Jakub Stauber
@stauberj.bsky.social
Political Science @fsv.charlesuni.cuni.cz
Political Parties | Information Flows | Defence Spending
https://jstauber.github.io/
Political Parties | Information Flows | Defence Spending
https://jstauber.github.io/
4/
In the larger Russian force scenario (with conscripts):
⚠️ Europe would need ~20+ brigades, stretching its capabilities.
Even then, success is uncertain without deep defenses & low troop exposure.
In the larger Russian force scenario (with conscripts):
⚠️ Europe would need ~20+ brigades, stretching its capabilities.
Even then, success is uncertain without deep defenses & low troop exposure.
July 4, 2025 at 7:40 AM
4/
In the larger Russian force scenario (with conscripts):
⚠️ Europe would need ~20+ brigades, stretching its capabilities.
Even then, success is uncertain without deep defenses & low troop exposure.
In the larger Russian force scenario (with conscripts):
⚠️ Europe would need ~20+ brigades, stretching its capabilities.
Even then, success is uncertain without deep defenses & low troop exposure.
3/
In the smaller Russian force scenario:
✅ ~10–13 European brigades (beyond Poland’s) are enough to prevent a breakthrough if deployed quickly.
But:
If Poland fights alone, Russia’s chances of success rise fast.
In the smaller Russian force scenario:
✅ ~10–13 European brigades (beyond Poland’s) are enough to prevent a breakthrough if deployed quickly.
But:
If Poland fights alone, Russia’s chances of success rise fast.
July 4, 2025 at 7:40 AM
3/
In the smaller Russian force scenario:
✅ ~10–13 European brigades (beyond Poland’s) are enough to prevent a breakthrough if deployed quickly.
But:
If Poland fights alone, Russia’s chances of success rise fast.
In the smaller Russian force scenario:
✅ ~10–13 European brigades (beyond Poland’s) are enough to prevent a breakthrough if deployed quickly.
But:
If Poland fights alone, Russia’s chances of success rise fast.
1/ 🧵 Can Europe defend itself if the U.S. steps back?
Our new study asks: Can European NATO members alone stop a Russian breakthrough in Poland? We model two scenarios and here’s what we found 👇
Our new study asks: Can European NATO members alone stop a Russian breakthrough in Poland? We model two scenarios and here’s what we found 👇
July 4, 2025 at 7:40 AM
1/ 🧵 Can Europe defend itself if the U.S. steps back?
Our new study asks: Can European NATO members alone stop a Russian breakthrough in Poland? We model two scenarios and here’s what we found 👇
Our new study asks: Can European NATO members alone stop a Russian breakthrough in Poland? We model two scenarios and here’s what we found 👇