SPC Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Alerts (UNOFFICIAL)
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SPC Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Alerts (UNOFFICIAL)
@spc-storms.nws-bot.us
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Unofficial bot sharing alerts from SPC Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches.

This account is not monitored. Contact @wandrme.paxex.aero if needed.
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spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 24, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EAST
TEXAS🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EAST TEXAS...LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from mid-afternoon into the overnight hours from east Texas into central/southern Mississippi. ...TX/LA/MS... A large upper trough is moving eastward across the southern Plains this morning, with an associated 60-70 knot mid level jet expected to track into AR by evening. At the surface, a warm front currently extends from southeast TX to just off the LA coast. This boundary will lift northward through the day, with a moist and moderately unstable air mass spreading inland. A combination of diurnal destabilization and the approaching upper trough will lead to convective intensification by early afternoon over east TX. These initial storms will pose a risk of large hail and perhaps some gusty winds and a tornado or two. As the activity spreads eastward after dark, rather strong low-level shear profiles in vicinity of the warm front will maintain a risk of severe storms through much of the night across central LA and southern MS. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will be possible. ..Hart/Broyles.. 11/24/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
November 24, 2025 at 1:00 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 24, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
⛈️DISCUSSION🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0305 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z ...DISCUSSION... Thunderstorm activity should be minimal Thursday and Friday as high pressure ushers in a cool, dry airmass across much of the eastern CONUS. By late Friday night, return flow across Texas may lead to some weak destabilization and thunderstorm chances. Severe thunderstorms are possible Day6/Saturday to Day8/Monday across the southern Plains as the warm sector expands across Texas and mid-level trough amplifies across the western CONUS. Evolution of this mid-level trough remains uncertain. The GFS, AIGFS, and EC-AIFS all suggest a slower evolution of the trough with a deeper closed low across the Southwest. However, the operational ECMWF is more progressive and would actually suggest an end to severe weather potential by Monday with offshore flow across the Gulf Coast once again. At this time, the consensus pattern for a slower, more amplified trough seems most likely, especially given that previous 12Z and 00Z ECMWF model runs preferred this solution as well. Severe thunderstorms will be possible with this preferred pattern, but uncertainty in the evolution of the mid-level trough and timing preclude severe weather probabilities at this time. Day 4-8 Outlook Image
November 24, 2025 at 9:20 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 24, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
⛈️NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the East Coast from the Northeast to Florida on Wednesday. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Discussion... A strong upper-level low will move from the Great Lakes to southern Quebec on Wednesday. At the surface, a strong surface low will move slowly east from Lake Superior to western Quebec. A cold front will extend along the spine of the Appalachians Wednesday morning and move into the western Atlantic by Wednesday evening. Ahead of the cold front, weak instability is forecast from southeast Georgia to eastern North Carolina. This may be sufficient for isolated thunderstorms, but weak instability should limit the overall intensity of these storms. Additional lightning flashes are possible beneath the cold upper-level temperatures across the Northeast. ..Bentley.. 11/24/2025 Day 3 Outlook Image
November 24, 2025 at 9:20 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 24, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE DEEP SOUTH AND TENNESSEE VALLEY🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DEEP SOUTH AND TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible across the Deep South into the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...Synopsis... A weak mid-level shortwave trough across the Tennessee Valley will dampen through the period as it advances into the western Atlantic after 00Z. A trough across the northern Plains will amplify through the period as it advances into the Upper Midwest and develops a closed upper low. A surface low will develop near Wisconsin/Lake Michigan and deepen through the day and into Tuesday night. As it deepens, a surface cold front will sharpen and accelerate east from the Great Lakes to the Lower Mississippi Valley. ...Deep South... A strong low-level jet will extend from northern MS/AL to southern Ohio Tuesday morning and will quickly move northeast through the day. This will result in weaker, more veered flow across the warm sector during the afternoon. Rising heights in the wake of the morning mid-level shortwave trough and weak convergence along the front may mitigate severe storm potential during much of the day, despite weak to moderate instability and moderate shear across much of the uncapped warm sector. However, scattered storms, some which could be strong, are expected along and ahead of the frontal zone during the afternoon and early evening. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat, but some isolated large hail may also occur across portions of MS/AL where greater instability is forecast. Overall, stronger forcing amid falling heights aloft and greater convergence along the cold front, is anticipated Tuesday night. However, weaker instability should mitigate the overall severe weather threat. A few stronger storms are possible after 06Z across the FL Panhandle into southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia where upper 60s dewpoints off the Gulf should be sufficient for moderate instability, even during the early morning hours. However, even if a few supercells can form during this period, severe potential may be somewhat limited given only modest mid-level lapse rates and weak low-level flow. ..Bentley.. 11/24/2025 Day 2 Outlook Image
November 24, 2025 at 9:20 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF
EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTENDING ACROSS LOUISIANA TOWARD THE ARKLAMISS🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTENDING ACROSS LOUISIANA TOWARD THE ARKLAMISS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from mid-afternoon into the overnight hours over much of eastern Texas, with more isolated activity into Mississippi. A few brief tornadoes may occur from eastern Texas into Louisiana, along with areas of damaging gusts and sporadic large hail. ...Synopsis... A positive-tilt upper trough will move from the central and southern Plains today toward the MS Valley overnight, losing amplitude with time. Upper ridging will occur over the East during this time as an upper trough exits the Northeast. At the surface, high pressure will be centered over the Mid Atlantic during the day, with southerly winds from the western Gulf of America into TX. A plume of mid to upper 60s F dewpoints will extend as far as North TX by 00Z as a cold front approaches the I-35 corridor. A warm front will extend roughly from the Red River into southern AR at that time, with a continued northward advection of moisture overnight across MS. ...Eastern TX toward the ArkLaMiss... Widespread rain and thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing from North TX into eastern OK and western AR through midday, with southerly 40 kt winds at 850 mb aiding moisture transport and lift north of the warm front. Given cool profiles aloft and ample deep-layer effective shear, some of this activity could produce hail at times. To the south, a weak cold front will progress across TX, as boundary layer dewpoints increase. A capping inversion will exist near 700 mb initially, but by early afternoon, the deepening moist layer as well as cooling aloft will reduce inhibition near the front, and, by late afternoon, even ahead of the cold front within the moist axis. Scattered storms are likely to form along the trailing outflow/cold front, and perhaps just east of the cold front primarily after 21Z. Sufficient cross-boundary winds aloft as well as veering winds with height will support scattered supercells. Some of these cells may produce a tornado prior to eventual merging of storms along the front. The most intense cells may also produce large hail, as mid/upper lapse rates will become steep. At least an isolated severe threat may persist as far east as MS overnight, as the warm front continues to move north, with veering wind profiles with height and generally moist conditions supporting a conditional tornado risk. However, the upper trough will continue to weaken and lift north, reducing confidence in storm coverage. ..Jewell/Moore.. 11/24/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
November 24, 2025 at 6:00 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637 Status Reports
⛈️WFO...MAF🌪️
Additional Details Here.
STATUS REPORT ON WW 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W FST TO 40 SE MAF TO 45 E BGS TO 75 ESE LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2220 ..MOORE..11/24/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC081-095-105-151-207-235-253-353-371-383-399-413-431-435-441- 443-451-461-240440- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CONCHO CROCKETT FISHER HASKELL IRION JONES NOLAN PECOS REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. WW 0637 Status Image
November 24, 2025 at 3:20 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637
⛈️
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY🌪️
Additional Details Here.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 637 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 1000 PM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop over the next few hours from the Permian Basin into the Pecos Valley. Strong vertical shear overlapping modest buoyancy is expected to support initial supercells, with large hail as the primary risk. A few strong gusts and a brief tornado are possible as well. A trend towards a more linear mode is anticipated with time, but the threat for isolated hail and damaging gusts will likely persist through the evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX to 75 miles east southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier WW 0637 Image
November 24, 2025 at 3:20 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637 Status Reports
⛈️WFO...MAF🌪️
Additional Details Here.
STATUS REPORT ON WW 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW FST TO 15 WSW BGS TO 25 SSE LBB. ..MOORE..11/24/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-081-095-103-105-151-173-207-227-235-253-329-335-353-371- 383-399-413-415-431-435-441-443-451-461-240340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CONCHO CRANE CROCKETT FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. WW 0637 Status Image
November 24, 2025 at 2:20 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637
⛈️
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY🌪️
Additional Details Here.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 637 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 1000 PM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop over the next few hours from the Permian Basin into the Pecos Valley. Strong vertical shear overlapping modest buoyancy is expected to support initial supercells, with large hail as the primary risk. A few strong gusts and a brief tornado are possible as well. A trend towards a more linear mode is anticipated with time, but the threat for isolated hail and damaging gusts will likely persist through the evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX to 75 miles east southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier WW 0637 Image
November 24, 2025 at 2:20 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 24, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST/WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0657 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Valid 240100Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST/WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms capable of producing hail and locally strong gusts remains possible tonight over parts of west to west-central Texas. ...Discussion... Gradual cooling aloft will occur tonight as the upper trough moves into the central and southern Plains, with 50-60 kt midlevel southwesterlies maintaining deep-layer shear. At the surface, an instability axis currently exists over southwest TX, where temperatures are in the 60s with low 60s F dewpoints. While the 00Z DRT sounding was capped, the MAF soundings shows significantly cooler 700 mb temperatures. A few storms are ongoing over the South Plains and into the Pecos Valley, with new echoes developing south of FST. Given southeasterly 925 mb winds and continued cooling aloft, additional development and possibly strengthening is expected overnight. Long hodographs will favor cells producing hail, and a few strong wind gusts may also occur if bowing structures can develop. Overall, instability will be mainly elevated, except over far southern areas. ..Jewell.. 11/24/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
November 24, 2025 at 1:40 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637 Status Reports
⛈️WFO...MAF🌪️
Additional Details Here.
STATUS REPORT ON WW 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FST TO 35 SW MAF TO 30 SW LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2219 ..MOORE..11/24/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-081-095-103-105-115-135-151-173-207-227-235-253-317-329- 335-353-371-383-399-413-415-431-435-441-443-451-461-240140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CONCHO CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. WW 0637 Status Image
November 24, 2025 at 1:00 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637
⛈️
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY🌪️
Additional Details Here.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 637 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 1000 PM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop over the next few hours from the Permian Basin into the Pecos Valley. Strong vertical shear overlapping modest buoyancy is expected to support initial supercells, with large hail as the primary risk. A few strong gusts and a brief tornado are possible as well. A trend towards a more linear mode is anticipated with time, but the threat for isolated hail and damaging gusts will likely persist through the evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX to 75 miles east southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier WW 0637 Image
November 24, 2025 at 1:00 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637 Status Reports
⛈️WFO...MAF🌪️
Additional Details Here.
STATUS REPORT ON WW 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW FST TO 30 ESE INK TO 40 W LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2219 ..MOORE..11/24/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-081-095-103-105-115-135-151-165-169-173-207-227-235- 253-263-305-317-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-415-431-433-435-441- 443-445-451-461-240140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN COKE CONCHO CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES KENT LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL TERRY TOM GREEN UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL WW 0637 Status Image
November 24, 2025 at 12:20 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637
⛈️
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY🌪️
Additional Details Here.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 637 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 1000 PM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop over the next few hours from the Permian Basin into the Pecos Valley. Strong vertical shear overlapping modest buoyancy is expected to support initial supercells, with large hail as the primary risk. A few strong gusts and a brief tornado are possible as well. A trend towards a more linear mode is anticipated with time, but the threat for isolated hail and damaging gusts will likely persist through the evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX to 75 miles east southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier WW 0637 Image
November 24, 2025 at 12:20 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637 Status Reports
⛈️WFO...MAF🌪️
Additional Details Here.
STATUS REPORT ON WW 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW FST TO 30 SSE INK TO 55 NNE HOB. ..MOORE..11/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-081-095-103-105-115-135-151-165-169-173-207-227-235- 253-263-305-317-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-415-431-433-435-441- 443-445-451-461-501-240040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN COKE CONCHO CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES KENT LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL TERRY TOM GREEN UPTON YOAKUM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. WW 0637 Status Image
November 23, 2025 at 11:20 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637
⛈️
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY🌪️
Additional Details Here.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 637 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 1000 PM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop over the next few hours from the Permian Basin into the Pecos Valley. Strong vertical shear overlapping modest buoyancy is expected to support initial supercells, with large hail as the primary risk. A few strong gusts and a brief tornado are possible as well. A trend towards a more linear mode is anticipated with time, but the threat for isolated hail and damaging gusts will likely persist through the evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX to 75 miles east southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier WW 0637 Image
November 23, 2025 at 11:20 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 23, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER PARTS OF WEST TX🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Valid 232000Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF WEST TX... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms capable of producing large hail and locally severe gusts are expected this afternoon and evening across parts of west Texas. ...20Z Update... Both the Marginal and Slight Risk areas were expanded slightly northwestward in the TX South Plains. Here, continued diurnal heating amid middle 50s dewpoints is yielding sufficient surface-based buoyancy for any left-mover supercells that may evolve (posing a risk of severe hail). Additionally, a significant-hail area was added over the western part of the Slight Risk. Given the expectation for discrete storms in this area, a long/mostly straight hodograph and around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE should support hail to around 2 inches in diameter with any longer-lived supercells. Finally, the 5-percent wind probabilities were expanded eastward. Despite increasing boundary-layer static stability, gradual upscale growth and a focused/eastward-translating low-level jet should allow for embedded severe gusts within the line into the early morning hours. For details on the near-term severe risk, see MCD #2218. ..Weinman.. 11/23/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1024 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025/ ...West TX... Current satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low over AZ, with a band of showers and embedded thunderstorms preceding it across central/eastern NM. This low is forecast to continue northeastward throughout the day as a belt of strong mid-level flow pivots through its southern and eastern periphery across the southern High Plains and into the southern/central Plains. Low-level moisture will continue to advect northwestward ahead of this low and associated jet streak and model consensus brings upper 50s dewpoints into the Permian Basin by this evening. This should result in a relatively confined region of surface-based buoyancy across the Permian Basin, which will combined with large-scale ascent and strong shear to support supercells. Primary threat will be large hail, although the anticipated development of surface-based buoyancy does indicate a low-probability threat for strong winds and/or a tornado. Low-level stability will increase quickly with eastward extent, as a result of both nocturnal cooling and generally cooler surface temperatures throughout the day. Even so, enough elevated buoyancy is anticipated for continued strong to occasionally severe storms throughout much of the evening and overnight, particularly in the 03Z-06Z time frame across southwest TX. Hail is the primary risk with these storms. Day 1 Outlook Image
November 23, 2025 at 10:40 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 23, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE DEEP
SOUTH🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms are possible across the Deep South on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...Synopsis... Leading shortwave impulses over the Lower OH and TN Valleys will further dampen, downstream of an amplifying shortwave trough over the Upper Midwest. This latter feature will induce pronounced surface cyclogenesis over the Great Lakes. Trailing cold front will sharpen/accelerate southeastward Tuesday night in the Southeast. ...Deep South... A strong low-level jet over the OH to TN Valleys at 12Z Tuesday will shift quickly northeast through the day. This will yield decreasing speeds and more veered profiles by afternoon in the warm sector ahead of the cold front. With convergence along the boundary likely remaining weak through most of the day, large-scale ascent for a greater than isolated severe threat appears nebulous. A plume of moderate buoyancy should linger across LA/southern MS, potentially extending into parts of AL by afternoon, and hold at weak farther northeast. Deep-layer shear will remain sufficient for some supercell potential, but the subsiding flow fields with respect to the diurnal heating cycle casts uncertainty on how sustained/productive storms may be. Instability will diminish after sunset, but a marginal severe threat could linger near the AL/FL/GA border area with nocturnal convection along the accelerating front. ..Grams.. 11/23/2025 Day 3 Outlook Image
November 23, 2025 at 10:20 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637 Status Reports
⛈️WFO...MAF🌪️
Additional Details Here.
STATUS REPORT ON WW 637 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..11/23/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-081-095-103-105-115-135-151-165-169-173-207-227-235- 253-263-305-317-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-415-431-433-435-441- 443-445-451-461-475-495-501-232240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN COKE CONCHO CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES KENT LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL TERRY TOM GREEN UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. WW 0637 Status Image
November 23, 2025 at 9:40 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637
⛈️
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY🌪️
Additional Details Here.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 637 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 1000 PM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop over the next few hours from the Permian Basin into the Pecos Valley. Strong vertical shear overlapping modest buoyancy is expected to support initial supercells, with large hail as the primary risk. A few strong gusts and a brief tornado are possible as well. A trend towards a more linear mode is anticipated with time, but the threat for isolated hail and damaging gusts will likely persist through the evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX to 75 miles east southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier WW 0637 Image
November 23, 2025 at 9:40 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637 Status Reports
⛈️🌪️
Additional Details Here.
STATUS FOR WATCH 0637 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET WW 0637 Status Image
November 23, 2025 at 8:20 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 637
⛈️
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY🌪️
Additional Details Here.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 637 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until 1000 PM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop over the next few hours from the Permian Basin into the Pecos Valley. Strong vertical shear overlapping modest buoyancy is expected to support initial supercells, with large hail as the primary risk. A few strong gusts and a brief tornado are possible as well. A trend towards a more linear mode is anticipated with time, but the threat for isolated hail and damaging gusts will likely persist through the evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX to 75 miles east southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier WW 0637 Image
November 23, 2025 at 8:20 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 23, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EAST TX TO THE
ARK-LA-MISS🌪️
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Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1127 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EAST TX TO THE ARK-LA-MISS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from Monday mid-afternoon into Monday night across east Texas into the Ark-La-Miss. A few tornadoes along with large hail and damaging winds are anticipated. ...Synopsis... Multiple shortwave impulses embedded within a positive-tilt trough over the central to southern High Plains will move east-northeast towards the Lower OH and TN Valleys through early Tuesday. These impulses will dampen Monday night downstream of a shortwave trough digging from the Pacific Northwest into the northern Great Plains. Weak surface cyclone near the KS/OK border may decay as it tracks into the Ozarks. A warm front will advance north from south-central TX and the central Gulf Coast. ...Central TX to MS... Primary change this outlook has been to shift/expand severe probabilities east/south based on latest guidance trends. Confidence remains too low for highlighting a mesoscale corridor of strong tornado potential with a level 3-ENH risk. Elevated storms will be ongoing at 12Z Monday from parts of central TX to western AR. Marginally severe hail is possible with these storms through midday. Downstream of these storms, the surface warm front will accelerate northward across east TX. Amid rich boundary-layer moisture south of the front, a plume of moderate buoyancy will become pervasive from south into most of east TX. Primary severe potential should commence around mid-afternoon amid weak mid-level height falls and minimal inhibition. Activity should intensify/increase along the outflow from early-day convection and in confluence bands immediately downstream. Strong southwesterly deep-layer shear will support supercell structures, but convective mode will likely remain quite messy along the progressive outflow that nearly parallels the shear vector. The more semi-discrete cells just ahead and trailing southward will have the best potential to produce large hail. The tornado threat will be influenced by the degree of discrete convection that forms eastward in the warm sector through early evening where low-level hodograph curvature remains large. Nocturnal tornado and some wind threat will persist into the late evening/overnight period as rich low-level moisture is maintained across the Sabine Valley and expands east through MS. ..Grams.. 11/23/2025 Day 2 Outlook Image
November 23, 2025 at 5:40 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 23, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER PARTS OF WEST TX🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1024 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Valid 231630Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF WEST TX.... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms capable of large hail will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of west Texas. ...West TX... Current satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low over AZ, with a band of showers and embedded thunderstorms preceding it across central/eastern NM. This low is forecast to continue northeastward throughout the day as a belt of strong mid-level flow pivots through its southern and eastern periphery across the southern High Plains and into the southern/central Plains. Low-level moisture will continue to advect northwestward ahead of this low and associated jet streak and model consensus brings upper 50s dewpoints into the Permian Basin by this evening. This should result in a relatively confined region of surface-based buoyancy across the Permian Basin, which will combined with large-scale ascent and strong shear to support supercells. Primary threat will be large hail, although the anticipated development of surface-based buoyancy does indicate a low-probability threat for strong winds and/or a tornado. Low-level stability will increase quickly with eastward extent, as a result of both nocturnal cooling and generally cooler surface temperatures throughout the day. Even so, enough elevated buoyancy is anticipated for continued strong to occasionally severe storms throughout much of the evening and overnight, particularly in the 03Z-06Z time frame across southwest TX. Hail is the primary risk with these storms. ..Mosier/Wendt.. 11/23/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
November 23, 2025 at 4:40 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 23, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER PARTS OF WEST TX🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0653 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025 Valid 231300Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF WEST TX.... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms capable of large hail will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of west Texas. ...West TX... A large upper low currently over AZ will track northeastward into NM, with a 70+ knot mid-level speed max approaching west TX by this afternoon. Ahead of this feature, southerly low-level winds will help transport 50s dewpoints into much of west TX ahead of a diffuse dryline. Most CAM solutions suggest that scattered thunderstorms will form along this dryline and track northeastward for a few hours. Given the strength of deep-layer shear, supercell structures will be likely with a risk of a large hail and perhaps a tornado. Storms should weaken by late evening as they move into a progressively less unstable air mass and diurnal cooling ensues. ..Hart/Broyles.. 11/23/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
November 23, 2025 at 1:00 PM