@sg192021.bsky.social
The political argument was always just cover for pure gutter racism
December 12, 2025 at 4:09 PM
The political argument was always just cover for pure gutter racism
After the 2024 results a part of me wondered if there’d at least be a sliver of the professional GOP who‘d realize the whole thesis of demographic change inherently resulting in a permanent D majority was obviously wrong and support a courseshift but it seems there’s literally no one in that camp
December 12, 2025 at 4:09 PM
After the 2024 results a part of me wondered if there’d at least be a sliver of the professional GOP who‘d realize the whole thesis of demographic change inherently resulting in a permanent D majority was obviously wrong and support a courseshift but it seems there’s literally no one in that camp
Miller is from Santa Monica (which is in LA county), not the OC.
December 12, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Miller is from Santa Monica (which is in LA county), not the OC.
People can be really weird about the concept of “platforming.” It makes no sense when she already has access to much bigger platforms than the Bulwark, and it’s not like Miller went easy on her!
December 3, 2025 at 4:19 PM
People can be really weird about the concept of “platforming.” It makes no sense when she already has access to much bigger platforms than the Bulwark, and it’s not like Miller went easy on her!
Diminishing Trump’s dangers seems like more of a cross-ideological thing among a certain type of contrarian and/or faux intellectual? You have the Ryan Grim, Matt Stoller, Zaid Jilani, etc. types on the left, the centrists you describe, and AATers on the right
November 22, 2025 at 2:05 AM
That seems like an argument tailored towards what would be better in a vacuum assuming we have a normal government at all times, not based on what we’re actually dealing with here
November 21, 2025 at 3:54 PM
That seems like an argument tailored towards what would be better in a vacuum assuming we have a normal government at all times, not based on what we’re actually dealing with here
Do you think Republicans seriously contest local/district elections in deep blue cities or think they can win with just the right message? This is delusional.
November 17, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Do you think Republicans seriously contest local/district elections in deep blue cities or think they can win with just the right message? This is delusional.
When I read the headline I thought the woman walked into the house through an unlocked door and then someone inside shot them through a door in the house thinking it was a home invasion. Who the fuck just shoots someone for being on the porch?
November 7, 2025 at 5:22 PM
When I read the headline I thought the woman walked into the house through an unlocked door and then someone inside shot them through a door in the house thinking it was a home invasion. Who the fuck just shoots someone for being on the porch?
Trump did underperform the total GOP House vote but Dems did very well in battleground districts to minimize the R majority
November 7, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Trump did underperform the total GOP House vote but Dems did very well in battleground districts to minimize the R majority
I think it depends on how you define “normal.” Rs who come off as sane can outrun him by a lot (Scott, Hogan, Fitzpatrick, even more conservative guys like Kemp or Youngkin) but his imitators usually underperform him and they’re the norm within the GOP at this point.
November 7, 2025 at 3:51 PM
I think it depends on how you define “normal.” Rs who come off as sane can outrun him by a lot (Scott, Hogan, Fitzpatrick, even more conservative guys like Kemp or Youngkin) but his imitators usually underperform him and they’re the norm within the GOP at this point.
it was just a GOP friendly media narrative and that did not happen at all even as coverage of those topics got drowned out by a bunch of other stuff going on
November 7, 2025 at 12:07 AM
it was just a GOP friendly media narrative and that did not happen at all even as coverage of those topics got drowned out by a bunch of other stuff going on
I don’t think Will’s hobbyhorse about media environment is totally baseless but he goes way too far with it out of a need to feel like the smartest person in the room all the time. A lot of people buying that expected voters to stop caring about prices/inflation when Trump took office because
November 7, 2025 at 12:07 AM
I don’t think Will’s hobbyhorse about media environment is totally baseless but he goes way too far with it out of a need to feel like the smartest person in the room all the time. A lot of people buying that expected voters to stop caring about prices/inflation when Trump took office because
I‘m not saying everything boils down to inflation but I really don’t know why its so hard to believe that after 40 years of price stability voters reacted negatively to a sudden spike in inflation under Biden and are dissatisfied with Trump’s lack of focus or counterproductive actions on COL
November 7, 2025 at 12:04 AM
I‘m not saying everything boils down to inflation but I really don’t know why its so hard to believe that after 40 years of price stability voters reacted negatively to a sudden spike in inflation under Biden and are dissatisfied with Trump’s lack of focus or counterproductive actions on COL
@andycraig.bsky.social has the right idea here. Replace single member districts with some form of proportional representation.
November 5, 2025 at 4:30 AM
@andycraig.bsky.social has the right idea here. Replace single member districts with some form of proportional representation.
Didn't Yglesias support Bernie in 2020?
November 5, 2025 at 4:04 AM
Didn't Yglesias support Bernie in 2020?
it was the least surprising thing in the world to me even at the time. Obama was far from perfect but nobody in the history of the country has come up with an effective and replicable strategy to avoid bad midterms, that’s not a good standard to judge efficacy
November 4, 2025 at 3:44 AM
it was the least surprising thing in the world to me even at the time. Obama was far from perfect but nobody in the history of the country has come up with an effective and replicable strategy to avoid bad midterms, that’s not a good standard to judge efficacy
Ebola was just the latest RW culture war totem at the time. The GOP had a base that hated Obama, the Dems had a coalition that only cared about presidential elections and the economy was still recovering from the GFC. I literally never understood why Dems were shocked by that result
November 4, 2025 at 3:43 AM
Ebola was just the latest RW culture war totem at the time. The GOP had a base that hated Obama, the Dems had a coalition that only cared about presidential elections and the economy was still recovering from the GFC. I literally never understood why Dems were shocked by that result
Even if you just look at national popular vote it’s the same story. Your argument is premised on the need to find a specific reason for backlash to explain a bad midterm for the party in power but literally the entire modern history of American politics is the opposite, you need a reason not to
November 4, 2025 at 3:38 AM
Even if you just look at national popular vote it’s the same story. Your argument is premised on the need to find a specific reason for backlash to explain a bad midterm for the party in power but literally the entire modern history of American politics is the opposite, you need a reason not to
And the economy still hadn’t fully recovered from the recession
November 4, 2025 at 3:17 AM
And the economy still hadn’t fully recovered from the recession
It really wasn’t exceptionally bad by historical standards, incumbent parties generally get clobbered unless there’s a catalyst to the opposite direction. Dems also had a coalition in the Obama era that was optimized for high turnout presidential environments.
November 4, 2025 at 3:17 AM
It really wasn’t exceptionally bad by historical standards, incumbent parties generally get clobbered unless there’s a catalyst to the opposite direction. Dems also had a coalition in the Obama era that was optimized for high turnout presidential environments.
Yes, Trump’s 2016 campaign was objectively dumb in many ways but immigration was an effective wedge issue against Clinton with a Dem coalition that still required lots of WWC votes and HRC was also an effective foil for his anti-establishment outside shtick as phony as it was
November 4, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Yes, Trump’s 2016 campaign was objectively dumb in many ways but immigration was an effective wedge issue against Clinton with a Dem coalition that still required lots of WWC votes and HRC was also an effective foil for his anti-establishment outside shtick as phony as it was
Midterms are usually just backlash against the incumbents unless you have an anomalous situation like 9/11 or Dobbs. 2016 was a combination of HRC being a poor candidate to face Trump, realignment that was very advantageous for the GOP in the EC, and a handicap for a party seeking a third term
November 4, 2025 at 1:33 AM
Midterms are usually just backlash against the incumbents unless you have an anomalous situation like 9/11 or Dobbs. 2016 was a combination of HRC being a poor candidate to face Trump, realignment that was very advantageous for the GOP in the EC, and a handicap for a party seeking a third term
And yet you’re apparently unfamiliar with the concept of midterms and what typically happens during them. You have a kernel of a point that you’re ruining with this stupid binary view where a strategy either guarantees success every election or is totally useless
November 4, 2025 at 1:25 AM
And yet you’re apparently unfamiliar with the concept of midterms and what typically happens during them. You have a kernel of a point that you’re ruining with this stupid binary view where a strategy either guarantees success every election or is totally useless
sense if you assume the counterfactual was a loss by the same margin. As for Biden, I think the IRA was a good plan but $ were deployed too slowly and while gas prices came down from the peaks it was still significantly more expensive than for the last ~5 years pre-pandemic
November 1, 2025 at 7:39 PM
sense if you assume the counterfactual was a loss by the same margin. As for Biden, I think the IRA was a good plan but $ were deployed too slowly and while gas prices came down from the peaks it was still significantly more expensive than for the last ~5 years pre-pandemic
Barack Obama left office very popular, the problem was that the Dem nominee was much less popular than him. The Obama-HRC delta does illustrate how things other than policy or ideology matter but it doesn’t prove those things don’t matter either. Saying there was no electoral benefit only makes
November 1, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Barack Obama left office very popular, the problem was that the Dem nominee was much less popular than him. The Obama-HRC delta does illustrate how things other than policy or ideology matter but it doesn’t prove those things don’t matter either. Saying there was no electoral benefit only makes