• Unknown region aircraft migration - watch for transponders re-enabling to identify operational areas

• Tanker count normalization - current 121% above baseline unsustainable, expect either mission completion or additional strategic asset deployment
• P-8 Poseidon operational patterns - seven aircraft suggests coordinated maritime operation, correlate with surface vessel movements

WATCH ITEMS

• Monitor B-52 mission duration and recovery locations - extended operations with null callsigns warrant continued tracking
• Triple RC-135 deployment sustainability - assess if UK RRR7217 rotation indicates persistent European SIGINT requirement

Australian Ghost Bat drone program and US CCA autonomous software development suggests wider unmanned systems integration trend not yet visible in ADS-B data.

OSINT CORRELATION

ORION26 exercise announcement from French forces correlates with European theater activity and NATO AWACS presence. USS Gerald Ford deployment to Middle East (8 months continuous at-sea) may explain P-8 Poseidon surge for carrier strike group support and maritime domain awareness.

Airlift steady at 123 total, consistent with baseline operations. No departures logged despite 20 new arrivals indicates sustained force buildup.

TRENDS

Total military traffic trending upward (347→390 latest, avg 357), with tanker count significantly elevated at 19 (final scan) versus 8.58 baseline - 121% above 24h average suggests major refueling operation support. Tier 1 count at 5 versus 3.2 baseline confirms elevated strategic posture.

shows 32 aircraft including SIGINT, AWACS, and tanker support infrastructure. NATO01 E-3F active alongside national assets indicates coordinated air operations.

REGIONAL ACTIVITY

Unknown region dominates at 106 aircraft (60% of total), likely reflecting transponder discipline during operations. Seven P-8 Poseidens deployed across CONUS/Unknown/UK assets suggests heightened maritime patrol - correlates with USS Gerald Ford deployment news. European theater

(RRR7217) in European theater - triple SIGINT coverage is above baseline. COBRA35's extreme altitude variance (5,525-30,000ft) indicates possible multi-phase collection mission.

STRATEGIC WATCH

Two B-52 Stratofortresses (ae58a6, ae5884) conducting extended operations with notable altitude variations (9,600-28,100ft), one using null callsign suggesting operational security posture. Three RC-135 Rivet Joints active simultaneously: two US (TOPCT26, COBRA35) and one UK