Deepak Chona, MD. SportsMedAnalytics
@sportsmedanalytics.bsky.social
Data-driven injury analyst. NFL/fantasy football. Stanford + Harvard-trained sports surgeon. Featured on ESPN, NBC, The Athletic, Newsweek. FantasyPros Expert.
#Patriots Stefon Diggs - Comeback to bet on. Clean ACL.
6 straight 1000 yd seasons. Max 1 game missed before '24
Age 31 does work against him in the data, but projections still favor being ready to play Wk 1
Big advocate for Maye-Diggs stacks at ADP
7/10
6 straight 1000 yd seasons. Max 1 game missed before '24
Age 31 does work against him in the data, but projections still favor being ready to play Wk 1
Big advocate for Maye-Diggs stacks at ADP
7/10
July 12, 2025 at 4:36 PM
#Patriots Stefon Diggs - Comeback to bet on. Clean ACL.
6 straight 1000 yd seasons. Max 1 game missed before '24
Age 31 does work against him in the data, but projections still favor being ready to play Wk 1
Big advocate for Maye-Diggs stacks at ADP
7/10
6 straight 1000 yd seasons. Max 1 game missed before '24
Age 31 does work against him in the data, but projections still favor being ready to play Wk 1
Big advocate for Maye-Diggs stacks at ADP
7/10
#Buccaneers Chris Godwin - Data projects 2/3 chance to play Wk 1
WR data does favor noticeable efficiency dip (~20%) initially
Avg = 12 months to re-gain 90% of pre-injury ability
Suspect heavy involvement early for Emeka Egbuka esp as Godwin ramps up
5/10
WR data does favor noticeable efficiency dip (~20%) initially
Avg = 12 months to re-gain 90% of pre-injury ability
Suspect heavy involvement early for Emeka Egbuka esp as Godwin ramps up
5/10
July 12, 2025 at 4:36 PM
#Buccaneers Chris Godwin - Data projects 2/3 chance to play Wk 1
WR data does favor noticeable efficiency dip (~20%) initially
Avg = 12 months to re-gain 90% of pre-injury ability
Suspect heavy involvement early for Emeka Egbuka esp as Godwin ramps up
5/10
WR data does favor noticeable efficiency dip (~20%) initially
Avg = 12 months to re-gain 90% of pre-injury ability
Suspect heavy involvement early for Emeka Egbuka esp as Godwin ramps up
5/10
#49ers Brandon Aiyuk - Reportedly "ahead of schedule"
Data suggests this phrase does not predict faster return
Still lean towards starting season on PUP. Avg return = 11 months (~Oct)
WRs typically see 4-6 game ramp up in routes run + targets
4/10
Data suggests this phrase does not predict faster return
Still lean towards starting season on PUP. Avg return = 11 months (~Oct)
WRs typically see 4-6 game ramp up in routes run + targets
4/10
July 12, 2025 at 4:36 PM
#49ers Brandon Aiyuk - Reportedly "ahead of schedule"
Data suggests this phrase does not predict faster return
Still lean towards starting season on PUP. Avg return = 11 months (~Oct)
WRs typically see 4-6 game ramp up in routes run + targets
4/10
Data suggests this phrase does not predict faster return
Still lean towards starting season on PUP. Avg return = 11 months (~Oct)
WRs typically see 4-6 game ramp up in routes run + targets
4/10
#Chiefs Rashee Rice - Reports = bullish, and they line up with injury projection
He had LCL + hamstring (not ACL) surgery in Oct
Recovery = faster. Avg return = 4-6 months instead of 9-11 for ACL
Projects for 90% pre-injury explosion Wk 1. No snap count ramp up needed
3/10
He had LCL + hamstring (not ACL) surgery in Oct
Recovery = faster. Avg return = 4-6 months instead of 9-11 for ACL
Projects for 90% pre-injury explosion Wk 1. No snap count ramp up needed
3/10
July 12, 2025 at 4:36 PM
#Chiefs Rashee Rice - Reports = bullish, and they line up with injury projection
He had LCL + hamstring (not ACL) surgery in Oct
Recovery = faster. Avg return = 4-6 months instead of 9-11 for ACL
Projects for 90% pre-injury explosion Wk 1. No snap count ramp up needed
3/10
He had LCL + hamstring (not ACL) surgery in Oct
Recovery = faster. Avg return = 4-6 months instead of 9-11 for ACL
Projects for 90% pre-injury explosion Wk 1. No snap count ramp up needed
3/10
#Giants Malik Nabers - Chronic toe issue implies some risk of recurrence in-season
However, threshold to sit out in June is very low for stars
Most likely outcome = full participation in camp
If so, data predicts that he's no more likely to miss time than any other WR
2/10
However, threshold to sit out in June is very low for stars
Most likely outcome = full participation in camp
If so, data predicts that he's no more likely to miss time than any other WR
2/10
July 12, 2025 at 4:36 PM
#Giants Malik Nabers - Chronic toe issue implies some risk of recurrence in-season
However, threshold to sit out in June is very low for stars
Most likely outcome = full participation in camp
If so, data predicts that he's no more likely to miss time than any other WR
2/10
However, threshold to sit out in June is very low for stars
Most likely outcome = full participation in camp
If so, data predicts that he's no more likely to miss time than any other WR
2/10
Kyrie Irving injury:
(1) His left quad “jumps” before it hits the ground. Seen in tendon ruptures
(2) Knee lands in hyperextension, putting ACL/LCL/meniscus at risk
Hopefully wrong but not expecting great news
(1) His left quad “jumps” before it hits the ground. Seen in tendon ruptures
(2) Knee lands in hyperextension, putting ACL/LCL/meniscus at risk
Hopefully wrong but not expecting great news
March 4, 2025 at 2:39 AM
Kyrie Irving injury:
(1) His left quad “jumps” before it hits the ground. Seen in tendon ruptures
(2) Knee lands in hyperextension, putting ACL/LCL/meniscus at risk
Hopefully wrong but not expecting great news
(1) His left quad “jumps” before it hits the ground. Seen in tendon ruptures
(2) Knee lands in hyperextension, putting ACL/LCL/meniscus at risk
Hopefully wrong but not expecting great news
February 10, 2025 at 2:18 AM
Jalen Hurts - Video suggests knee ligament (PCL) sprain
Expect limited mobility + high re-aggravation risk
But would be shocking if he doesn’t play
#EaglesvsCommanders
Expect limited mobility + high re-aggravation risk
But would be shocking if he doesn’t play
#EaglesvsCommanders
January 20, 2025 at 2:52 AM
Jalen Hurts - Video suggests knee ligament (PCL) sprain
Expect limited mobility + high re-aggravation risk
But would be shocking if he doesn’t play
#EaglesvsCommanders
Expect limited mobility + high re-aggravation risk
But would be shocking if he doesn’t play
#EaglesvsCommanders
Jordan Love - checking his hand and calling it an elbow suggests he hit his ulnar nerve.
Based on the way he reacted, we’d suspect relatively mild severity.
Returning today is a judgment call, but we’d lean towards him playing next week
#Packers
Based on the way he reacted, we’d suspect relatively mild severity.
Returning today is a judgment call, but we’d lean towards him playing next week
#Packers
January 5, 2025 at 7:28 PM
Jordan Love - checking his hand and calling it an elbow suggests he hit his ulnar nerve.
Based on the way he reacted, we’d suspect relatively mild severity.
Returning today is a judgment call, but we’d lean towards him playing next week
#Packers
Based on the way he reacted, we’d suspect relatively mild severity.
Returning today is a judgment call, but we’d lean towards him playing next week
#Packers
Bucky Irving injury update
#buccaneers
#buccaneers
December 12, 2024 at 3:50 AM
Bucky Irving injury update
#buccaneers
#buccaneers
November 22, 2024 at 4:21 PM
Isiah Pacheco Wk 12 status still TBD, but looking promising
November 22, 2024 at 4:20 PM
Isiah Pacheco Wk 12 status still TBD, but looking promising
November 22, 2024 at 4:20 PM