Scott Clement
@sfcpoll.bsky.social
Washington Post polling team. "Public Sentiment Is Everything" - Abraham Lincoln
How polls fared in four 2025 elections compared with recent prez and midterm years (overestimating Democrats=blue, overestimating Republicans=red). More detail in today's Early Brief www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
November 7, 2025 at 4:26 PM
How polls fared in four 2025 elections compared with recent prez and midterm years (overestimating Democrats=blue, overestimating Republicans=red). More detail in today's Early Brief www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
I wrote about 2025 poll accuracy for The Post's Early Brief newsletter, with context from 2016-2024 from the @aapor.bsky.social report released last week
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
November 7, 2025 at 12:30 PM
I wrote about 2025 poll accuracy for The Post's Early Brief newsletter, with context from 2016-2024 from the @aapor.bsky.social report released last week
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
There's a popular song about war, what it's good for. That is how Americans view tariffs (I'll leave now) www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
November 4, 2025 at 1:07 PM
There's a popular song about war, what it's good for. That is how Americans view tariffs (I'll leave now) www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
Groceries prices really break through in terms of perceptions: 71% say they're spending more on groceries than last yr, including 52% of Republicans. A 59% majority say they're paying more for utilities. Grocery prices are up 3%, utilities up 11.7% www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
November 4, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Groceries prices really break through in terms of perceptions: 71% say they're spending more on groceries than last yr, including 52% of Republicans. A 59% majority say they're paying more for utilities. Grocery prices are up 3%, utilities up 11.7% www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
As costs rise again, most Americans fault Trump, Post-ABC-Ipsos poll finds. Story by @abha-b.bsky.social @abtran.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
November 4, 2025 at 12:54 PM
As costs rise again, most Americans fault Trump, Post-ABC-Ipsos poll finds. Story by @abha-b.bsky.social @abtran.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
By 63%-21%, Americans oppose the Justice Dept. paying Trump $230 million as compensation for federal investigations into his conduct, as he requested in 2023/204. Among Republicans, 48% support/31% oppose/21% are not sure www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
November 3, 2025 at 2:26 PM
By 63%-21%, Americans oppose the Justice Dept. paying Trump $230 million as compensation for federal investigations into his conduct, as he requested in 2023/204. Among Republicans, 48% support/31% oppose/21% are not sure www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
How are voters' split on midterms despite broad Trump disapproval? Those disapprovers are not united behind Democrats, particularly soft Trump disapprovers www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
November 2, 2025 at 1:21 PM
How are voters' split on midterms despite broad Trump disapproval? Those disapprovers are not united behind Democrats, particularly soft Trump disapprovers www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
Who cares about the East Wing demolition? From our new Post-ABC-Ipsos poll www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
October 30, 2025 at 1:29 PM
Who cares about the East Wing demolition? From our new Post-ABC-Ipsos poll www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
The other big reason? Trump. 57% of Virginia registered voters disapprove of him, and 89% of those voters support Spanberger for governor. Jones gets 77% of Trump disapprovers, is also underperforming among moderates and independents www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
October 23, 2025 at 4:24 PM
The other big reason? Trump. 57% of Virginia registered voters disapprove of him, and 89% of those voters support Spanberger for governor. Jones gets 77% of Trump disapprovers, is also underperforming among moderates and independents www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
That is one reason Spanberger's lead in the governor race has held steady despite Jones's text scandal (and Hashmi in the LG race). Worth noting a good-quality poll from VCU this week showed a narrower seven-point advantage for Spanberger, ticking down from nine points before
October 23, 2025 at 4:22 PM
That is one reason Spanberger's lead in the governor race has held steady despite Jones's text scandal (and Hashmi in the LG race). Worth noting a good-quality poll from VCU this week showed a narrower seven-point advantage for Spanberger, ticking down from nine points before
54% of Virginia voters approve/41% disapprove of Democratic governor candidate Abigail Spanberger's response to Jones's texts, calling them "abhorrent" but not calling on him to drop out www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
October 23, 2025 at 4:20 PM
54% of Virginia voters approve/41% disapprove of Democratic governor candidate Abigail Spanberger's response to Jones's texts, calling them "abhorrent" but not calling on him to drop out www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
In one sign Jones might fall further in the final two weeks, 24% have no opinion of him, but those who do lean unfavorable by 15 percentage points (45-30). Miyares is in positive territory, 38-32, with even more (29%) having no opinion
October 23, 2025 at 4:17 PM
In one sign Jones might fall further in the final two weeks, 24% have no opinion of him, but those who do lean unfavorable by 15 percentage points (45-30). Miyares is in positive territory, 38-32, with even more (29%) having no opinion
Jones's support has dropped from 51%->46% since the National Review broke the story, now tied with Republican Jason Miyares, who inched up just one point (error margin +/- 3.5). 5% now say they'll support neither candidate, up from 1% before www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
October 23, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Jones's support has dropped from 51%->46% since the National Review broke the story, now tied with Republican Jason Miyares, who inched up just one point (error margin +/- 3.5). 5% now say they'll support neither candidate, up from 1% before www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
Our new poll with GMU's Schar School asked Virginia voters about Jay Jones's texts musing about shooting Republican speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates. After hearing one text 51% say Jones should drop out, including 26% of Democrats www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
October 23, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Our new poll with GMU's Schar School asked Virginia voters about Jay Jones's texts musing about shooting Republican speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates. After hearing one text 51% say Jones should drop out, including 26% of Democrats www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
In one big shift, 31% of American Jews now say The Democratic Party is "unfriendly" towards U.S. Jews, tripling from 10% five years ago. Almost no difference today in views of Dems, Reps or Trump on this question www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...
October 15, 2025 at 6:41 PM
In one big shift, 31% of American Jews now say The Democratic Party is "unfriendly" towards U.S. Jews, tripling from 10% five years ago. Almost no difference today in views of Dems, Reps or Trump on this question www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...
U.S. Jews perceive a similar level of antisemitism as in 2020 Pew survey -- 47% say there is "a lot" -- but growing numbers say they avoid wearing things that might identify them as Jewish www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...
October 15, 2025 at 6:36 PM
U.S. Jews perceive a similar level of antisemitism as in 2020 Pew survey -- 47% say there is "a lot" -- but growing numbers say they avoid wearing things that might identify them as Jewish www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...
Trump made gains among Jewish voters in 2024, but 71% of Jewish adults disapproved of him as of early September, with hardly any gains/losses from Trump/Harris voters last year. Unclear how Gaza cease-fire may shift these views www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...
October 15, 2025 at 6:32 PM
Trump made gains among Jewish voters in 2024, but 71% of Jewish adults disapproved of him as of early September, with hardly any gains/losses from Trump/Harris voters last year. Unclear how Gaza cease-fire may shift these views www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...
One notable finding from the Post-KFF poll - 75% of parents who support the MAHA movement keep their children up to date with vaccines, even as the group is more likely to skip or delay vaccines than non-MAHA parents www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/...
October 15, 2025 at 12:42 PM
One notable finding from the Post-KFF poll - 75% of parents who support the MAHA movement keep their children up to date with vaccines, even as the group is more likely to skip or delay vaccines than non-MAHA parents www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/...
Pediatricians are the only source of vaccine information trusted by clear majorities of parents across partisan groups, according to a Washington Post-KFF poll. They now play an essential role in combating rising vaccine skepticism in the United States www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/...
October 10, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Pediatricians are the only source of vaccine information trusted by clear majorities of parents across partisan groups, according to a Washington Post-KFF poll. They now play an essential role in combating rising vaccine skepticism in the United States www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/...
How some veterans exploit $193 billion VA program, due to lax controls "The Post found that millions of the claims are for minor or treatable afflictions that rarely hinder employment, such as hair loss, jock itch and toenail fungus." www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio...
October 6, 2025 at 3:34 PM
How some veterans exploit $193 billion VA program, due to lax controls "The Post found that millions of the claims are for minor or treatable afflictions that rarely hinder employment, such as hair loss, jock itch and toenail fungus." www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio...
Our Post poll finds 48% of American Jews rate Benjamin Netanyahu's leadership as "poor," up 20 points from a Pew survey in 2020. U.S. Jews also say Netanyahu deserves much more responsibility than Israel for the continuation of the Israel-Gaza war. Read more -> www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
October 4, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Our Post poll finds 48% of American Jews rate Benjamin Netanyahu's leadership as "poor," up 20 points from a Pew survey in 2020. U.S. Jews also say Netanyahu deserves much more responsibility than Israel for the continuation of the Israel-Gaza war. Read more -> www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
The story cited age differences for emotional attachment to Israel. 62% of Jews under 35 say Israel is vital vs. 88% of those ages 65+, while 47% of younger Jews say they have a lot/some in common with Israeli Jews vs. 62% of seniors. Other age groups are in the middle on all three questions.
October 4, 2025 at 5:29 PM
The story cited age differences for emotional attachment to Israel. 62% of Jews under 35 say Israel is vital vs. 88% of those ages 65+, while 47% of younger Jews say they have a lot/some in common with Israeli Jews vs. 62% of seniors. Other age groups are in the middle on all three questions.
Most Va. voters agree with Earle-Sears on transgender students participating in sports and accessing bathrooms based, though just 4% say that's their top voting issue. It's also not a clear GOP advantage - 42% trust Republicans on the issue, 41% Dems www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
October 3, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Most Va. voters agree with Earle-Sears on transgender students participating in sports and accessing bathrooms based, though just 4% say that's their top voting issue. It's also not a clear GOP advantage - 42% trust Republicans on the issue, 41% Dems www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
What's the most important issue for Virginia voters in the governor's election? We asked an open-ended question. Economy, education and a lot of other topics www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
October 3, 2025 at 6:31 PM
What's the most important issue for Virginia voters in the governor's election? We asked an open-ended question. Economy, education and a lot of other topics www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
Spanberger leads by 27 points among political independents, the biggest factor in her advantage with one month to go. Democrats in the attorney general and LG races lead by 17 points with independents www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
October 3, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Spanberger leads by 27 points among political independents, the biggest factor in her advantage with one month to go. Democrats in the attorney general and LG races lead by 17 points with independents www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...