Very interesting analysis @mixedmigration.org on potential #migration impact from #Israel-#Iran war if ceasefire doesn't hold & conflict continues

Take the scenario of #Syria. At peak of civil war, 1/4 of its 23m pop fled abroad; another 1/4 internally displaced (+thread)

Departing further down the French coast means migrants must travel a much longer distance across the Channel

More risks --> more deaths, says Feyrouz Lajili @msf.ca

Lastly, a dispatch from #Berck, a charming seaside town in northern #France

We do a recon of distress calls made on Feb 9 by migrants to
@Utopia_56's emergency line showing the growing stretch of coastline from which people set sail to evade detection

Jalel Harchaoui of RUSI weighs in

#Russia appears to be reinforcing its bases in #Libya as it faces uncertain future in #Syria, its other foothold in Mediterranean

At least 3 RUS military cargo IL-76s flew #Belarus-Libya since Dec 8 when RUS-allied #Assad regime in Syria toppled by rebels - FlightRadar24 data

Interesting pt below about #Syrian army that also poss applies to #Chinese army. #China's military is world's largest at 2m strong but will troops charge that hill when push comes to shove? Experts hv said before perhaps even #Xi doesn't know the answer to that

www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...

Read on

www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...

Very poignant @telegraphnews.bsky.social essay from Abdulrahman Bdiwi, a #Syrian who fled to the UK 10 yrs ago

www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...

Read on:

www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...

Piles of possessions. What moving a life looks like

Heading home:

‎⁦‪#Syrian‬⁩ migrants queuing early this morning at the ⁦‪#Turkey‬⁩-⁦‪#Syria‬⁩ border, hoping to return ⁦‪#home‬⁩ for the first time in years. Syrian kids born in exile in Turkey may finally see their homeland. This is the Cilvegözü crossing point‬⁩

#Military control in Libya also allows #Russia to draw an arc of #power from the eastern #Mediterranean – where it already controls coastal positions in #Syria – down to the southern Mediterranean via #Libya

Read more @telegraphnews.bsky.social

www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...

Upgrades suggest #Russia significantly ramping up military presence in #Libya, thx to growing partnership w/ Libyan warlord Gen Khalifa #Haftar

Russian-controlled bases in Libya marked below. We found big changes/activity at Brak, Jufra, Qardabiyah, w/ experts at thesentry.org