主催の行事不参加を表明
大阪府の吉村洋文知事(日本維新の会代表)は18日の定例記者会見で、中国の薛剣(せつけん)駐大阪総領事が高市早苗首相に対して「汚い首は斬ってやるしかない」などと…
www.sankei.com
November 19, 2025 at 2:26 AM
Yoshimura, Gov of 大阪/the co-leader of Ishin, a coalition partner of the LDP, said on Nov 18 that 🇨🇳Consul General in Osaka Xue JIan should be declared persona non grata and indicated deportation should be considered.

He also said he will not attend any event hosted by Xue unless Xue apologizes.
維新・吉村代表、中国総領事の投稿批判 国外退去の検討も求める:朝日新聞
日本維新の会の吉村洋文代表(大阪府知事)は18日、台湾有事をめぐる高市早苗首相の国会答弁に対する中国の薛剣在大阪総領事のSNS投稿について、「外交官として非常に不適切だ」とし、「今の状態であればペル…
www.asahi.com
November 19, 2025 at 2:03 AM
The Japanese envoy sent to China returned to Japan on evening of 18th. 毎日新聞 reported“the two sides’ positions remain parallel” and that sounds about right. No concessions from either side as expected.

Now the focus is on whether Takaichi and 🇨🇳Premier Li will meet on margins of G20.
両者の主張は「平行線」 日中局長級協議 日本は首相答弁撤回せず | 毎日新聞
外務省の金井正彰アジア大洋州局長は18日、北京で中国外務省の劉勁松(りゅうけいしょう)アジア局長と数時間にわたって協議した。高市早苗首相の台湾有事に関する国会答弁について、従来の日本の立場を変えるものではないと説明し、撤回しない考えを伝えた。劉氏は首相答弁の撤回を改めて要求。両者の主張は平行線をた
mainichi.jp
November 19, 2025 at 12:38 AM
People

Please realize that lawmakers, diplomats, and those within the East Asia political spheres choose their words VERY carefully

NUANCES MATTER A LOT

Don’t switch out “synonyms” when citing them

Double check the translations for different connotations

I beg u
Seen too much false shit
November 18, 2025 at 10:46 AM
Those saying Japan is “revising” the three non-nuclear principles and Japan is “shifting security stance significantly“ please 🛑 because It is NOT TRUE.

1. review 見直し for 「非核三原則」and revise 改定 for 安保3文書

2. DM Koizumi said he intends to inherit then-FM Okada’s stance in 2010 (continuity not shift)
November 18, 2025 at 10:32 AM
After Chinese side said there won’t be a meeting between Sanae Takaichi and Li Qiang at G20. Japanese Govt spokesperson said Japan side is open to a meeting between Takaichi and Li.

These whole series of interactions really gives off the impression of an adult comforting a child throwing a tantrum…
日中対話「日本側はオープン」 首相面会否定で、木原官房長官が見解:朝日新聞
台湾有事をめぐる高市早苗首相の国会答弁に中国側が反発している問題で、今週末の主要20カ国・地域首脳会議(G20サミット)において、中国側が、李強(リーチアン)首相が高市首相と面会する予定はないと発言…
www.asahi.com
November 18, 2025 at 6:14 AM
As “Japan is considering lifting ban on nuclear weapons” gets out of hand, note theres historical precedence for loose interpretation of the “no-introduction” clause:

(1) 密約of U.S nuclear-armed ships transit through Japan
(2) possible intro of US nuclear arms in Okinawa in case of crisis (1969)
November 18, 2025 at 5:01 AM
So Japanese anime Demon Slayer earned around $56million/8.5billion yen in Chinese box office in 5 days. Reminder that this is AFTER Takaichi’s comment about Taiwan.

Yea so despite the 🇨🇳govt‘s anti-Japan campaign, many are still rushing to see Japanese anime and many will still visit Japan.
刷新内地影史纪录 《鬼灭之刃:无限城篇》上映5天票房破4亿
刷新内地影史纪录 《鬼灭之刃:无限城篇》上映5天票房破4亿
cj.sina.cn
November 18, 2025 at 12:38 AM
This kind of post is frankly alarmist speculation with big leap little evidence

Yes Takaichi’s cabinet Is CONSIDERING to revisit the Three Non-Nuclear Principles, but only the “no introduction” part to consider whether during crisis, US can bring ☢️ weapons to 🇯🇵 temporarily. Never about 持たず or 作らず
November 17, 2025 at 7:15 AM
🇨🇳🇹🇭
Chinese government Xi met with the King Of Thailand (Nov 14) to celebrate the 50th anniversary of diplomatic relations.
The King received a 21-gun salute and watched a PLA military parade alongside of Xi.
They agreed to work together on Thai railways, AI, digital economy aerospace, etc.
www.mfa.gov.cn
November 17, 2025 at 3:50 AM
A Japan MOFA official (Director General of Asian and Oceanic affairs) is traveling to China and is scheduled to hold talks with Chinese side on November 18. The aims is reduce tension and explain Japan’s positioning while demanding China to take appropriate response to the ”beheading“ comment.
外務省局長、中国へ出発 高市首相の台湾有事答弁を説明 「斬首」投稿の総領事対応も要請
外務省の金井正彰アジア大洋州局長は17日、高市早苗首相が台湾有事は日本が集団的自衛権を行使できる「存立危機事態」になり得ると国会答弁したことを巡り、中国側と協…
www.sankei.com
November 17, 2025 at 3:40 AM
Economic/hybrid pressure from China is possible and may even be underway now. Japanese companies in China will likely face hurdles or inspections, cancellation of flights, hackers going offense on cybersecurity and breaching Japanese govt agencies, financial institutions, telecoms, airlines…
November 15, 2025 at 11:43 AM
It is hard to deny that 🇯🇵🇨🇳 relations is deteriorating and it is difficult to see how this can be de-escalated.

The hostility between the two isn’t even about Taiwan anymore (it is a trigger yes) but now both leaders need to remain hardline to not disappoint its ppl.

Their legitimacy is at risk.
November 15, 2025 at 11:15 AM
Relations between Japan and China look to be heading further south as 🇨🇳’s MOFA has warned citizens that traveling to Japan poses “serious safety risks.” 3 major Chinese state-run airlines are now offering free cancellation of flights to and from Japan.

This could alleviate Japan’s over-tourism prob
中国国有航空大手3社、日本便の無料キャンセル受け付け 中国外務省の渡航自粛呼びかけで
【北京=三塚聖平】中国メディアによると、中国国有航空大手3社は15日、日本発着の航空券について条件付きでキャンセルや変更を無料で受け付けると発表した。高市早苗…
www.sankei.com
November 15, 2025 at 11:05 AM
If realized, Tokyo’s Ikebukuro station changing its name to include Ikebukuro (BIC Camera Mae) as well as including company’s logo is NO WAY a good thing as it opens the doors for capitalism to be elevated to a whole new level. This could start bidding wars for all stations to soon have a suffix.
November 15, 2025 at 10:54 AM
A legacy from the Osaka Expo is giving me hope for the future

Human Washing Machine that gives a hot bath with microscopic bubbles was first introduced at 1970 expo but this time the manufacture sold 8 units so far, with 15 units expected by the end of the year

A world w/o B.O. would be heaven
November 14, 2025 at 4:51 AM
Both the 🇯🇵and 🇨🇳 govt lodged protests, as they often do, the diplomatic back and forth drags on for days

IMO a lot of what China is doing is to shown its own people that it is tough, but at the same time it is politically poking a bear

J is providing a good life for ~a million Chinese, brace for it
November 14, 2025 at 3:13 AM
It is pretty amazing how after the 🇨🇳consul General in Osaka threatened to behead Japan PM, Chinese MOFA played victim by summoning the Japan’s amb to China and protesting Takaichi’s remarks about Taiwan as blatantly provocative” and “extremely dangerous.”

At least the 🇯🇵ambassador is safe.
中国、高市首相発言の撤回求め金杉駐中国大使を呼び出し抗議 大使は総領事のX投稿に抗議
【北京=三塚聖平】高市早苗首相が台湾有事は「存立危機事態」になり得ると国会答弁したことを巡り、中国の孫衛東外務次官は13日、金杉憲治駐中国大使を呼び出して抗議…
www.sankei.com
November 14, 2025 at 2:58 AM
Japan’s Self Defense Force has been using rank titles that differ from intl standards with the intention of minimizing military connotations.

Well, this won’t be for long because the Japanese Govt is aiming to shed its “post-war pacifist” skin and fully standardized its ranks with other countries
<独自>政府、自衛隊の階級名変更検討 諸外国の軍隊に準拠、1佐→大佐/1尉→大尉
政府は12日、自衛隊の階級名を変更し、国際標準化させる検討に入った。複数の政府関係者が明らかにした。自衛隊は軍事色を弱めるため、独自の呼び方をしてきたが、諸外…
www.sankei.com
November 14, 2025 at 1:56 AM
As the trial for the shooting of late PM Abe goes on, a statement written by Akie Abe one year after he passed was read outloud, revealing Akie Abe’s firsthand account

She called out to him “Shin-chan, Shin-chan,” at the hospital
Abe passed away soon after. She just wanted him to live.
【速報中】「しんちゃん、しんちゃん」と 安倍昭恵さんが上申書:朝日新聞
安倍晋三元首相銃撃事件の第7回公判は13日午後、奈良地裁で始まった。旧統一教会(世界平和統一家庭連合)に入信した山上徹也被告(45)の母親が出廷します。タイムラインで詳報します。
www.asahi.com
November 13, 2025 at 7:01 AM
Chinese President Xi met with the King of Spain who is on a trip to China. Chinese side expressed hope to explore potential for cooperation in emerging fields such as new energy, the digital economy, and AI.
They saw the signing of 10 agreements across fields of econ and trade, tech, and education.
November 13, 2025 at 3:57 AM