Steven McNabb
stevenmcnabb.bsky.social
Steven McNabb
@stevenmcnabb.bsky.social
Well intentioned and still learning. He/him

CFP® professional and CFA® Charterholder.
Reposted by Steven McNabb
No, I like talking about economics. Sometimes people have misconceptions about economic data and so it's useful to point out those misconceptions.
December 19, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Reposted by Steven McNabb
A number of people have asked me about this and I fully agree with Omari Sharif (@fcastofthemonth) who is the absolute dean of CPI analysis.

Actual rents appear to have slowed in Oct/Nov, but not unrealistically so - about the same rate they hit in Sept.

But OER (more on that to follow) plunged.
December 18, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Reposted by Steven McNabb
Okay I looked into this and I was initially open to it but the data doesn't look like it was a thing. See alt text for methodology but if Black Friday was skewing prices I would expect a very large sequential decline in this series and we didn't get it. IMO, Black Friday effects were very small.
December 18, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Reposted by Steven McNabb
reading the 1000 page William Buckley biography on the metro, shaking my head so people know I don’t approve of William Buckley
December 19, 2025 at 1:42 AM
...to see what to do next. It was a terrifying moment for me. What little things might I do or say when my guard is down that could harm my children's development? Suddenly, the phrase "my Dad did the best he could," something I had said to my wife many times took on a whole new ominous meaning. 3/3
December 19, 2025 at 12:12 AM
I totally understand anyone who says, "you should have realized that BEFORE you had a kid." I thought that I did. But the moment I mentioned was early in the morning, when I wasn't fully awake yet. I was rubbing my eyes, and turned to see my son rubbing his, then looking intently at me... 2/3
December 19, 2025 at 12:12 AM
Reposted by Steven McNabb
I was against the Fed cutting rates at the last meeting based on the information available at the time. Given this week's jobs report & inflation data, ex post the Committee made the right decision to cut rates.

But lots of uncertainty about what next, will need more data.
December 18, 2025 at 2:11 PM