St Johnstone Analysis
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St Johnstone Analysis
@stanalysis.bsky.social
Enjoy data, not a professional

FM researcher - St Johnstone

Old website - http://stjohnstonefananalysis.wordpress.com

Medium - https://medium.com/@StAnalysis
Was intrigued to see how this came out purely because i wanted to see where McPake ended up

Used "received passes", which doesnt include from crosses, converted it to "per90" then worked out what % each player was from the team total every game

Teams making us go through Baird?
August 31, 2025 at 8:03 PM
Is Kai the guy?

A brief look at why Fotheringham has likely been targeted

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Is Kai the guy?
Discussed the attacking midfield shape in a previous ramble, and how the 4–2–3–1 sees the “3” be quite fluid in how it works. McPake sticks…
medium.com
August 25, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Stumbled upon this again tonight so updated it. A win tomorrow puts Valakari level with Connolly (?!) in terms of win %. Manage to win the next 2 and he goes above Lomas

Top 3 remain the "gold standard" for St Johnstone managers though, and thats the levels we need to him to hit
August 23, 2025 at 6:47 AM
Put long passes in to help show the difference in styles. Both approach the game differently.

Abroath happier to sit off opponents and catch them out by going more direct (20 % of their passes "long")? but very effective at doing so and getting good chances.

Dangerous team.
August 23, 2025 at 6:46 AM
Think County done a decent job man marking our midfield on Friday, which made the performance look like a struggle for spells.

Not sure on figures yet but felt more balls up the channels to Sidibeh than previous weeks too. His work rate so important.

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Man marking County
Previously talked about our “fluid” attacking midfield area, and wondered how Ross County would deal with it. Two pre-season league…
medium.com
August 10, 2025 at 8:11 PM
xG on Sat of 3.03, think its the highest since a 3-0 over Motherwell in 20/21 (3.1 including a penalty). Avoiding penalties takes you back to a 3-2 over Hamilton in 19/20 (3.1)

Last season averaged 24 "build up" attacks, 28% ending in a shot. Sat saw 35 with 34% ending in a shot
August 6, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Quick look while i have time at the "fluid" nature of Gullan/Mallan in our set up and how it gives me hope that we can cause problems for any side in the division

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Attacking Midfield
Right wing in the 4–2–3–1 been one thats interesting since the start of pre-season, when Svedberg listed as the right winger.
medium.com
August 2, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Thread of our signings so far:

Jack Baird - Strong, old fashioned, CB who we hope should dominate our own box, but may struggle with the possession side of things?

Morgan Boyes - Similar to Baird in a lot of ways but likely weaker in the air. Can play CB in a 3 or 4.
July 9, 2025 at 8:07 PM
2 more rumoured.

Unsure of Boyes, not a great defender and okay in possession. Might be more back up CB/LB like Douglas was meant to be. Experienced at this level + entering peak years though

Gullan I like. Hard working and gets goals

Valakari can improve both and I think Gullan could surprise
May 28, 2025 at 7:51 PM
First signing of the Summer, Jack Baird from Morton.

Tops the Championship in terms of headers won in his own box, winning 71.1% of them.

In terms of players with 1000+ minutes, he sits 3rd for shots blocked too.

Feels like a "proper" defender?
May 28, 2025 at 7:50 PM
Strikers to finish. Hard to know where to aim or what type to get until we know if any of Kirk/Sidibeh/Ikpeazu are leaving or if all are staying.

medium.com/@StAnalysis/...
Recruitment 2025 — Strikers
Current players
medium.com
May 21, 2025 at 8:26 PM
CMs now. Think Holt/Svedberg/Griffith/Franczak is a strong base to build around even more so if Sprangler extends his stay.

Can add any type of profile to the group and also be better off though. Maybe 1 experienced one, and one project, best?

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Recruitment 2025 — Central Midfielders
Current players
medium.com
May 20, 2025 at 9:29 PM
Wingers now. With a chance that Steven, McPake, Wright, and Franczak, are all signed up, this might not be desperate, but i think we need proven quality signed up for a title challenge.

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Recruitment 2025 — Wingers
Release list out now, so that will be referenced from wingers/CMs/CFs, with defensive lists made beforehand.
medium.com
May 19, 2025 at 8:46 PM
CBs now. Mikulic should be good, but a lot hinges on whether Balodis stays or goes. Maybe fine for starting CBs if he stays, maybe need one if he goes.

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Recruitment 2025 — Centre Backs
Current players
medium.com
May 18, 2025 at 8:52 PM
Right backs next. Think Franczak, and hopefully Wright, reduce the need for numbers here, but a more physical natural RB is needed?

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Recruitment 2025 — Right Backs
Current players
medium.com
May 18, 2025 at 8:07 PM
Left backs up next, since we potentially have none for next season

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Recruitment 2025 — Left Backs
Current players
medium.com
May 17, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Going to attempt to do one of these for each position (or group) this Summer. Should really do these earlier but wanted to wait until next seasons division was clearer.

Goalkeeper most important so goalkeeper up first.

Transfermarkt expiry dates used.

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Recruitment 2025 — Goalkeeper
Going to this is a seperate post for each position this year, instead of one big bulk post that I’ll lose willpower writing halfway…
medium.com
May 17, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Tonight marked the end of a journey that started over 20 years ago, when on the 15th of April 2005, Owen Coyle took charge of a club who'd just finished 8th in the second tier, just 7pts above relegation.

First few years laid foundations which the later success was built on.
May 14, 2025 at 9:50 PM
The journey is over, officially

Manager and players needed to have a good night and they let themselves down. Something they've done far too often

Post mortem can start from now, I guess

No blame needs flung at anyone but ourselves, ever refs and VAR, this is self inflicted
May 14, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Still not sure what to think of Watt but clear he helps control the midfield better than anyone else. Be fine if him and Holt are preferred in midfield until whatever end now.
May 10, 2025 at 7:32 PM
County now our only hope of someone to catch.'

Frustration for me is we should've been closer to them, if not higher, but just consistently shoot ourselves in the feet, although they're crashing hard.

Both sides deservedly bottom two based on their attack as much as anything.
May 5, 2025 at 7:29 PM
Lowest points tally at this stage since promotion, as far as i can tell

Ross County join us below the 40pt line, remaining game against them so important. Their form has absolutely plummeted and they're on a 5 game losing run, picking up just 3pts since we beat them 2 months ago
April 28, 2025 at 7:40 PM
Feels like we're back in a situation where the midfield just leaves acres of space/runners constantly, and it just causes huge panic?

Tommy Wright would bring in a Liam Craig or Murray Davidson to sort this. Valakari doesn't have that.

medium.com/@StAnalysis/...
Control the midfield you control the game (again)
This is a recurring problem for us, and has been since Ali McCann left really. Quite why so many of our managers think we can play 5–2–3…
medium.com
April 27, 2025 at 9:13 PM
New St Johnstone badge, since I don't think the club are on here officially yet?

More I look at it, more I like it.
April 16, 2025 at 5:00 PM