Space Weather TREC
@spaceweathertrec.bsky.social
Space Weather Technology, Research, and Education Center at the University of Colorado Boulder
Another truism from the field:
Model validation is not forecast verification.
Model Validation: use data from time t0, predict state at t0
Forecast Verification: use data at t0, predict state at t0+L, where L = forecast lead time
Many models that validate well fail to forecast skillfully
Model validation is not forecast verification.
Model Validation: use data from time t0, predict state at t0
Forecast Verification: use data at t0, predict state at t0+L, where L = forecast lead time
Many models that validate well fail to forecast skillfully
November 29, 2024 at 3:00 PM
Another truism from the field:
Model validation is not forecast verification.
Model Validation: use data from time t0, predict state at t0
Forecast Verification: use data at t0, predict state at t0+L, where L = forecast lead time
Many models that validate well fail to forecast skillfully
Model validation is not forecast verification.
Model Validation: use data from time t0, predict state at t0
Forecast Verification: use data at t0, predict state at t0+L, where L = forecast lead time
Many models that validate well fail to forecast skillfully
Thanks for the heads up. Sometimes there’s hiccups in the databases that can cause that. We don’t download any data - just pull from the native bases and display it. Goddard or one of the other servers may have been down. Let me know if it persists and we’ll look into it here.
November 26, 2024 at 5:02 AM
Thanks for the heads up. Sometimes there’s hiccups in the databases that can cause that. We don’t download any data - just pull from the native bases and display it. Goddard or one of the other servers may have been down. Let me know if it persists and we’ll look into it here.
Kinda sad that we have to say “if it had an EUV camera…”
Note to NASA: include cameras on all of your Helio missions! Look to the Juno mission to see what an off-the-shelf camera can for you mission’s wider appeal.
Note to NASA: include cameras on all of your Helio missions! Look to the Juno mission to see what an off-the-shelf camera can for you mission’s wider appeal.
November 25, 2024 at 6:49 PM
Kinda sad that we have to say “if it had an EUV camera…”
Note to NASA: include cameras on all of your Helio missions! Look to the Juno mission to see what an off-the-shelf camera can for you mission’s wider appeal.
Note to NASA: include cameras on all of your Helio missions! Look to the Juno mission to see what an off-the-shelf camera can for you mission’s wider appeal.