Steve Kornacki (unofficial bot)
@stevekornacki.bluesky.bot
Chief Data Analyst, NBC News
Speaking inquiries: https://sjkcommventures.com/Chief Data Analyst, NBC News
Speaking inquiries: https://t.co/vKeMaAfvIT
https://sjkcommventures.com/
(Unofficial bot maintained by @manos.lol)
Speaking inquiries: https://sjkcommventures.com/Chief Data Analyst, NBC News
Speaking inquiries: https://t.co/vKeMaAfvIT
https://sjkcommventures.com/
(Unofficial bot maintained by @manos.lol)
A useful metric as the TN-7 results come in: the 2018 U.S. Senate race between Marsha Blackburn (R) and Phil Bredesen (D). It was close to dead even in TN-7, with Blackburn finishing 0.5 points ahead of Bredesen:
December 2, 2025 at 6:50 PM
A useful metric as the TN-7 results come in: the 2018 U.S. Senate race between Marsha Blackburn (R) and Phil Bredesen (D). It was close to dead even in TN-7, with Blackburn finishing 0.5 points ahead of Bredesen:
It turns out, he was off by 16, but today McGreeey's name is again on the ballot in the run-off election for mayor of Jersey City. He's the prohibitive underdog.
December 2, 2025 at 5:25 PM
It turns out, he was off by 16, but today McGreeey's name is again on the ballot in the run-off election for mayor of Jersey City. He's the prohibitive underdog.
start of more nights like this!
December 1, 2025 at 5:39 PM
start of more nights like this!
House special election results so far this year:
November 26, 2025 at 2:14 PM
House special election results so far this year:
Me and Bailey are ready for NBC’s coverage of the 2025 National Dog Show. Tune in Thanksgiving Day at noon!
November 24, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Me and Bailey are ready for NBC’s coverage of the 2025 National Dog Show. Tune in Thanksgiving Day at noon!
In NJ, Republicans sought to merge two coalitions that had brought them close in recent statewide elections. But they got neither. My NJ post-mortem for NBC News:
(Link in next tweet)
(Link in next tweet)
November 5, 2025 at 7:56 PM
In NJ, Republicans sought to merge two coalitions that had brought them close in recent statewide elections. But they got neither. My NJ post-mortem for NBC News:
(Link in next tweet)
(Link in next tweet)
New Jersey municipalities that are 60%+ Hispanic where we currently have results:
November 5, 2025 at 4:21 PM
New Jersey municipalities that are 60%+ Hispanic where we currently have results:
It wouldn’t be an election week without me knocking over my coffee on weeks worth of research. At least Hudson County, NJ — where Trump’s massive gains with Hispanics last year will be tested— came out mostly intact
November 4, 2025 at 10:27 PM
It wouldn’t be an election week without me knocking over my coffee on weeks worth of research. At least Hudson County, NJ — where Trump’s massive gains with Hispanics last year will be tested— came out mostly intact
Getting set up at Del Mar for our coverage of the ‘25 Breeders Cup. Live all day on Peacock on NBC from 3:30 EST to 7:00.
(Also, I like Banishing in the Sprint)
(Also, I like Banishing in the Sprint)
November 4, 2025 at 10:27 PM
Getting set up at Del Mar for our coverage of the ‘25 Breeders Cup. Live all day on Peacock on NBC from 3:30 EST to 7:00.
(Also, I like Banishing in the Sprint)
(Also, I like Banishing in the Sprint)
My write-up:
November 4, 2025 at 10:27 PM
My write-up:
Picture perfect afternoon at Keeneland. We’ll be live on NBC at 4:00 for coverage of three stakes with big Breeders Cup implications.
November 4, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Picture perfect afternoon at Keeneland. We’ll be live on NBC at 4:00 for coverage of three stakes with big Breeders Cup implications.
Both Jack Ciattarelli in ‘21 and Trump in ‘24 improved dramatically on Trump’s 2020 performance in NJ — but they did it with very different voters in very different places:
(Full analysis ⬇️)
(Full analysis ⬇️)
November 4, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Both Jack Ciattarelli in ‘21 and Trump in ‘24 improved dramatically on Trump’s 2020 performance in NJ — but they did it with very different voters in very different places:
(Full analysis ⬇️)
(Full analysis ⬇️)
Economist/YouGov poll shows Jimmy Kimmel with a 43-37% favorable/unfavorable rating, heavily polarized on partisan lines.
How late-night hosts stacked up in a different era:
How late-night hosts stacked up in a different era:
November 4, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Economist/YouGov poll shows Jimmy Kimmel with a 43-37% favorable/unfavorable rating, heavily polarized on partisan lines.
How late-night hosts stacked up in a different era:
How late-night hosts stacked up in a different era:
The numbers for Gen Z women who voted for Trump and Gen Z men who voted for Harris
November 4, 2025 at 10:26 PM
The numbers for Gen Z women who voted for Trump and Gen Z men who voted for Harris
Our NBC News Decision Desk poll asked Gen Z adults (18-29 years old) what they consider important to a successful life. The combination of gender and politics produced two very different sets of priorities:
November 4, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Our NBC News Decision Desk poll asked Gen Z adults (18-29 years old) what they consider important to a successful life. The combination of gender and politics produced two very different sets of priorities:
My new piece for NBC News: Comparing the make-up of the current GOP House majority to 2018, with potential redistricting as one of several key differences
November 4, 2025 at 10:26 PM
My new piece for NBC News: Comparing the make-up of the current GOP House majority to 2018, with potential redistricting as one of several key differences
Undaunted by defeat in the Democratic primary, Cuomo vows to press ahead with longshot bid for NYC mayor
November 4, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Undaunted by defeat in the Democratic primary, Cuomo vows to press ahead with longshot bid for NYC mayor
Emerson polled a bunch of Dem prospects for the '28 WH nomination. Results are muddled but notable that Buttigieg, as in '20, still hitting a wall with black voters in this:
November 4, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Emerson polled a bunch of Dem prospects for the '28 WH nomination. Results are muddled but notable that Buttigieg, as in '20, still hitting a wall with black voters in this:
NYC Dem Mayoral Primary: Highest Post-grad attainment vs. Highest non-college
November 4, 2025 at 10:26 PM
NYC Dem Mayoral Primary: Highest Post-grad attainment vs. Highest non-college