Sean Ernst, Ph.D.
@sean-ernst-wx.bsky.social
Mad (Social) Research Scientist | Occasional Photo Guy | Severe Local Storm Enjoyer | Terminal Nerd
War never changes
October 27, 2025 at 3:34 PM
War never changes
Good news everyone is the right size when I jump in
October 13, 2025 at 2:27 AM
Good news everyone is the right size when I jump in
Idk if the cat bed is big enough for both of em
October 13, 2025 at 2:17 AM
Idk if the cat bed is big enough for both of em
Pretty extraordinary risk for hail and tornadoes in the PNW today (see HREF) - at @tlyza89.bsky.social's suggestion I ran the 1630z SPC tornado outlook through my ol' dissertation code to produce Relative Risk values for tornadoes of 1687 times greater than normal for south of Portland!
March 26, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Pretty extraordinary risk for hail and tornadoes in the PNW today (see HREF) - at @tlyza89.bsky.social's suggestion I ran the 1630z SPC tornado outlook through my ol' dissertation code to produce Relative Risk values for tornadoes of 1687 times greater than normal for south of Portland!
In focus groups with partners and the public, there was a lot of desire for the conditional intensity to be presented separately from the likelihood forecast. Public survey with split graphics saw similar outcomes vs the hatched ver., so we recommended using the more intuitive separated format. 3/4
March 21, 2025 at 7:32 PM
In focus groups with partners and the public, there was a lot of desire for the conditional intensity to be presented separately from the likelihood forecast. Public survey with split graphics saw similar outcomes vs the hatched ver., so we recommended using the more intuitive separated format. 3/4
First core finding was that we see large increases in concern/likelihood of response with users for the double hatching but not so much for single - and more so for Emergency Managers than the public. 2/4
March 21, 2025 at 7:32 PM
First core finding was that we see large increases in concern/likelihood of response with users for the double hatching but not so much for single - and more so for Emergency Managers than the public. 2/4
Yielding to the wind out here
March 14, 2025 at 6:58 PM
Yielding to the wind out here
Honestly your descriptions of these outlook changes and the fire weather outlook are making me hanker for a visual of the changes - kind of like the drought monitor change graphic
March 13, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Honestly your descriptions of these outlook changes and the fire weather outlook are making me hanker for a visual of the changes - kind of like the drought monitor change graphic
It had to be done
February 23, 2025 at 7:32 PM
It had to be done
I will send an uhhhhhh corrected version later 😂
January 14, 2025 at 12:29 AM
I will send an uhhhhhh corrected version later 😂
Phenomenal discussion of the massive (and unfortunately predictable) racial disparities in disaster recovery and resilience in the Presidential Forum. "Democracy requires an environmentally literate population to survive" #AMS2025
January 12, 2025 at 10:54 PM
Phenomenal discussion of the massive (and unfortunately predictable) racial disparities in disaster recovery and resilience in the Presidential Forum. "Democracy requires an environmentally literate population to survive" #AMS2025
Peaceful little snow day, reminds me of home
January 9, 2025 at 11:52 PM
Peaceful little snow day, reminds me of home
Nobody does em like Norman
December 10, 2024 at 11:26 PM
Nobody does em like Norman
The first of the two May 19th, 2024 Custer City EF2s grinding away west of Custer City at 7:31pm, with the TTU Ka band radars merrily scanning away in the foreground.
December 5, 2024 at 2:26 AM
The first of the two May 19th, 2024 Custer City EF2s grinding away west of Custer City at 7:31pm, with the TTU Ka band radars merrily scanning away in the foreground.
One of my favorite images I've created this year - full stack of the eclipse from Holla Bend refuge in AR.
November 22, 2024 at 6:34 PM
One of my favorite images I've created this year - full stack of the eclipse from Holla Bend refuge in AR.
Better late than never, I suppose
November 21, 2024 at 1:21 AM
Better late than never, I suppose