Stats For Bios
@statsforbios.bsky.social
Statistics for biologists, medics, statisticians. Anyone really. By Tim Lucas, lecturer in epi/stats.
Anyone know this film? It's on in the bar and appears to be completely bonkers. But I have no idea what it is
November 9, 2025 at 5:26 AM
Anyone know this film? It's on in the bar and appears to be completely bonkers. But I have no idea what it is
If anyone's going to ASTMH a day early and likes punk, pretty fun looking gig on Saturday. I'll be there if my flights behave.
files.elfsightcdn.com/eafe4a4d-343...
files.elfsightcdn.com/eafe4a4d-343...
November 7, 2025 at 9:18 PM
If anyone's going to ASTMH a day early and likes punk, pretty fun looking gig on Saturday. I'll be there if my flights behave.
files.elfsightcdn.com/eafe4a4d-343...
files.elfsightcdn.com/eafe4a4d-343...
New paper, great work by Hannah Worboys. Feasibility study of the P-STEP app. "At 12 weeks, the mean (sd) System Usability Score was 61.68 (22.9)". And lots of useful prelim data for larger studies. #EpiSky #EnvironmentalEpi #copd #asthma
October 20, 2025 at 9:33 AM
New paper, great work by Hannah Worboys. Feasibility study of the P-STEP app. "At 12 weeks, the mean (sd) System Usability Score was 61.68 (22.9)". And lots of useful prelim data for larger studies. #EpiSky #EnvironmentalEpi #copd #asthma
Wait, stata costs twice as much if you want to run it using 2 cores? And even more for 4 cores? Lol.
September 29, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Wait, stata costs twice as much if you want to run it using 2 cores? And even more for 4 cores? Lol.
Patent infringment from Wallace (& Gromit) coming any day now.
July 25, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Patent infringment from Wallace (& Gromit) coming any day now.
Dawww. A baby bee.
Please don't a) tell me it's not a baby bee or b) tell me it's some horrible invasive. Enough of a rollercoaster day already.
Please don't a) tell me it's not a baby bee or b) tell me it's some horrible invasive. Enough of a rollercoaster day already.
July 23, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Dawww. A baby bee.
Please don't a) tell me it's not a baby bee or b) tell me it's some horrible invasive. Enough of a rollercoaster day already.
Please don't a) tell me it's not a baby bee or b) tell me it's some horrible invasive. Enough of a rollercoaster day already.
Got case data aggregated to admin areas?
Got important covariates in high-resolution rasters/grids?
We are running a free online training workshop on user-friendly, interactive software for this use-case. Disaggregation regression via the shinyapp disagapp.
github.com/simon-smart8... #malaria
Got important covariates in high-resolution rasters/grids?
We are running a free online training workshop on user-friendly, interactive software for this use-case. Disaggregation regression via the shinyapp disagapp.
github.com/simon-smart8... #malaria
July 17, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Got case data aggregated to admin areas?
Got important covariates in high-resolution rasters/grids?
We are running a free online training workshop on user-friendly, interactive software for this use-case. Disaggregation regression via the shinyapp disagapp.
github.com/simon-smart8... #malaria
Got important covariates in high-resolution rasters/grids?
We are running a free online training workshop on user-friendly, interactive software for this use-case. Disaggregation regression via the shinyapp disagapp.
github.com/simon-smart8... #malaria
You often have to choose the number of clusters. If clusters are clearly arbitrary and just a modelling tool, fine, look at some plots and choose.
But when the main result of the paper is "there are 4 clusters and this reflects reality and here's our description of the clusters". It's so weak.
But when the main result of the paper is "there are 4 clusters and this reflects reality and here's our description of the clusters". It's so weak.
July 11, 2025 at 9:03 AM
You often have to choose the number of clusters. If clusters are clearly arbitrary and just a modelling tool, fine, look at some plots and choose.
But when the main result of the paper is "there are 4 clusters and this reflects reality and here's our description of the clusters". It's so weak.
But when the main result of the paper is "there are 4 clusters and this reflects reality and here's our description of the clusters". It's so weak.
I so often find dual axis graphs confusing while I sort out what's what. Having it spelled out like this makes a huge difference. #DataViz
July 2, 2025 at 9:05 AM
I so often find dual axis graphs confusing while I sort out what's what. Having it spelled out like this makes a huge difference. #DataViz
Our new paper led by Jenicca Poongavanan. Predicting #dengue in Africa using disaggregation regression (bottom right in the inset image) and comparing to other methods. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
June 23, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Our new paper led by Jenicca Poongavanan. Predicting #dengue in Africa using disaggregation regression (bottom right in the inset image) and comparing to other methods. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
New paper led by @esnightingale.bsky.social. Delay to diagnosis is important for visceral leishmaniasis control. Longer delay -> more transmission.
Can we understand these delays, factors correlated with them and spatial distribution. bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
Can we understand these delays, factors correlated with them and spatial distribution. bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
June 11, 2025 at 3:18 PM
New paper led by @esnightingale.bsky.social. Delay to diagnosis is important for visceral leishmaniasis control. Longer delay -> more transmission.
Can we understand these delays, factors correlated with them and spatial distribution. bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
Can we understand these delays, factors correlated with them and spatial distribution. bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
Does America have anything roughly equivalent to a potato scone? I can imagine they'd be very popular.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tattie_...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tattie_...
May 10, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Does America have anything roughly equivalent to a potato scone? I can imagine they'd be very popular.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tattie_...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tattie_...
New work by my student Flo Goemans (and others).
No change between sexes in accuracy of polygenic risk scores for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Surprising given higher prevalence in males. publications.ersnet.org/content/erjo...
No change between sexes in accuracy of polygenic risk scores for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Surprising given higher prevalence in males. publications.ersnet.org/content/erjo...
May 9, 2025 at 9:48 AM
New work by my student Flo Goemans (and others).
No change between sexes in accuracy of polygenic risk scores for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Surprising given higher prevalence in males. publications.ersnet.org/content/erjo...
No change between sexes in accuracy of polygenic risk scores for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Surprising given higher prevalence in males. publications.ersnet.org/content/erjo...
If I'm reading this right, it's dual axis, on totally different scales (% Vs millions) but the numbers just happen to line up exactly. Pretty crazy and more confusing than if they were different. #DataViz
April 30, 2025 at 6:36 PM
If I'm reading this right, it's dual axis, on totally different scales (% Vs millions) but the numbers just happen to line up exactly. Pretty crazy and more confusing than if they were different. #DataViz
Thanks #EuroCIM2025! Great conference. Now coding up my first ipw for malaria inference on my way home. #StatsSky #CausalInference #CasualInference
April 11, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Thanks #EuroCIM2025! Great conference. Now coding up my first ipw for malaria inference on my way home. #StatsSky #CausalInference #CasualInference
Not sure I've ever used geom_smooth() like this to make essentially a calibration plot. Super easy.
Also, hot damn my simple model is well calibrated. Predictive performance is bad, but calibration is gooood. # Rstats
Also, hot damn my simple model is well calibrated. Predictive performance is bad, but calibration is gooood. # Rstats
February 26, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Not sure I've ever used geom_smooth() like this to make essentially a calibration plot. Super easy.
Also, hot damn my simple model is well calibrated. Predictive performance is bad, but calibration is gooood. # Rstats
Also, hot damn my simple model is well calibrated. Predictive performance is bad, but calibration is gooood. # Rstats
Painting social with Leicester biostats
November 25, 2024 at 8:02 PM
Painting social with Leicester biostats
Nice to see disaggregation regression used in more areas.
"Our findings show that poorer communities are more prone to selling cattle in response to precipitation shortages, a practice that can erode long-term resilience and deepen inequalities."
www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-5...
"Our findings show that poorer communities are more prone to selling cattle in response to precipitation shortages, a practice that can erode long-term resilience and deepen inequalities."
www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-5...
November 22, 2024 at 10:17 AM
Nice to see disaggregation regression used in more areas.
"Our findings show that poorer communities are more prone to selling cattle in response to precipitation shortages, a practice that can erode long-term resilience and deepen inequalities."
www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-5...
"Our findings show that poorer communities are more prone to selling cattle in response to precipitation shortages, a practice that can erode long-term resilience and deepen inequalities."
www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-5...
Hooray! Our paper (led by Emily Nightingale) is out.
Inferring the regional distribution of Visceral Leishmaniasis incidence from data at different spatial scales.
w/ @grahammedley.bsky.social and others.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Inferring the regional distribution of Visceral Leishmaniasis incidence from data at different spatial scales.
w/ @grahammedley.bsky.social and others.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
November 21, 2024 at 10:58 AM
Hooray! Our paper (led by Emily Nightingale) is out.
Inferring the regional distribution of Visceral Leishmaniasis incidence from data at different spatial scales.
w/ @grahammedley.bsky.social and others.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Inferring the regional distribution of Visceral Leishmaniasis incidence from data at different spatial scales.
w/ @grahammedley.bsky.social and others.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Nice #StanCon talk by my student Enzo Cerullo. Efficiently estimating latent class models (some algorithms, some specific test-accuracy models). #StatsSky www.youtube.com/watch?v=J2fi...
November 20, 2024 at 6:32 PM
Nice #StanCon talk by my student Enzo Cerullo. Efficiently estimating latent class models (some algorithms, some specific test-accuracy models). #StatsSky www.youtube.com/watch?v=J2fi...