FPL Schaden
@schadenball.com
youtube.com/@fplscript co-host 🇮🇳,🇪🇸.
ManUtd fan. Bruno zealot.
Chess, Cricket, Maths.
EV modeller. Correlation ≠ Causation.
SHINZOU WO SASAGEYO.
UCL Fantasy model - uclmodel.com
#FPL | #UCLFantasy | #SDT | #FanTeam
ManUtd fan. Bruno zealot.
Chess, Cricket, Maths.
EV modeller. Correlation ≠ Causation.
SHINZOU WO SASAGEYO.
UCL Fantasy model - uclmodel.com
#FPL | #UCLFantasy | #SDT | #FanTeam
schadenball .com is back for #UCLFantasy 25/26!
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
September 7, 2025 at 5:13 PM
schadenball .com is back for #UCLFantasy 25/26!
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
Season-long odds: goals,assists,cards for #FPL (Select players)
Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs
Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season
Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs
Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season
August 20, 2025 at 7:42 PM
Season-long odds: goals,assists,cards for #FPL (Select players)
Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs
Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season
Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs
Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season
xA per 90 vs CBIT-R per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)
Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs
Position-wise viz in the comments 👇
#FPL
Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs
Position-wise viz in the comments 👇
#FPL
August 1, 2025 at 2:50 PM
xA per 90 vs CBIT-R per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)
Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs
Position-wise viz in the comments 👇
#FPL
Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs
Position-wise viz in the comments 👇
#FPL
idk why a low res image was posted. I think you'd be able to read from this one
July 31, 2025 at 4:40 AM
idk why a low res image was posted. I think you'd be able to read from this one
Finishing skill vs npxG p90 for all Premier League players* (career data)
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz
July 30, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Finishing skill vs npxG p90 for all Premier League players* (career data)
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz
xA per 90 vs CBIT per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)
Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*.
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*.
*Includes the newest FPL additions
July 30, 2025 at 5:40 PM
xA per 90 vs CBIT per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)
Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*.
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*.
*Includes the newest FPL additions
➡️Team-level Data for MD1
Fix. Quality = eG/eGA
Fix. Quality = eG/eGA
June 10, 2025 at 6:41 PM
➡️Team-level Data for MD1
Fix. Quality = eG/eGA
Fix. Quality = eG/eGA
➡️Player-level eG (Tournament Totals)
Select players - full list will be available on Patreon (free access) and also on FPL__Fran's YT channel
P.S. MD1 eGI will be available closer to the weekend. 3/n
Select players - full list will be available on Patreon (free access) and also on FPL__Fran's YT channel
P.S. MD1 eGI will be available closer to the weekend. 3/n
June 10, 2025 at 6:09 PM
➡️Player-level eG (Tournament Totals)
Select players - full list will be available on Patreon (free access) and also on FPL__Fran's YT channel
P.S. MD1 eGI will be available closer to the weekend. 3/n
Select players - full list will be available on Patreon (free access) and also on FPL__Fran's YT channel
P.S. MD1 eGI will be available closer to the weekend. 3/n
➡️Team Strength Model
I've used a new methodology of trying to reverse engineer team strengths using Spreadex eG for MD1 and OPTA's power rankings.
Your feedback will help me tune the model even further before Sunday. 2/n
I've used a new methodology of trying to reverse engineer team strengths using Spreadex eG for MD1 and OPTA's power rankings.
Your feedback will help me tune the model even further before Sunday. 2/n
June 10, 2025 at 6:09 PM
➡️Team Strength Model
I've used a new methodology of trying to reverse engineer team strengths using Spreadex eG for MD1 and OPTA's power rankings.
Your feedback will help me tune the model even further before Sunday. 2/n
I've used a new methodology of trying to reverse engineer team strengths using Spreadex eG for MD1 and OPTA's power rankings.
Your feedback will help me tune the model even further before Sunday. 2/n
#CWCFantasy
Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available:
➡️Team Strength Model
➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD)
➡️Team-level eG & odds movement
FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n
Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available:
➡️Team Strength Model
➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD)
➡️Team-level eG & odds movement
FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n
June 10, 2025 at 6:08 PM
#CWCFantasy
Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available:
➡️Team Strength Model
➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD)
➡️Team-level eG & odds movement
FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n
Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available:
➡️Team Strength Model
➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD)
➡️Team-level eG & odds movement
FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD16
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline
Captaincy choices* for #MD16
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline
May 6, 2025 at 5:08 PM
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD16
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline
Captaincy choices* for #MD16
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline
#UCLFantasy #MD16
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
*Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
*Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93
May 6, 2025 at 4:36 PM
#UCLFantasy #MD16
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
*Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
*Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD15
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline
Captaincy choices* for #MD15
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline
April 29, 2025 at 4:29 PM
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD15
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline
Captaincy choices* for #MD15
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline
April 29, 2025 at 4:11 PM
ran this post deadline and the top line is a -16 with probability fixtures
April 21, 2025 at 5:10 PM
ran this post deadline and the top line is a -16 with probability fixtures
#UCLFantasy #MD14 61 POINTS
RANK: 88
OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1)
TV: 108.2m
Chips used: LL6, WC13
A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me.
The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka
RANK: 88
OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1)
TV: 108.2m
Chips used: LL6, WC13
A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me.
The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka
April 17, 2025 at 1:35 AM
#UCLFantasy #MD14 61 POINTS
RANK: 88
OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1)
TV: 108.2m
Chips used: LL6, WC13
A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me.
The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka
RANK: 88
OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1)
TV: 108.2m
Chips used: LL6, WC13
A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me.
The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD14
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline
*Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85
Captaincy choices* for #MD14
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline
*Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85
April 15, 2025 at 5:18 AM
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD14
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline
*Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85
Captaincy choices* for #MD14
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline
*Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85
#UCLFantasy #MD14
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Ferran Torres eA not priced
** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Ferran Torres eA not priced
** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable
April 15, 2025 at 5:11 AM
#UCLFantasy #MD14
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Ferran Torres eA not priced
** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Ferran Torres eA not priced
** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable
April 15, 2025 at 3:41 AM
#MD13 Market odds eG trends since 20-March
Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible
#UCL #UCLFantasy
Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible
#UCL #UCLFantasy
April 8, 2025 at 3:11 PM
#MD13 Market odds eG trends since 20-March
Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible
#UCL #UCLFantasy
Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible
#UCL #UCLFantasy