Talouki
banner
saltypicks.bsky.social
Talouki
@saltypicks.bsky.social
📈 SPORTS BETTING MODELER & HANDICAPPER // +EV BETS & SPORTS ANALYSIS
⚾ MLB Model Mondays
🏒 NHL Model Thursdays
🏀 NBA Model Fridays

Follow & Tail my bets on Pikkit:
https://links.pikkit.com/user/saltypicks
12/10 NHL First Period Moneylines:
PIT +8.82% EV
CBJ +3.88% EV
NYI +3.46% EV
TBL +2.24% EV

Big Slate. Big value.

Write up thread 🧵👇

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 10, 2024 at 8:41 PM
12/9 NHL First Period Moneylines Recap:
↔️ 0-0-2
↔️+0 Us
↔️+0.00% ROI

Hawks let in a SHG with :43 secs left to push😢

Ducks claw through 2 penalties and get a greasy one to push🙂

We live to fight another day with a big slate tonight.
December 10, 2024 at 8:03 PM
12/6 NHL First Period Moneylines:

CHI +2.43% EV
ANA +4.01% EV

More road dogs, more profit?

Write up thread 🧵👇

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 9, 2024 at 7:30 PM
12/7 NHL First Period Moneylines Recap:

Hawks get 2 Gs from defensemen, one with 12 secs left, to secure some bag. But DET can’t finish any of their 6 scoring chances.

😢 1-1
💰 -3.65 U

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 8, 2024 at 1:13 AM
12/7 NHL First Period Moneylines:

CHI +1.35% EV

🚨 MAX VALUE ALERT 🚨
DET +8.96%

Write up thread 🧵👇

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 7, 2024 at 4:45 PM
12/6 NHL First Period Moneylines Recap:

MAX VALUE HIT
🔥🔥🔥

But DAL lets one squeak in.

😢 1-1-1
⛔️ -0.3 Us
💰 -7% ROI

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 7, 2024 at 4:01 AM
MAX VALUE HIT
🔥🔥🔥

We are now 4-0-1 in December on max value plays. But I am also hating myself for not sticking to the program 🤦

Live and learn
🚨 MAX VALUE: COLUMBUS +170 🚨
This line is VERY long. A play like this is calling for 4+ Us and I may hate myself later, but laying 1U seems fair for a BIG dog. The value is CBJ is 5-3-5 on the road 1P while VAN is a meager 1-6-4 1P at home. I have this 1P VAN 58%-42% but CBJ should be priced +143.
December 7, 2024 at 3:53 AM
12/6 NHL First Period Moneylines:
WSH +1.84% EV
DAL +2.52% EV

🚨 MAX VALUE ALERT 🚨
CBJ +11.08%

♠️WILD CARD♦️
SEA +1.77%

Write up thread 🧵👇

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 6, 2024 at 7:28 PM
12/5 NHL First Period Moneylines Recap:

🔥 2-2-0
✅ +2.5 Units
💰 +23% ROI

Buffalo continues to be a top money maker in 1P at home. Slow starts for CAR, PHI and CGY but we’ll take the profit!

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 6, 2024 at 3:03 AM
12/5 NHL First Period Moneylines:

BUF +5.94% EV
MTL +2.11% EV
PHI +4.17% EV
CAR +5.41% EV
CGY +1.84% EV

Write up thread 🧵👇

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 5, 2024 at 6:13 PM
12/4 NHL Moneyline recap:

↔️ PUSH

Blackhawks score a minute and a half into the game but can’t hold it. Ends up 1-1 after 1. They go on to look absolutely miserable.

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 5, 2024 at 5:03 PM
12/4 NHL First Period Moneylines:

Small slate, nice value. CHI at home are 5-4-1 in the first period. BOS on the road are 3-4-4. Taking the hawks at +5.51% EV to have one of their patented “where tf did that come from” games.

#betsky #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #sportsbetting #nhlbets
December 4, 2024 at 6:53 PM
12/3 NHL First Period Moneylines Recap:

🔥 1-0-1
✅ +4.8 Units
💰 +96% ROI
🚨 MAX VALUE HIT

Yesterday’s write up on BUF/COL was on point. Books were correct on the full game, but severely underestimated BUF in the first period.

#betsky #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #sportsbetting #nhlbets
December 4, 2024 at 6:39 PM
🔥🔥 MAX VALUE HIT 🔥🔥

Sabres absolutely destroy Colorado for a nice start to the night!

LETS GO BUFFALO 🦬

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 4, 2024 at 12:54 AM
12/3 NBA First Quarter Moneylines:

DET +11.94% EV
MEM +3.93% EV
GSW +10.76% EV
HOU +3.65% EV
LAC +2.43% EV

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 3, 2024 at 10:30 PM
🚨 MAX VALUE ALERT 🚨

The Moneyline on COL/BUF is heavily skewed for a full game result. Every signal points to a pretty clear COL win.

HOWEVER! With their backs against the wall, BUF has performed well at home in 1P, going 6-3-4 this season. COL is beatable on the road in 1P, going 3-6-2.
December 3, 2024 at 8:31 PM
12/3 NHL First Period Moneylines:
BUF +13.71% EV
WIN +1.94% EV

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
December 3, 2024 at 8:29 PM
Caleb Williams is the real deal. For the sake of the next decade he CANNOT be around Matt Eberflus another minute.

Penalty and sack B2B and lets his rookie QB scramble in a hostile environment instead of using that last TO to try to tie the best team in the NFL.

Unbelievable.
November 28, 2024 at 9:13 PM
11/27 NHL First Period Moneylines Recap:

🔥 1-1-3
✅ +2.36 Us
💰 +42.91% ROI
🚨 MAX VALUE HIT

ANA comes through AGAIN and is STILL undefeated on the road in first periods.

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #SportsBettingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #Pikkit #nhlbets
November 28, 2024 at 4:26 AM
Anaheim / Seattle is choas. Insane chances. Outstanding goaltending. Old time hockey!
November 28, 2024 at 3:25 AM
11/27 NBA First Quarter Moneylines Recap:

🔥 5-2-1
✅ +1.85 Us
💰 +18.58% ROI

The CLE push stings but not as much as this Black Wednesday whiskey 🥃

Enjoy the day tomorrow, folks! 👊
November 28, 2024 at 3:08 AM
Lines are moving on the favorites so adding:

CLE +2.98% EV
IND +2.54% EV
LAC +4.22% EV
HOU +2.05% EV
November 27, 2024 at 10:45 PM
11/27 NBA First Quarter Moneylines:

DET +3.43% EV
LAL +1.78% EV
BKN +12.24% EV
UTA +5.90% EV

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #nbabets #pikkit
November 27, 2024 at 10:22 PM
🚨 MAX VALUE ALERT 🚨

ANA has a whopping +10% EV tonight at SEA, in a rematch of a tight game. The locations are switched and it favors ANA. On the road they are a top money producer, going 5-0-4 in P1. SEA is 1-6-5 in their P1s at home. Take them at 2Us to get ahead of the big slate tonight.
11/27 NHL First Period Moneylines:

NYR +3.81% EV
CBJ +1.86% EV
VGK +4.15% EV
ANA +10.03% EV
SJS +3.45% EV

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #nhlbets
November 27, 2024 at 9:27 PM
11/27 NHL First Period Moneylines:

NYR +3.81% EV
CBJ +1.86% EV
VGK +4.15% EV
ANA +10.03% EV
SJS +3.45% EV

#bets #betsky #betting #GamblingBluesky #gambling #sportsbetting #nhlbets
November 27, 2024 at 9:26 PM