LightNews LightNews
runemrun.bsky.social
@runemrun.bsky.social
35 followers 19 following 0 posts
Posts Replies Media Videos
Reposted
50501movement.bsky.social
You’ve probably seen people mention the 3.5% Rule. But do you know what it really means? 1/
White text on black background with a big 50501 logo at the bottom. The 50501 logo is a blue circle within a white circle within a red circle. The blue circle has "50" over another "50" and a big "1" to the right of those 50's. The blue circle also has a ring of white start near its outer edge. Text at the top reads: "What really is the 3.5% Rule?" White text on black background with a small 50501 logo at the bottom. Text reads: What is the 3.5% Rule? Political scientist Erica Chenoweth (they/them) studied over 300 violent and nonviolent campaigns. They found that when 3.5% of a population joins in a “peak” action, movements have been highly likely to succeed at “maximalist” goals, such as removing a national leader. The 3.5% rule helps us imagine what’s possible. In the U.S. that’s about 11.7 million people or about 107 people in every city and town. We don’t need everyone. We just need enough. Source: Erica Chenoweth, “Questions, Answers, and Some Cautionary Updates Regarding the 3.5% Rule” (2020) White text on black background with a small 50501 logo at the bottom. Text reads: The 3.5% Rule; Maximalist Goals; Historically, when 3.5% of a population has joined together in non-violent action, success at achieving “maximalist” goals has often followed. Maximalist goals are the most ambitious demands a movement can make such as removing a national leader from office, ending an occupying force, or achieving territorial independence. These goals seek to change who holds power or control, rather than making policy reforms within the existing system. Source: Erica Chenoweth, “Questions, Answers, and Some Cautionary Updates Regarding the 3.5% Rule” (2020) White text on black background with a small 50501 logo at the bottom. Text reads: The 3.5% Rule; 3.5% is based on peak participation, not cumulative participation; Many people mistakenly think the rule refers to everyone who ever joined the movement. Chenoweth’s statistic is about how many people were involved at the movement’s largest moment of visible, act of resistance. The rule is descriptive, not prescriptive; Chenoweth only noticed the 3.5% pattern after the fact, when asked how many people it takes to win. The number was not part of the original hypothesis or a forecast; it emerged from the data. Source: Erica Chenoweth, “Questions, Answers, and Some Cautionary Updates Regarding the 3.5% Rule” (2020)
April 17, 2025 at 10:40 PM