Seth Warner
@sethers.bsky.social
Political scientist at UConn 🏀❄️🌲
Research on affective polarization, elections, and state/local politics
CT native, go Huskies! 🐺
Research on affective polarization, elections, and state/local politics
CT native, go Huskies! 🐺
Was grateful to work with @us.theconversation.com to share my Social Forces piece with a broader audience. Some, fairly large part of protest today seems driven by partisan animosity, even on protest issues that are not explicitly partisan.
Why are there so many protests? The US public is highly polarized, and that drives people to act
Anger at the other side, as represented by the political party opposing yours, is a powerful motivator to engage in protests.
theconversation.com
September 23, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Was grateful to work with @us.theconversation.com to share my Social Forces piece with a broader audience. Some, fairly large part of protest today seems driven by partisan animosity, even on protest issues that are not explicitly partisan.
🚨 New working paper! 🚨
After the 2024 election, it seemed like Republicans' views of the economy improved more than Dems' dropped. I began to wonder... as an extension of issue ownership, do voters see Republican-led economies as better?
osf.io/preprints/os...
After the 2024 election, it seemed like Republicans' views of the economy improved more than Dems' dropped. I began to wonder... as an extension of issue ownership, do voters see Republican-led economies as better?
osf.io/preprints/os...
August 5, 2025 at 4:44 PM
🚨 New working paper! 🚨
After the 2024 election, it seemed like Republicans' views of the economy improved more than Dems' dropped. I began to wonder... as an extension of issue ownership, do voters see Republican-led economies as better?
osf.io/preprints/os...
After the 2024 election, it seemed like Republicans' views of the economy improved more than Dems' dropped. I began to wonder... as an extension of issue ownership, do voters see Republican-led economies as better?
osf.io/preprints/os...
🚨 New research alert! 🚨
Excited to share the first paper from my dissertation, now online at Social Forces.
Headline: when looking at who protests, partisan animosity explains almost as much variation as *concern about the issues being protested.* 1/
academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a...
Excited to share the first paper from my dissertation, now online at Social Forces.
Headline: when looking at who protests, partisan animosity explains almost as much variation as *concern about the issues being protested.* 1/
academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a...
Partisan animosity and protest participation in the United States
Abstract. In the United States, partisans are more likely to protest than other citizens. This study compares the relative strength of two explanations for
academic.oup.com
June 5, 2025 at 7:52 PM
🚨 New research alert! 🚨
Excited to share the first paper from my dissertation, now online at Social Forces.
Headline: when looking at who protests, partisan animosity explains almost as much variation as *concern about the issues being protested.* 1/
academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a...
Excited to share the first paper from my dissertation, now online at Social Forces.
Headline: when looking at who protests, partisan animosity explains almost as much variation as *concern about the issues being protested.* 1/
academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a...
Sharing my new, sadly timely WP with @polpsychjoe.bsky.social:
Do election outcomes impact affective polarization?
An RDD using close House, Senate, and state-level prez results from 1996-2020 says yes. Losers depolarize by losing faith in their own side. 😥
Read here: osf.io/preprints/os...
Do election outcomes impact affective polarization?
An RDD using close House, Senate, and state-level prez results from 1996-2020 says yes. Losers depolarize by losing faith in their own side. 😥
Read here: osf.io/preprints/os...
November 21, 2024 at 3:33 PM
Sharing my new, sadly timely WP with @polpsychjoe.bsky.social:
Do election outcomes impact affective polarization?
An RDD using close House, Senate, and state-level prez results from 1996-2020 says yes. Losers depolarize by losing faith in their own side. 😥
Read here: osf.io/preprints/os...
Do election outcomes impact affective polarization?
An RDD using close House, Senate, and state-level prez results from 1996-2020 says yes. Losers depolarize by losing faith in their own side. 😥
Read here: osf.io/preprints/os...
❗New data alert polisky❗
Daily time series of affective polarization in the US, between 2019 to 2023, drawn from responses to the Nationscape and America's Political Pulse studies.
T ~ 1,000
github.com/sbwarner/ts_...
Daily time series of affective polarization in the US, between 2019 to 2023, drawn from responses to the Nationscape and America's Political Pulse studies.
T ~ 1,000
github.com/sbwarner/ts_...
January 3, 2024 at 7:45 PM
❗New data alert polisky❗
Daily time series of affective polarization in the US, between 2019 to 2023, drawn from responses to the Nationscape and America's Political Pulse studies.
T ~ 1,000
github.com/sbwarner/ts_...
Daily time series of affective polarization in the US, between 2019 to 2023, drawn from responses to the Nationscape and America's Political Pulse studies.
T ~ 1,000
github.com/sbwarner/ts_...
Greetings Polisky, excited to share my new piece at Political Behavior.
Key takeaway: we are just some bridge data away from having campaign finance ideology scores (CFscores) for *everyone*
State politics nerd takeaway: Do voters use ideology more in gubernatorial elections? Maybe not!
Key takeaway: we are just some bridge data away from having campaign finance ideology scores (CFscores) for *everyone*
State politics nerd takeaway: Do voters use ideology more in gubernatorial elections? Maybe not!
Toward an Ideological Common Space: Extending Bonica’s CFscores to the Citizen Level - Political B...
Bonica’s (Am J Polit Sci 58(2):367–386, 2014) campaign finance-based ideology scores, or CFscores, create an ideological common space that allows researchers to compare a wide variety of actors. B...
link.springer.com
December 5, 2023 at 6:09 PM
Greetings Polisky, excited to share my new piece at Political Behavior.
Key takeaway: we are just some bridge data away from having campaign finance ideology scores (CFscores) for *everyone*
State politics nerd takeaway: Do voters use ideology more in gubernatorial elections? Maybe not!
Key takeaway: we are just some bridge data away from having campaign finance ideology scores (CFscores) for *everyone*
State politics nerd takeaway: Do voters use ideology more in gubernatorial elections? Maybe not!
Having a dandy time teaching my research stats students about univariate regression. Polisky
October 26, 2023 at 9:50 PM
Having a dandy time teaching my research stats students about univariate regression. Polisky
Took a littttttle while, but my fellow Nutmegger came around.
Breaking: Octogenarian finally acknowledges Duverger’s Law.
#polisky
#polisky
September 26, 2023 at 8:43 PM
Took a littttttle while, but my fellow Nutmegger came around.
Does polisky have any favorite videos on the Constitution, Bill of Rights, civil rights, etc. to share with my intro class?
September 25, 2023 at 8:41 PM
Does polisky have any favorite videos on the Constitution, Bill of Rights, civil rights, etc. to share with my intro class?
Guilty as charged
Honest question: Was I the only one who logged on to this thing yesterday and took embarrassing long to realise that people talking about Polisky and Dictatorsky wasn't just some inside joke about drunken Russian accents?
September 21, 2023 at 1:25 PM
Guilty as charged
As promised, I'm a lover of cool research design. 😍
This one leaves repeated falsehoods by a prominent politician to view how opinion shifts with it over time. ✌️
This one leaves repeated falsehoods by a prominent politician to view how opinion shifts with it over time. ✌️
this is a pretty cool extension of repetition research
All the President’s Lies: Repeated False Claims and Public Opinion by Pillai, Kim & @lkfazio.bsky.social
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...
All the President’s Lies: Repeated False Claims and Public Opinion by Pillai, Kim & @lkfazio.bsky.social
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...
September 20, 2023 at 2:09 AM
As promised, I'm a lover of cool research design. 😍
This one leaves repeated falsehoods by a prominent politician to view how opinion shifts with it over time. ✌️
This one leaves repeated falsehoods by a prominent politician to view how opinion shifts with it over time. ✌️
Reposted by Seth Warner
Importing from the other site, but it applies here as well. As soon as I started following these rules, sometime before I articulated them in late ‘21, my experience online improved immensely.
September 17, 2023 at 11:37 PM
Importing from the other site, but it applies here as well. As soon as I started following these rules, sometime before I articulated them in late ‘21, my experience online improved immensely.