Waymo doesn't compare to just an average driver; they compare to the exact roads that they drive on in the cities where they operate. They do not weight based on vehicle model or weather conditions, but it's also the case that they currently operate in places without super severe weather.

Just got an ad on instagram. Makes my blood boil that I helped pay for this with my taxes.

For the record, this is what Citymapper suggests right now:

Oh oh oh I got the same one! Twinsies!

Just eyeballing it, it seems like nearly the entire difference in COVID death rates is due to the 75+ category, and per this chart, there's reason to believe that the 75+ white folks are significantly older than 75+ non-white folks. Not a slam dunk, but a definite possibility.

There's a lot about AI that I think is exciting & potentially great, but I think it's incredibly frustrating how much worse it's made Google Search. It used to be that whenever you Googled a unit conversion, you got a unit conversion calculator.

Now it gives two different answers, both wrong:

I agree with all that! At the same time, I think that when you look at Austin, a place that actually did build itself out of a crisis, you get a sense of how far behind even Brooklyn is from building anywhere close to the scale we need:

That's the city. MSA is not that different on permits per 1,000 residents:

Yeah, there was a quite good article in the New Republic last month that quoted a pollster saying that the Latino vote had shifted from "jobs" to "affordability" as the driver of votes, but framed it as semi-permanent shift, and I was like: maybe if we have a recession, that'll shift back?

Agreed, Nate Silver's average had national at D+1, ended up like R+1.5. Michigan results were like a 2.6 point swing from the polling average. Both polling averages slightly underestimated Trump, but by ~2.5 points, nothing close to 7 points.

This is what drove me nuts about reading his plan. The other big thing in it is to convene a "randomly selected" Citizens Assembly to come up with a plan for how to accommodate 500k new homes.