SPC Fire Weather Outlooks Alerts (UNOFFICIAL)
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SPC Fire Weather Outlooks Alerts (UNOFFICIAL)
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Sat, 06 Dec 2025 16:52:28 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 AM CST Sat Dec 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook were needed. Accelerating northwest flow aloft over the Four Corners region along with a deepening lee trough across the central and southern High Plains will support increased westerly downslope winds and drying across east-central NM and TX Permian Basin through today. Greatest RH reductions to around 15 percent are expected across the Permian Basin vicinity by the afternoon. Although dry conditions will be coupled with sustained westerly winds of 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph with higher gusts), fuels remain largely unreceptive to significant wildfire spread, mitigating the overall fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 12/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1155 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today across the CONUS. Westerly flow aloft will overspread the northern/central Rockies, with a lee cyclone developing across the central Plains. The resulting increase in surface pressure gradient will support enhancement of westerly downslope flow across portions of east central New Mexico into the Texas Permian Basin. While some overlap of dry and breezy conditions is likely, fuels in this region are not receptive to spread after recent cool and wet conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 6, 2025 at 5:00 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Sat, 06 Dec 2025 05:59:14 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low across the CONUS on D2/Sunday. A cold front will usher in cooler and drier conditions across the Plains with lighter winds amid building surface high pressure. Upper level ridging will continue across the western US, with warming and dry conditions but light winds. Overall, overlap of receptive fuels and breezy/dry conditions is not expected. ..Thornton.. 12/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 6, 2025 at 6:20 AM
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Sat, 06 Dec 2025 05:58:25 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1155 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today across the CONUS. Westerly flow aloft will overspread the northern/central Rockies, with a lee cyclone developing across the central Plains. The resulting increase in surface pressure gradient will support enhancement of westerly downslope flow across portions of east central New Mexico into the Texas Permian Basin. While some overlap of dry and breezy conditions is likely, fuels in this region are not receptive to spread after recent cool and wet conditions. ..Thornton.. 12/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 6, 2025 at 6:20 AM
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Fri, 05 Dec 2025 21:57:16 +0000
🔥Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z Model guidance consensus indicates little deviation in the overall upper-level pattern across CONUS through next week. Ridging nudges further into CA and the Southwest while troughing persists across the eastern U.S. A warming and drying trend under the ridge should continue across the much of the Southwest, CA and Southern Plains through much of next week while colder/wetter conditions exist across the eastern U.S., largely mitigating fire weather threats. A dry cold front will initially shutter fire weather concerns across the Southern Plains Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday, with relatively warm temperatures returning midweek contributing to drying of fuels across the region. A strengthening polar jet across the Northern Rockies and central/northern Plains and subsequent stronger surface cyclogenesis in the Central Plains could promote dry and breezy conditions across eastern NM/West TX vicinity on Day 7/Thursday. However, uncertainty in fuels and relative humidity reductions limits confidence in introducing critical fire weather probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 12/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 5, 2025 at 10:00 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Fri, 05 Dec 2025 19:49:29 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook. Deep layer west-northwest flow over the central/southern Rockies increases through Day 2/Saturday as an upstream mid-level short wave approaches the Great Plains. A strengthening lee trough across the central/southern Plains combined with the broad northwesterly flow aloft should promote a dry and breezy downslope regime across southeastern NM and TX Permian Basin region Saturday. A few hours of sustained west to southwest winds of 15-20 mph and relative humidity below 15% are likely, although fuels will remain largely unreceptive to wildfire spread, limiting the fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 12/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1141 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on D2/Saturday. Strengthening westerly flow aloft will overspread the northern/central Rockies as the next mid-level wave shifts out of the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Rockies. A stronger lee cyclone is progged to develop across the central Plains. This will likely develop areas of overlap of dry/windy conditions across the southern High Plains. However, a lack of receptive fuels with recent wet/cool conditions precludes the need to include any areas. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 5, 2025 at 8:00 PM
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Fri, 05 Dec 2025 16:27:27 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1026 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook. Weak lee troughing development across the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough ejects into the Great Plains will promote a favorable dry, downslope environment across portions of eastern NM and TX Permian Basin today. West-northwest winds of 15 mph combined with relative humidity in the 15-20% range are expected, but recent precipitation, relatively cool conditions and unreceptive fuels should limit broader fire weather concerns. ..Williams.. 12/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1140 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today across the CONUS. A period of westerly downslope flow can be expected across eastern New Mexico into western Texas as a weak lee-side low develops. Some overlap of relative humidity reductions around 15-20 percent will be possible for a couple of hours in the afternoon. However, recent cool and wet conditions across the southern High Plains have improved status of fuels and will mitigate any widespread fire weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 5, 2025 at 4:40 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Fri, 05 Dec 2025 05:42:29 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on D2/Saturday. Strengthening westerly flow aloft will overspread the northern/central Rockies as the next mid-level wave shifts out of the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Rockies. A stronger lee cyclone is progged to develop across the central Plains. This will likely develop areas of overlap of dry/windy conditions across the southern High Plains. However, a lack of receptive fuels with recent wet/cool conditions precludes the need to include any areas. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 5, 2025 at 6:00 AM
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Fri, 05 Dec 2025 05:41:27 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today across the CONUS. A period of westerly downslope flow can be expected across eastern New Mexico into western Texas as a weak lee-side low develops. Some overlap of relative humidity reductions around 15-20 percent will be possible for a couple of hours in the afternoon. However, recent cool and wet conditions across the southern High Plains have improved status of fuels and will mitigate any widespread fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 12/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 5, 2025 at 6:00 AM
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Thu, 04 Dec 2025 20:51:19 +0000
🔥Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product🔥
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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0246 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z The upper-level pattern over the next 8 days will generally feature a trough in the East with ridging in the West. This will favor repeated cold air intrusions east of the Divide. Within the upper-level ridging, temperatures will be warmer within the Southwest into parts of the southern Plains. This could lead to areas of modest fuel drying, though current fuel states are not receptive given recent cool/cold temperatures and precipitation. As surface cyclones/lee troughs develop in the southern High Plains, some dry and breezy conditions will be possible. As noted, fuels are not receptive and confidence in more than localized concerns is quite low at this time. ..Wendt.. 12/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 4, 2025 at 9:00 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Thu, 04 Dec 2025 18:35:28 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 PM CST Thu Dec 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 12/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0946 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025/ ...Synopsis... Downslope flow off the southern Rockies and weak lee cyclogenesis over the central High Plains will favor 15-20 mph sustained westerly surface winds and 15-20 percent RH from east-central NM into the TX South Plains during the afternoon. However, ongoing precipitation atop marginal fuels should limit most fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 4, 2025 at 6:40 PM
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Thu, 04 Dec 2025 15:48:27 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0946 AM CST Thu Dec 04 2025 Valid 041700Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 12/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0946 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025/ ...Synopsis... Expansive surface high pressure characterized by cold surface temperatures will limit fire-weather concerns across the CONUS. Locally dry/breezy offshore flow will continue across parts of southern CA, though marginal fuels and weaker surface winds compared to previous days should mitigate the overall risk. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 4, 2025 at 4:00 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Thu, 04 Dec 2025 03:48:15 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0946 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Downslope flow off the southern Rockies and weak lee cyclogenesis over the central High Plains will favor 15-20 mph sustained westerly surface winds and 15-20 percent RH from east-central NM into the TX South Plains during the afternoon. However, ongoing precipitation atop marginal fuels should limit most fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 12/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 4, 2025 at 4:00 AM
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Thu, 04 Dec 2025 03:47:26 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0946 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Expansive surface high pressure characterized by cold surface temperatures will limit fire-weather concerns across the CONUS. Locally dry/breezy offshore flow will continue across parts of southern CA, though marginal fuels and weaker surface winds compared to previous days should mitigate the overall risk. ..Weinman.. 12/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 4, 2025 at 4:00 AM
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Wed, 03 Dec 2025 21:49:19 +0000
🔥Synopsis🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... Longer term ensemble guidance suggests a large scale upper-level troughing pattern should hold across the eastern U.S. through the middle of next week. This should facilitate a mostly stable and colder air mass across much of the eastern U.S., limiting the fire weather threat. A mid-level jet and associated ascent in addition to a frontal boundary meandering near the Gulf Coast should bring several rounds of rain to much of the Deep South and Piedmont regions, where severe/extreme drought lingers in portions of southern GA/northern FL. Farther west, model guidance shows a gradually expanding upper-level ridge across building into CA and Desert Southwest through the weekend, allowing dry conditions and above normal temperatures to develop. A short wave within the broader northwest flow aloft translates southeastward into the central/southern Rockies on Day 4/Saturday while a lee cyclone evolves across the central/southern High Plains. Dry and breezy conditions should develop across eastern NM and West TX on Day 4/Saturday but antecedent precipitation tonight into Day 2/Thursday, including accumulating snowfall, should mitigate fire weather impacts overall into the weekend. The Southern Plains will remain the focus for fire weather concerns on Days 7-8/Tuesday-Wednesday with potential lee cyclone/trough development along the central/southern High Plains under robust northwest flow aloft. However, uncertainty in fuels precludes introducing critical probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 12/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 3, 2025 at 10:00 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Wed, 03 Dec 2025 19:28:27 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook with minimal fire weather concerns across the contiguous U.S. An ongoing offshore wind event from the east-northeast will begin to wane Thursday afternoon across southern CA as surface pressure gradients relax throughout the day. Existing marginal fuel conditions should reduce wildfire spread potential, limiting impacts from the dry and locally breezy winds. ..Williams.. 12/03/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1148 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure over the Intermountain West will favor another day of locally dry/breezy offshore flow across portions of southern CA. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible, marginal fuels should limit most concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 3, 2025 at 7:40 PM
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Wed, 03 Dec 2025 16:51:28 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 AM CST Wed Dec 03 2025 Valid 031700Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No change to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook with benign fire weather and/or fuel conditions across CONUS. A southward progressing cold front moving through the Desert Southwest is initiating an offshore wind event across southern CA this morning. Surface high pressure settling into the Great Basin will maintain the offshore pressure gradient, supporting east-northeast winds within favored terrain and gaps through tonight. Despite elevated east-northeast winds of 15-25 mph and relative humidity dropping to around 15%, relatively cool temperatures and marginal fuel dryness should mitigate significant wildfire spread potential. ..Williams.. 12/03/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1148 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough moving across the Four Corners region, high pressure over the Intermountain West will promote an enhanced offshore pressure gradient across southern CA. While locally dry/breezy conditions are expected (especially across wind-prone mountains and valleys), marginal fuels should limit most fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 3, 2025 at 5:00 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Wed, 03 Dec 2025 05:50:13 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure over the Intermountain West will favor another day of locally dry/breezy offshore flow across portions of southern CA. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible, marginal fuels should limit most concerns. ..Weinman.. 12/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 3, 2025 at 7:20 AM
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Wed, 03 Dec 2025 05:49:26 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough moving across the Four Corners region, high pressure over the Intermountain West will promote an enhanced offshore pressure gradient across southern CA. While locally dry/breezy conditions are expected (especially across wind-prone mountains and valleys), marginal fuels should limit most fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 12/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 3, 2025 at 7:20 AM
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Tue, 02 Dec 2025 21:03:18 +0000
🔥Synopsis🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0258 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Synopsis... Cold surface high pressure should be the predominant feature across much of the Midwest, Great Lakes and Northeast as persistent northwesterly flow aloft remains over the eastern U.S. through early next week. Mid-level short waves interacting with deeper boundary layer moisture and surface frontal features should bring widespread precipitation to much of the Deep South through the weekend, further mitigating fire weather concerns. Farther west, complimentary upper-level ridging nosing into the CA coast should maintain above normal temperatures and minimal precipitation across much of the lower elevations of the Southwest, Great Basin and lower CO River Basin through early next week. However, multiple short waves within the broader northwesterly flow should bring ample mountain snow and lower fire weather concerns overall across the Intermountain West. ...Day 5/Saturday - Southern Plains... Lee cyclogenesis across the central/southern Plains in response to increasing northwesterly flow over the central/southern Rockies could support dry and breezy conditions across portions of eastern NM/West TX on Saturday. However, forecast uncertainty remains elevated regarding strength and location of incipient surface low across the central/southern Plains Saturday. Marginal expected fuel dryness could also limit overall fire weather threat which precludes introduction of critical probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 12/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 2, 2025 at 10:40 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Tue, 02 Dec 2025 19:37:27 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0136 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook as minimal fire weather concerns exist across the contiguous U.S. An offshore pressure gradient across southern CA amplified by a surface high moving into the Interior West should increase Wednesday night into Day 3/Thursday morning as a cold front presses through the Desert Southwest. This will result in east-northeast winds of 15-25 mph in wind-prone areas and terrain gaps coupled with relative humidity falling to 15-20% in some areas. However, fuels conducive to significant wildfire spread remain subdued, mitigating impact from the expected heightened fire weather conditions. ..Williams.. 12/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0141 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough moving across the Four Corners region, surface high pressure will build over the Great Basin. This will yield an enhanced offshore pressure gradient across southern CA. While locally dry/breezy conditions are expected (especially over the wind-prone mountains and valleys), marginal fuels and limited RH reductions should keep any fire-weather risk localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 2, 2025 at 10:40 PM
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Tue, 02 Dec 2025 16:29:27 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1028 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook. Increasing westerly flow aloft south of an advancing mid-level trough along with a deepening lee surface trough along the central/southern High Plains will support a favorable environment for dry, downslope flow across east-central NM and the TX Panhandle through the afternoon. West-southwest winds of 15-20 mph combined with relative humidity as low as 15% are expected. However, the overall fuelscape remains unreceptive to significant wildfire spread although pockets of drier fuels/cured grasses could align with the dry and breezy conditions to support locally elevated fire weather concerns. ..Williams.. 12/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Within the base of a gradually amplifying large-scale trough over the West, a belt of moderate midlevel westerly flow will overspread the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains today. In response, a lee cyclone will deepen in the vicinity of northeastern NM. These factors will contribute to dry/breezy downslope flow from eastern NM into the TX Panhandle and South Plains during the afternoon. While a corridor of 20 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds are expected amid 15-20 percent RH, unreceptive fuels should limit most fire-weather concerns. East of the lee cyclone, dry/breezy return flow will develop across northwest TX into western OK. Similarly, marginal fuels should limit the wildfire risk. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 2, 2025 at 6:00 PM
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Mon, 01 Dec 2025 21:20:16 +0000
🔥Synopsis🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CST Mon Dec 01 2025 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A generally benign fire weather pattern is expected across eastern CONUS through early next week as successive cold fronts and attendant precipitation along with cool/cold conditions mitigate significant fire weather potential. Limited atmospheric moisture and northward displacement of passing mid/upper level short waves should keep dry conditions in place across the Southwest and portions of the Southern Plains through the weekend. Latest model guidance suggests another offshore wind event across southern CA Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday as surface high pressure settles into the Intermountain West. However, fuels are expected to remain unreceptive/marginal through the event, limiting the impact from dry offshore flow. Stronger lee cyclogenesis is possible on Day 6/Saturday across the central/southern High Plains as a mid-level wave descends southeastward from the Northern Rockies. The subsequent dry and breezy conditions from a tightening surface pressure gradient could bring a fire weather threat to portions of eastern NM and West TX, but uncertainty in timing/position of surface low and overlap with sufficiently dry fuels precludes introduction of critical probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 12/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 1, 2025 at 9:40 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Mon, 01 Dec 2025 19:43:25 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0142 PM CST Mon Dec 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Accelerating mid-level westerly flow over the southern and central Rockies and accompanying lee cyclogenesis across the central southern High Plains will enhance dry, downslope flow across eastern NM and the TX Panhandle Tuesday. West-southwest winds at the surface of up to 20 mph along with relative humidity falling to around 15% are expected across portions of eastern NM Tuesday afternoon, with breezy south-southwest winds but slightly higher relative humidity extending into the TX Panhandle and far western OK. However, fuels remain unsupportive of significant wildfire spread across the region, limiting impacts from dry/breezy conditions. ..Williams.. 12/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0133 AM CST Mon Dec 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... Within the base of an amplifying large-scale trough over the western half of the CONUS, a belt of moderate midlevel westerly flow will overspread the southern Rockies during the day. In response, a lee cyclone will deepen over the central High Plains, further enhancing the downslope flow across parts of eastern NM into the TX Panhandle /South Plains. While around 20 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds and 15-25 percent RH are expected, cold antecedent conditions and limited/marginal fuels should mitigate most fire-weather concerns. This will also be the case to the southeast of the lee cyclone over western OK -- where dry/breezy southerly return flow is expected amid marginal/unreceptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 1, 2025 at 8:00 PM
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Mon, 01 Dec 2025 16:32:28 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1031 AM CST Mon Dec 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern California... Current surface observations depict an ongoing offshore wind event within favored terrain/gaps across portions of southern CA. Wind gusts of 35-45 mph from the east-northeast are expected to diminish later this afternoon as the offshore pressure gradient begins to wane. In addition, fuels remain largely unfavorable for wildfire spread and will further mitigate overall fire weather impacts. ..Williams.. 12/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0133 AM CST Mon Dec 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a positively tilted midlevel trough departing the Rockies, surface high pressure will build over the Great Basin/Intermountain West. This will yield an enhanced offshore pressure gradient across southern CA, where moderate midlevel northerly flow will be in place on the backside of the trough. These factors will contribute to dry/breezy east-northeasterly surface winds across the typical wind-prone mountains/valleys of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties. While locally elevated conditions are possible, marginal fuels should tend to limit the overall risk. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 1, 2025 at 5:20 PM
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Mon, 01 Dec 2025 07:36:17 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0133 AM CST Mon Dec 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Within the base of an amplifying large-scale trough over the western half of the CONUS, a belt of moderate midlevel westerly flow will overspread the southern Rockies during the day. In response, a lee cyclone will deepen over the central High Plains, further enhancing the downslope flow across parts of eastern NM into the TX Panhandle /South Plains. While around 20 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds and 15-25 percent RH are expected, cold antecedent conditions and limited/marginal fuels should mitigate most fire-weather concerns. This will also be the case to the southeast of the lee cyclone over western OK -- where dry/breezy southerly return flow is expected amid marginal/unreceptive fuels. ..Weinman.. 12/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
December 1, 2025 at 7:40 AM