Matt Carlson
@slowandsteadied.bsky.social
Amateur HK punter, using data to figure out which horses will run a much-the-best third.
Happy Valley 1/8
Once again time for the only Happy Valley group race of the year. And I never have any idea how to cap it... Really don't have many opinions late in this card, but the early looks ok. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Once again time for the only Happy Valley group race of the year. And I never have any idea how to cap it... Really don't have many opinions late in this card, but the early looks ok. Best of luck all. #HKracing
January 8, 2025 at 1:16 AM
Happy Valley 1/8
Once again time for the only Happy Valley group race of the year. And I never have any idea how to cap it... Really don't have many opinions late in this card, but the early looks ok. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Once again time for the only Happy Valley group race of the year. And I never have any idea how to cap it... Really don't have many opinions late in this card, but the early looks ok. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Sha Tin 1/5
Been floated on one big winner a card the past few, hopefully we keep it rolling. Like this card a fair bit, mostly because the odds on Zac are completely off the rails. Huge opportunities all night on regression to his mean. Best of luck. #HKRacing
Been floated on one big winner a card the past few, hopefully we keep it rolling. Like this card a fair bit, mostly because the odds on Zac are completely off the rails. Huge opportunities all night on regression to his mean. Best of luck. #HKRacing
January 5, 2025 at 3:45 AM
Sha Tin 1/5
Been floated on one big winner a card the past few, hopefully we keep it rolling. Like this card a fair bit, mostly because the odds on Zac are completely off the rails. Huge opportunities all night on regression to his mean. Best of luck. #HKRacing
Been floated on one big winner a card the past few, hopefully we keep it rolling. Like this card a fair bit, mostly because the odds on Zac are completely off the rails. Huge opportunities all night on regression to his mean. Best of luck. #HKRacing
Sha Tin 1/1 - Lucky Start
Great card to ring in the new year, although one that may look a bit light on prices. Will try to catch one in the last with Steps Ahead hoping to start things on the right foot. Best of luck all and Happy New Year. #HKRacing
Great card to ring in the new year, although one that may look a bit light on prices. Will try to catch one in the last with Steps Ahead hoping to start things on the right foot. Best of luck all and Happy New Year. #HKRacing
January 1, 2025 at 12:42 AM
Sha Tin 1/1 - Lucky Start
Great card to ring in the new year, although one that may look a bit light on prices. Will try to catch one in the last with Steps Ahead hoping to start things on the right foot. Best of luck all and Happy New Year. #HKRacing
Great card to ring in the new year, although one that may look a bit light on prices. Will try to catch one in the last with Steps Ahead hoping to start things on the right foot. Best of luck all and Happy New Year. #HKRacing
Sha Tin 12/29
Another one where nothing really stood out. Biggest play probably through Rising From Ashes R9 hoping he takes to the surface. Small elsewhere. Best of luck all. #HKRacing
Another one where nothing really stood out. Biggest play probably through Rising From Ashes R9 hoping he takes to the surface. Small elsewhere. Best of luck all. #HKRacing
December 29, 2024 at 3:55 AM
Sha Tin 12/29
Another one where nothing really stood out. Biggest play probably through Rising From Ashes R9 hoping he takes to the surface. Small elsewhere. Best of luck all. #HKRacing
Another one where nothing really stood out. Biggest play probably through Rising From Ashes R9 hoping he takes to the surface. Small elsewhere. Best of luck all. #HKRacing
Happy Valley 12/26
Post-Christmas hangover card, handicapping may be suspect. In that vein, taking a swing at Beauty Thunder to hit the board R2 to keep the run of longshots going. Layoff, class drop, decent trials, currently 50-1...maybe. Good luck all #HKracing
Post-Christmas hangover card, handicapping may be suspect. In that vein, taking a swing at Beauty Thunder to hit the board R2 to keep the run of longshots going. Layoff, class drop, decent trials, currently 50-1...maybe. Good luck all #HKracing
December 26, 2024 at 4:48 AM
Happy Valley 12/26
Post-Christmas hangover card, handicapping may be suspect. In that vein, taking a swing at Beauty Thunder to hit the board R2 to keep the run of longshots going. Layoff, class drop, decent trials, currently 50-1...maybe. Good luck all #HKracing
Post-Christmas hangover card, handicapping may be suspect. In that vein, taking a swing at Beauty Thunder to hit the board R2 to keep the run of longshots going. Layoff, class drop, decent trials, currently 50-1...maybe. Good luck all #HKracing
Sha Tin 12/22
Tough card. Value feels like it's out there but sometimes a bad sign when your picks are that far off market. Best bet R7 on Magnificent Nine. Beer bet with @cherrydrank.bsky.social R1 most important of the night though. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Tough card. Value feels like it's out there but sometimes a bad sign when your picks are that far off market. Best bet R7 on Magnificent Nine. Beer bet with @cherrydrank.bsky.social R1 most important of the night though. Best of luck all. #HKracing
December 22, 2024 at 4:19 AM
Sha Tin 12/22
Tough card. Value feels like it's out there but sometimes a bad sign when your picks are that far off market. Best bet R7 on Magnificent Nine. Beer bet with @cherrydrank.bsky.social R1 most important of the night though. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Tough card. Value feels like it's out there but sometimes a bad sign when your picks are that far off market. Best bet R7 on Magnificent Nine. Beer bet with @cherrydrank.bsky.social R1 most important of the night though. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Sha Tin 12/15
Not much trust in anything tonight but taking some swings. Taking a chance on Currahee R3 hoping he's found the right course and distance at low weight. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Not much trust in anything tonight but taking some swings. Taking a chance on Currahee R3 hoping he's found the right course and distance at low weight. Best of luck all. #HKracing
December 15, 2024 at 1:55 AM
Sha Tin 12/15
Not much trust in anything tonight but taking some swings. Taking a chance on Currahee R3 hoping he's found the right course and distance at low weight. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Not much trust in anything tonight but taking some swings. Taking a chance on Currahee R3 hoping he's found the right course and distance at low weight. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Sha Tin 12/8 - #HKIR
Favorite day of the racing year. Just a fantastic card to try to stay up and watch top to bottom. First 5 races may chalk out, but the late has some opportunity. Probably not playing those P3s - high risk, low reward, bad structure... gl all. #HKRacing
Favorite day of the racing year. Just a fantastic card to try to stay up and watch top to bottom. First 5 races may chalk out, but the late has some opportunity. Probably not playing those P3s - high risk, low reward, bad structure... gl all. #HKRacing
December 8, 2024 at 2:04 AM
Happy Valley 12/4 - International Jockeys' Championship
Favorite week of the year seeing the international jockeys and horses match up. Tough card as always, biggest play is probably Can't Go Wong R5. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Favorite week of the year seeing the international jockeys and horses match up. Tough card as always, biggest play is probably Can't Go Wong R5. Best of luck all. #HKracing
December 4, 2024 at 3:53 AM
Happy Valley 12/4 - International Jockeys' Championship
Favorite week of the year seeing the international jockeys and horses match up. Tough card as always, biggest play is probably Can't Go Wong R5. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Favorite week of the year seeing the international jockeys and horses match up. Tough card as always, biggest play is probably Can't Go Wong R5. Best of luck all. #HKracing
Sha Tin 11/30
I have no idea how to handicap dirt here, other than to say that data suggests no one else does either. Taking some swings and moving on. No pick 3's tonight. Biggest play R4 in Aca Power. Best of luck all. #HKracing
I have no idea how to handicap dirt here, other than to say that data suggests no one else does either. Taking some swings and moving on. No pick 3's tonight. Biggest play R4 in Aca Power. Best of luck all. #HKracing
December 1, 2024 at 3:24 AM
Sha Tin 11/30
I have no idea how to handicap dirt here, other than to say that data suggests no one else does either. Taking some swings and moving on. No pick 3's tonight. Biggest play R4 in Aca Power. Best of luck all. #HKracing
I have no idea how to handicap dirt here, other than to say that data suggests no one else does either. Taking some swings and moving on. No pick 3's tonight. Biggest play R4 in Aca Power. Best of luck all. #HKracing
