Simon Andrew
@simonandrew.bsky.social
Dad, husband, leftie.
On Dharawal land.
On Dharawal land.
It's lizard time!
November 13, 2025 at 7:29 AM
It's lizard time!
I've played at York Park, NSW/ACT Over 45s, AFL Masters Carnival 2015.
Its a decent ground.
Its a decent ground.
November 9, 2025 at 3:03 AM
I've played at York Park, NSW/ACT Over 45s, AFL Masters Carnival 2015.
Its a decent ground.
Its a decent ground.
not completely sure, but I think the moon might be upside down too:
November 8, 2025 at 8:24 PM
not completely sure, but I think the moon might be upside down too:
Yeah, I would recommend staying in the airport.
August 1, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Yeah, I would recommend staying in the airport.
E.g. from October last year.
July 2, 2025 at 8:06 AM
E.g. from October last year.
Stats for charging my EV. Charged off the wall at 8A (1.7kW).
km worked out at 18kWh per 100km - I haven't checked if that's the mileage I'm really getting - that's what the book says I should get. I'm only averaging 20km-ish a day. I've only charged it at home.
km worked out at 18kWh per 100km - I haven't checked if that's the mileage I'm really getting - that's what the book says I should get. I'm only averaging 20km-ish a day. I've only charged it at home.
June 30, 2025 at 6:57 AM
Stats for charging my EV. Charged off the wall at 8A (1.7kW).
km worked out at 18kWh per 100km - I haven't checked if that's the mileage I'm really getting - that's what the book says I should get. I'm only averaging 20km-ish a day. I've only charged it at home.
km worked out at 18kWh per 100km - I haven't checked if that's the mileage I'm really getting - that's what the book says I should get. I'm only averaging 20km-ish a day. I've only charged it at home.
Here's some real numbers from my battery over the last few months. $ savings is worked out on getting 5c for selling a kW to the grid (instread of charging the battery) but paying 34c for pulling one down (instead of using the battery).
June 30, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Here's some real numbers from my battery over the last few months. $ savings is worked out on getting 5c for selling a kW to the grid (instread of charging the battery) but paying 34c for pulling one down (instead of using the battery).
Even the Onion wouldn't touch that one:
June 25, 2025 at 1:20 AM
Even the Onion wouldn't touch that one:
Friday night. Sydney. Vidid
June 13, 2025 at 10:16 AM
Friday night. Sydney. Vidid
Both leading, with over 60% counted. Bradfield closer than Kooyong.
May 3, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Both leading, with over 60% counted. Bradfield closer than Kooyong.
Last bettings odds data update:
Majority/Minority Scenarios:
ALP>75 8%, LNP>75 0%, ALP>LNP 85%, LNP>ALP 5%, ALP=LNP 2%
Screenshots are:
Who is leading in how many seats (sums to 152, Wannon and Kooyong are dead heats)
ALP vs LNP average seats
Watchlist - Incumbents trailing or <60% chance
Majority/Minority Scenarios:
ALP>75 8%, LNP>75 0%, ALP>LNP 85%, LNP>ALP 5%, ALP=LNP 2%
Screenshots are:
Who is leading in how many seats (sums to 152, Wannon and Kooyong are dead heats)
ALP vs LNP average seats
Watchlist - Incumbents trailing or <60% chance
May 2, 2025 at 10:11 PM
Last bettings odds data update:
Majority/Minority Scenarios:
ALP>75 8%, LNP>75 0%, ALP>LNP 85%, LNP>ALP 5%, ALP=LNP 2%
Screenshots are:
Who is leading in how many seats (sums to 152, Wannon and Kooyong are dead heats)
ALP vs LNP average seats
Watchlist - Incumbents trailing or <60% chance
Majority/Minority Scenarios:
ALP>75 8%, LNP>75 0%, ALP>LNP 85%, LNP>ALP 5%, ALP=LNP 2%
Screenshots are:
Who is leading in how many seats (sums to 152, Wannon and Kooyong are dead heats)
ALP vs LNP average seats
Watchlist - Incumbents trailing or <60% chance
Betting odds data. Watchlist: who's trailing, who's challenged;
and predicted seats.
The data hasn't moved much since Friday
and predicted seats.
The data hasn't moved much since Friday
April 29, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Betting odds data. Watchlist: who's trailing, who's challenged;
and predicted seats.
The data hasn't moved much since Friday
and predicted seats.
The data hasn't moved much since Friday
The bettings odds data, after being quiet for a week, made a move today.
April 25, 2025 at 9:38 AM
The bettings odds data, after being quiet for a week, made a move today.
Yeah, the airport line, going towards the city, stops at Circular Quay. You can't miss it. The train comes up out of the subway to an elevated platform. You can see the Harbour Bridge and the Opera House from the train.
April 23, 2025 at 7:27 AM
Yeah, the airport line, going towards the city, stops at Circular Quay. You can't miss it. The train comes up out of the subway to an elevated platform. You can see the Harbour Bridge and the Opera House from the train.
Bettings odds data.
ALP now ~72% chance of having more seats than LNP, but <2% chance of gaining a majority.
ALP incumbent trailing in 4 seats (Aston, Gilmore, Paterson, Bennelong). LNP incumbent trailing in one (Cowper)
The rate of change in the data has slowed. Only one or two changes per day.
ALP now ~72% chance of having more seats than LNP, but <2% chance of gaining a majority.
ALP incumbent trailing in 4 seats (Aston, Gilmore, Paterson, Bennelong). LNP incumbent trailing in one (Cowper)
The rate of change in the data has slowed. Only one or two changes per day.
April 22, 2025 at 10:48 PM
Bettings odds data.
ALP now ~72% chance of having more seats than LNP, but <2% chance of gaining a majority.
ALP incumbent trailing in 4 seats (Aston, Gilmore, Paterson, Bennelong). LNP incumbent trailing in one (Cowper)
The rate of change in the data has slowed. Only one or two changes per day.
ALP now ~72% chance of having more seats than LNP, but <2% chance of gaining a majority.
ALP incumbent trailing in 4 seats (Aston, Gilmore, Paterson, Bennelong). LNP incumbent trailing in one (Cowper)
The rate of change in the data has slowed. Only one or two changes per day.
IKEA have a somewhat different take on chocolate moose
April 19, 2025 at 11:10 PM
IKEA have a somewhat different take on chocolate moose
Betting odds data: Who's leading in how many seats.
Sums to 151 because Cowper is a dead heat.
Sums to 151 because Cowper is a dead heat.
April 15, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Betting odds data: Who's leading in how many seats.
Sums to 151 because Cowper is a dead heat.
Sums to 151 because Cowper is a dead heat.
From betting odds data...
April 11, 2025 at 9:37 AM
From betting odds data...
The beers are on this guy.
April 9, 2025 at 8:13 AM
The beers are on this guy.
Simulation results using betting odds data.
Blue columns are scenarios - sum to 100% going across
Grey columns are seats - sum to 150 going across
Graph is ALP seats vs LNP seats.
Blue columns are scenarios - sum to 100% going across
Grey columns are seats - sum to 150 going across
Graph is ALP seats vs LNP seats.
April 8, 2025 at 8:39 AM
Simulation results using betting odds data.
Blue columns are scenarios - sum to 100% going across
Grey columns are seats - sum to 150 going across
Graph is ALP seats vs LNP seats.
Blue columns are scenarios - sum to 100% going across
Grey columns are seats - sum to 150 going across
Graph is ALP seats vs LNP seats.
My watchlist, who is trailing, who is being challenged - betting odds data - don't take it toooo seriously
April 2, 2025 at 8:21 PM
My watchlist, who is trailing, who is being challenged - betting odds data - don't take it toooo seriously
