Steve Smith
stevenjsmith.bsky.social
Steve Smith
@stevenjsmith.bsky.social
Earth-Human Systems Scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute (PNNL) and the Center for Global Sustainability (UMD). Canoeist. Singer. Comments are my own. He/him/his.
While models can't incorporate this new information in time for CMIP7 fast track simulations, the implications of this new information should be evaluated in parallel.
December 10, 2024 at 3:46 AM
While the weighted average regional height distribution varies somewhat by region, the emissions height is higher than the AeroCOM assumptions used by many modelers.
December 10, 2024 at 3:46 AM
While we will release data out to 2023 in January, the last 1-2 years of this data, in particular, contain many assumptions and approximations. This means these values are more likely to change in future releases.A
December 10, 2024 at 3:35 AM
Emissions out to 2022 are now available for evaluation and testing. CMIP7 historical emissions will be released in Jan 2025. Extension from 2021 through 2024 released in July 2025 as part of future scenario data.
December 10, 2024 at 3:35 AM
In this new approach for CMIP the "historical" scenario will stop before the latest full year (likely in 2021). Scenario data will start with several years of common data before diverging. This achieves two things:
December 10, 2024 at 3:35 AM
Slides from my #AGU24 talk describing a new CMIP approach and new air pollutant (a.k.a. SLCF) emissions data.
December 10, 2024 at 3:35 AM
December 8, 2024 at 8:56 PM