Is that before or after tax?

🎄 FINAL SELECTIONS:

✅ ADO Den Haag Win (92%)
✅ SC Cambuur Win (89%)
✅ De Graafschap Win (85%)
✅ Almere City Win (82%)
✅ Helmond/Willem II BTTS
✅ Jong Ajax/RKC BTTS

Full analysis with xG metrics, bankroll management & what to avoid:

www.sportsbillypro.blog/2025/12/bill...

📊 QUALITY GAP SPECIAL: TOP Oss vs De Graafschap (Sat, 15:30)

De Graafschap (3rd) vs TOP Oss (18th)

Oss concedes 2.37 goals/home match
Lost 5 of 8 home games by 2+ goals

De Graafschap away: Solid quality management

85% confidence | X2 double chance 🎯

🏰 THE FORTRESS: SC Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht (Fri, 19:00)

Stats that matter:
- Cambuur: 8-2-0 at home
- Won 21 of 37 historical meetings
- MVV: -11 goal difference away
- 4-0 thrashing earlier this season

89% confidence | Value play ✅

🎯 THE CROWN JEWEL: ADO Den Haag vs Jong PSV (Fri, 19:00 CET)

✅ ADO: 7-0-0 home record
✅ Averaging 3+ goals at home
✅ Jong PSV: Lost last 4 away matches
✅ Previous H2H: 3-0 ADO win

Confidence: 92%

This is as close to printing money as it gets.

Another way is to limit players' gametime. The league can set a maximum game time for each position. We can get more Games and an addition of a player time management strategy.

They thought they could do as the Super Bowl does

FINAL PREDICTION: Steelers 20, Dolphins 17

BEST BETS:
🎯 Dolphins +3 (-110) - HIGH confidence (72%)
🎯 Under 42.5 (-115) - HIGH confidence (70%)
💰 Achane O78.5 yards - MEDIUM confidence (63%)

Full breakdown with stats, injuries & more:
buff.ly/8rsM5iW

#MNF #NFLTwitter #SportsBetting

"But Tomlin is 21-3 on Monday Night Football!"

True. But:
- Lost every primetime game THIS season
- Steelers outgained in 10 of 13 games
- Rank 27th in total offense
- Makeshift O-line with Dylan Cook at guard

This isn't vintage Pittsburgh. ⚫️🟡

Unpopular opinion:

The cold weather narrative is OVERBLOWN.

Yes, Tua struggles in freezing temps. But Miami won't expose him. They'll:
- Run 40+ times
- Use play-action off Achane
- Milk the clock
- Keep it close

They're built for this NOW. 🐬

💰 VALUE PROP ALERT 💰

De'Von Achane OVER 78.5 rushing yards (-113)

- Cleared this in 9 of last 11 healthy games
- PIT allowing 188.3 YPG last 3 weeks
- No Watt, possibly no Derrick Harmon
- Miami's entire game plan = feed Achane

Easy money. 🎯

UNDER 42.5 (-115) is screaming value:

- Under hit in 5 of MIA's last 6
- Under hit in 4 of PIT's last 6
- 19°F + wind gusts = passing suppression
- MIA ranks LAST in 3rd quarter scoring (2.1 PPG)

This stays under 40. Book it. ❄️

The Line: Steelers -3 (-110)

Why DOLPHINS +3 is the play:
✅ Covered +3 in 8 of last 10
✅ Steelers haven't covered -3 in 12 of last 20
✅ Miami's run game exploits PIT's weakness
✅ No T.J. Watt = no turnover generator

Market gives MIA 37% win probability. I see 42-45%. 📊

T.J. Watt is OUT (collapsed lung from dry needling treatment gone wrong)

Pittsburgh's rush defense without him:
- 157.0 YPG allowed since Week 10 (30th in NFL)
- 217 yards to BAL
- 249 yards to BUF

Achane vs this defense? 👀

Miami isn't the same team anymore.

Since Week 10:
- 48.4% rushing success rate (HIGHEST IN NFL)
- De'Von Achane: 160+ yards in 4 straight games
- First Dolphins RB to do this since 1977
- Play-action success: 41.0% → 58.8%

They won't ask Tua to win this game. 🏃♂️

Let's start with the elephant in the frozen room:

Tua Tagovailoa in cold weather:
- 0-6 record below 40°F
- 58% completion (vs 68% normal)
- 6.1 YPA (vs 8.2 normal)
- 8 TDs, 9 INTs in those games

But here's what the market is missing... 👇