I am with you that’s a real possibility. I’m not good at predictions. But it it does get built then those saying not that it will never be built will look silly.

This third way is embarrassing no matter what happens: if the pipeline gets built, they enabled something they claim to oppose. If it doesn’t, they were conning Canadians who believe in resource development.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Liberals need to pick a lane. Either oppose the deal like Guilbeault, or argue a pipeline would actually be good.

But the “genius” defense amounts to “don’t worry, we’re lying to Canadians who think resource development is key to economic recovery.”

Which is exactly what Poilievre will say if the pipeline doesn’t materialize.

They just disagree on whether that makes Carney incompetent or a genius who traded a fantasy for real concessions on carbon pricing.

Ron McKinnon praised the deal because it got “Danielle Smith’s government on board with climate change initiatives,” not because he thinks a pipeline is coming.

Poilievre says no pipeline will actually get built. Multiple senior Liberals believe the same thing. Ross Belot calls it “the most useful imaginary pipeline in Canadian history.”

It does not help to invest more into education when that investment is using the wrong techniques.

In fact, fixing curriculum is one of the cheapest interventions available.

I hope there is more and more mainstream reporting on math education. And that it moves into the actual details of evidence based research of pedagogy.

The latter just works. And it out performs the former on standardized testing. This is a big part of the underlying motivation to get rid of standardized testing.

Huge parts of the world have shifted over to inquiry-based learning or constructivist mathematics or just a math curriculum focused on Big Ideas.

This is in contrast to a pedagogy of gaining skill fluency through deliberate practice of using standard algorithms taught through direct instruction.

And to create these tasks people need to have the mental encodings for them.

And the most reliable way to acquire the mental encodings for these tasks is to learn how to do the tasks. Really, this is the only reliable way we know how to create these encodings.
2/2

“That 4.5% increment in GDP is equal to the total the U.S. currently spends on K–12 education.”

Testing matters. The returns to better math performance are staggering. 2/2

Like you only have one bag of flour and you have to decide if it will be used for 100 loaves of bread or play-doh for kids? Do you flip a coin or set a price? Because currently with H1Bs the government is flipping a coin.

What about adding a price when there's limited supply of inputs and you're currently using a lottery which is wildly sub-optimal in its allocation?

It’s pretty good at capturing the bookend in real time