Matthew Scott
snowology.com
Matthew Scott
@snowology.com
Founder of Snowology, Northeast alpine snow forecaster, and petter of cats.
I mostly write about weather, operations, and conditions for Northeast skiers and riders, but every now and then I spend some time trying to share what I have learned from others while countering the absolute deluge of garbage weather hype on some platforms.

snowology.com/snowology-101-ssw
SNOWOLOGY 101: Sudden Stratospheric Warming
If you see viral weather coverage on social media and even TV at times, you may have heard that there will be a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event and we're all going to freeze to death or somet...
snowology.com
November 19, 2025 at 11:37 PM
Reposted by Matthew Scott
Autumn brings rapid environmental transition to the Arctic as snow cover and sea ice extent rapidly increase. An overview of where that process is at this year in the latest post from the Alaska and Arctic Climate Newsletter. #Arctic #Climate #SeaIce #snow

alaskaclimate.substack.com/p/mid-octobe...
October 18, 2025 at 6:16 PM
This was clearly one of the most likely storms to change dramatically if you just paid attention to all of the variables at work, including the fact that the storm hadn't even formed. There was a mad rush by tv mets and amateurs though to scare NC folk about massive floods. Shameful coverage!
On the left is a map of deterministic model tracks for Imelda from 2 days ago. If you mostly look at deterministic models, you would’ve been nearly convinced a landfall is happening.

On the right is the latest forecast. There is a valuable lesson here for being cautious with interpreting models.
September 29, 2025 at 1:11 AM
Reposted by Matthew Scott
I recognize that significant impacts from #Imelda are still possible without a direct landfall, but it's curious that the @accuweather.com track makes landfall while the NHC forecast keeps the storm offshore.

Your annual reminder to trust the experts at NHC & NWS.
September 27, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Weather Channel met shown here from Friday night using 6 and 30 hour old rainfall maps when there were clear signs of a trend out to sea. +15" inland is certainly going to shock people, and likely unnecessarily. Including precip maps from past devastating storms just raises the alarm further.
September 27, 2025 at 12:07 PM
There's a very high correlation between LARGE TEXT with an exclamation point over a map talking about an event a week away and that event not actually playing out as modeled.
September 26, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Is the goal of Live Storm Chasers to inform as a public service or to get clicks by showing 8 day precipitation maps with a big arrow pointed at a region that was devastated by Hurricane Helene one year ago?

Model agreement is still moderate at best with specific impacts still too early to call.
September 26, 2025 at 2:43 AM
Weatherboy is reporting on a 2.5 magnitude earthquake in Missouri and calls it "concerning' when in fact there are over a dozen such small earthquakes commonly per year.

Decopy AI Detector estimates a 61% chance the website article was AI generated.

Is this responsible coverage?
September 26, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Reposted by Matthew Scott
I stand for NOAA. But I can't stand being gaslighted by current comms staff (yes—just 'doing their job' and afraid of repercussions). They describe what will remain after SSMIS data ends as “the richest most accurate satellite weather observations available” (pics @michaelrlowry.bsky.social)
July 28, 2025 at 11:19 PM