Shane Timmons
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shanetimmons.bsky.social
Shane Timmons
@shanetimmons.bsky.social
Using behavioural science to inform policy, mostly on environmental issues and consumer protection. Adjunct Trinity College Dublin.
This thread was mostly an exercise for myself to step back from a report a few days after it came out and to try get more consistent with Bluesky posting, but if anyone's made it this far the full report is here: doi.org/10.26504/rs207

14/14
Perceptions of climate change and policy among farmers and the public in Ireland
This study investigates how farmers, rural residents, and urban residents compare when it comes to perceptions and understanding of climate change, as well as willingness to make changes in their live...
doi.org
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Some take-homes are:
(1) there's no evidence for an urban-rural divide
(2) the public lack clear guidance on dietary emissions
(3) farmers are broadly onboard but could do with support
(4) a small climate 'resistant' group may drive misperceptions if given disproportionate airtime
13/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
It may instead be driven by a small subgroup who appear resistant to policies and report very low levels of concern about climate change. But we find evidence for people with these views in rural and urban communities too.
12/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
So, given all of this evidence, why might there be a perception that farmers are anti-climate action?

(Some) farmers are indeed less likely to recognise the climate impact of eating meat and are less supportive of restrictive farming policies - but the differences are pretty small.
11/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
So farmers are broadly concerned and supportive of some forms of climate action. Why don't we see more climate-friendly farming practices?

We find considerable scope for improving farmer awareness of these practices, some of which may be easy wins:

10/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Across a range of climate policies, we also see broadly similar levels of support across the three groups.

(There are some differences for specific policies, with farmers less supportive of reducing the national herd than the public (2.2 vs. 3.5-3.8), but little difference on most).

9/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Which may be partly driven by the public underestimating how worried farmers are about climate change.
8/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Almost half of farmers even cite climate change as one of the top issues they face (not sig different to the proportion who cite excessive regulation!)

The public also underestimate how many farmers struggle with negative perceptions of farming.
7/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
When it comes to concern, the distribution of worry in all groups is broadly similar. Though it looks like there may be fewer farmers at the 'extremely worried' end, the differences aren't even close to statistically significant (ps > .78).

(Note the distribution uptick at 1 though!)
6/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Farmers do substantially worse on the plant-based item, and we have some evidence that this is a form of motivated reasoning -> the difference is driven by beef and dairy farmers.

But it's also worth noting that majorities of all groups are poor on dietary emissions.
5/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Where we do find a difference is on understanding of what individual actions matter.

Farmers do slightly worse than the public (but again, if anything, the rural-urban divide favours rural).
4/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
We also find no difference in their understanding of what sectors are most responsible for emissions (with no improvement from when we first measured this 3 years ago.)

Concerningly, 1 in 3 farmers and the same proportion of the public don't identify agriculture as one of the big emitters

3/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
We find no reliable differences in knowledge of the effects of climate change between rural residents, urban residents and farmers. (If anything, rural respondents did slightly better!) 2/14
April 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
@isweconomics.bsky.social - if you haven’t already come across this!
January 11, 2025 at 4:03 PM