Sean Ridge
sean-ridge.bsky.social
Sean Ridge
@sean-ridge.bsky.social
machine learning based weather forecasting specialist
That’s wild that y’all only implemented this recently
January 23, 2025 at 6:05 PM
Agree that emulators are great too, especially since we can do that now. I would love to see deep learning approaches used to increase ensemble sizes of climate models. Would be incredible to have 3000 member ensembles of a few select variables like temperature and precip
November 15, 2024 at 7:11 PM
Optimal critical humidity is just an example parameter I pulled from your paper describing ModelE. In theory, you could do this with every single parameter if you wanted to
November 15, 2024 at 7:07 PM
This is a massive software engineer task for something like ModelE. Full rewrite of the model to make the model differentiable (using a library like JAX). Additionally (as with manual tuning) maintaining numerical stability, and stable climate states, can be very challenging
November 15, 2024 at 7:05 PM
Different approach here, the goal is to learn the parameters of a model directly from observations rather than manual tuning. Model could be simple or complex like ModelE, but with a differentiable model, the optimal critical relative humidity would be found by gradient descent
November 15, 2024 at 7:02 PM
November 15, 2024 at 4:54 PM
There's a way forwards though, which is very exciting. For example, you could include a radiative transfer model of your choosing in this framework
November 15, 2024 at 4:48 PM
Something like NeuralGCM, which combines a dynamical core with a learned subgrid physics module generalizes pretty well

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
November 15, 2024 at 3:59 PM